Exit poll leaks

[J. J.]

I don't believe exit polls. At 10:00, I think we'll know the winner - but probably not much prior to.

Uh oh, watch out there; you're violating J.J.'s 2nd rule of elections.

No, he's violating J. J.'s First Rule of Elections.  The exits are probably showing a Kerry lead among voters this morning.  That doesn't take into accout those early voters and it has a different demographic than the the later voters.

It also doesn't take into account the GOTV drives.

[J. J.]

    AZ  CO  LA  PA  OH  FL  MI  NM  MN  WI  IA  NH
Kerry    45  48  42  60  52  51  51  50  58  52  49  57
Bush    55  51  57  40  48  48  47  48  40  43  49  41

From VNS

Sorry, but what's VNS?

Voter news service.

[J. J.]

In Phila, there was a big African American turnout intitially, but it's stopped.  It might be a wave effect; I'll check between 5-7.

[J. J.]

It was renamed to National Election Pool.  The VNS tag could be an indication of accuracy.