CA: Rasmussen: Boxer still the favorite in the senate race
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  CA: Rasmussen: Boxer still the favorite in the senate race
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Author Topic: CA: Rasmussen: Boxer still the favorite in the senate race  (Read 2452 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: June 11, 2010, 10:55:03 AM »

New Poll: California Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-06-09

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2010, 02:40:40 PM »

lol fiorina.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2010, 07:37:37 PM »

Wow, she doesn't even get the Patented Scott Rasmussen Double-Digit Primary Bounce? That must hurt.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2010, 07:46:21 PM »

Wow, she doesn't even get the Patented Scott Rasmussen Double-Digit Primary Bounce? That must hurt.

Only the teabaggiest of the teabaggers get The Bounce. If DeVore had won he'd be up outside the MoE.
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Lunar
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« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2010, 08:12:08 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2010, 08:14:48 PM by Lunar »

Wow, she doesn't even get the Patented Scott Rasmussen Double-Digit Primary Bounce? That must hurt.

Maybe it's an outlier.  

I've been of the opinion that Rasmussen's bias comes from their tight voter screens far out from election day.  For a race like this, which really wasn't THAT high profile, Boxer probably benefits more than Blumenthal and Conway in name I.D.  In an open-seat race, such screens would favor the "I'll vote Republican, even if I have no idea who that guy is" voter more than the equivalent for the Democrat.  However, in this race, it'd be the inverse maybe?
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2010, 08:18:27 PM »

Wow, she doesn't even get the Patented Scott Rasmussen Double-Digit Primary Bounce? That must hurt.

More irrational, incorrect Rasmussen hate.   Double-digit primary bounces are very rare in Rasmussen's polling.  If you follow TRENDS (which are the only things that matter this far out from election day anyway), Fiorina is up NET 2  (Boxer +3, Fiorina +5) from Rasmussen's pre-primary poll.  So yes, Rasmussen shows a small post-primary bounce for Fiorina, like he did for Angle (Net +3).  But it's not huge.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2010, 09:35:51 PM »

Wow, she doesn't even get the Patented Scott Rasmussen Double-Digit Primary Bounce? That must hurt.

More irrational, incorrect Rasmussen hate.   Double-digit primary bounces are very rare in Rasmussen's polling.  If you follow TRENDS (which are the only things that matter this far out from election day anyway), Fiorina is up NET 2  (Boxer +3, Fiorina +5) from Rasmussen's pre-primary poll.  So yes, Rasmussen shows a small post-primary bounce for Fiorina, like he did for Angle (Net +3).  But it's not huge.

Oh, for God's sake, get a sense of humor.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2010, 09:37:36 PM »

Everything is pretty much falling into place so far.  Why am I not surprised?
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Lunar
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« Reply #8 on: June 11, 2010, 09:42:21 PM »


Have you ever been surprised? 
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: June 11, 2010, 09:45:07 PM »


Did you read the specific predictions I made in my thread a week ago?  I'm not surprised because I demonstrated there is no reason for me to be surprised.  Fiorina likely fits the doomed challenger pattern and there is no reason for me to change such observation...
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Sbane
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« Reply #10 on: June 11, 2010, 10:06:26 PM »

I suspect this will end up like the Bush-Kerry matchup with Boxer winning with about a 10% margin, but with higher third party votes of course. The governor's race may be closer but Brown should prevail.
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Sbane
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« Reply #11 on: June 11, 2010, 10:07:08 PM »

I just wanted to say that I think it's funny that Fiorina criticized Boxer's hair when she sports that dyke haircut that is so unattractive.

Umm...she had cancer.
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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: June 11, 2010, 10:10:48 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2010, 10:13:05 PM by Torie »

I suspect this will end up like the Bush-Kerry matchup with Boxer winning with about a 10% margin, but with higher third party votes of course. The governor's race may be closer but Brown should prevail.

I read the newspaper dated November 3, 2010, and Whitman will win by a 6% margin. The amount she spent per voter will make the Guinness book of records to boot. But, for her, the marginal utility of a mere 150 million is quite low.

Carly lost after she was caught doing a demon ram.
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redcommander
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« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2010, 10:18:17 PM »

Let's not underestimate Carly. I didn't expect her to make it past the primary and she did.
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The Duke
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« Reply #14 on: June 11, 2010, 11:59:19 PM »

I just wanted to say that I think it's funny that Fiorina criticized Boxer's hair when she sports that dyke haircut that is so unattractive.

Umm...she had cancer.

Awwkwaaard.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: June 12, 2010, 12:21:34 AM »

I just wanted to say that I think it's funny that Fiorina criticized Boxer's hair when she sports that dyke haircut that is so unattractive.

Umm...she had cancer.

Awwkwaaard.

Not for Blubb, I'm sure. Smiley
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Sbane
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« Reply #16 on: June 12, 2010, 12:45:02 AM »

I suspect this will end up like the Bush-Kerry matchup with Boxer winning with about a 10% margin, but with higher third party votes of course. The governor's race may be closer but Brown should prevail.

I read the newspaper dated November 3, 2010, and Whitman will win by a 6% margin. The amount she spent per voter will make the Guinness book of records to boot. But, for her, the marginal utility of a mere 150 million is quite low.

Carly lost after she was caught doing a demon ram.

I don't think her money is going to do anything, tbh. People already know her and will probably get sick of her way before that 150 million is gone. I'll be an optimist and say issues will decide things in the end. This is why I think Whitman will only lose by a 5 point margin rather than a more "normal" double digit margin loss. Brown might not have the issues going his way, but he's a good politician. Don't count him out.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #17 on: June 12, 2010, 09:42:04 PM »

I suspect this will end up like the Bush-Kerry matchup with Boxer winning with about a 10% margin, but with higher third party votes of course. The governor's race may be closer but Brown should prevail.

I read the newspaper dated November 3, 2010, and Whitman will win by a 6% margin. The amount she spent per voter will make the Guinness book of records to boot. But, for her, the marginal utility of a mere 150 million is quite low.

Carly lost after she was caught doing a demon ram.

Now we all know your secret, you....


...have a time machine. Tongue

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sg0508
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« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2010, 07:14:59 PM »

It's only this close because of the post primary bounce.  I doubt you will see a poll any closer than this one the rest of the way.

Boxer will win by 15-20 pts now that she can play the "too conservative for CA" nonsense.
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King
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« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2010, 01:04:32 PM »

Vander Blubb for the win as usual.
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Iosif
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« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2010, 02:53:54 PM »

The Blubb is awesome.
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