Exit poll leaks

[Sam Spade]

I guess that was meant at me. 

Here's your first from NRO.  Take it with a grain of salt, as always.

http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/corner.asp

EXITS [KJL]
Bush leads ohio 49 to 41
Posted at 01:33 PM

Now, off to vote.

[Sam Spade]

I didn't think VNS existed anymore.  AP is handling exit polling this year, right?

[Sam Spade]

My guess is that they're hoaxed.  VNS doesn't exist anymore.  AP does exit polling for this election.

[Sam Spade]

FWIW, Drudge has said that those exit polls he posted had a woman to man ratio of 59-41.

Another grain of salt.

[Sam Spade]

What I'm seeing is that those first numbers reported (the VNS ones)were obviously false.  They may have come from the DNC, as far as I know.

We should be getting more in soon, but as always reliability on these things is terrible and I would hope that the gender gap rumor is not true on these exit polls.  It would put them into question.

[Sam Spade]

Bush is sitting a little below 40% at Tradesports, and I'm almost tempted to get an account and bet a little.

Of course, it'd probably be impossible to get to their site right now.  They're being swamped, I'm sure.

[Sam Spade]

Fellow Democrats, I ask you -- do not THAT much faith in exit polls. They are traditionally unreliable. There is still a huge chance that Bush will easily win re-election.

I would like to see that these polls are accurate, but we all know they won't be. Lets just wait and see till the big states start coming in.

This comment appears to be the smartest out there looking back.

I had a huge intuition to lay a good amount of money on Bush on Tradesports about 5:00 PM EST when he was down to about 20, but I didn't.

Memories, ah memories....