What was your final map?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 18, 2024, 09:55:00 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  What was your final map?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What was your final map?  (Read 8969 times)
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 17, 2009, 07:07:03 PM »

Same as here, but for 2004; include both your prediction map and your confidence map.
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2009, 08:10:35 PM »

The same as the real map except for Kerry winning Ohio.
Logged
Sasquatch
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,077


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -8.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2009, 08:38:13 PM »



For some reason I gave up on Florida about a week before the election, even though the polls showed Kerry more competitive than he was in Ohio. Polls showed Kerry losing Wisconsin by about 2-3%, but after seeing a rally of his I didn't see him losing it. I predicted he'd win Iowa due to his caucus win in January and him already being in the state so much. I predicted Ohio or bust.
Logged
xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,487
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2009, 09:17:31 PM »
« Edited: August 25, 2009, 09:20:05 PM by xavier110 »

Logged
Mechaman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,791
Jamaica
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2009, 10:29:09 PM »



John Kerry 99 evs
George Bush 439 evs

After the bin Laden tape, I thought Kerry would be lucky to get 150 electoral votes. I was very surprised all he would've needed was 20 electoral votes to win. And that wasn't me being a hack, I truly thought there would be no way Kerry could deal with bin Laden endorsement (that he wouldn't accept, but the right wing had a field day with). He put up a pretty damn good fight for somebody with the stack of cards he was given.
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 16, 2010, 06:50:29 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2010, 06:52:18 PM by Mideast Assemblyman True Conservative »

Bump.

Here was my map:



Confidence:



And yes that was my map. I was not being a hack or anything, I just expected that at the end Kerry would perform very badly.
Logged
Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2010, 08:10:38 PM »

I was pretty naive, but the nine year old me predicted this:

Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 17, 2010, 03:03:27 PM »

I didn't really pay close attention to the electoral map back then, but I would probably have picked all the states Gore won+NH+NC for Kerry. I wanted Kerry to win back in 2004, but I wasn't very politically active back then (I was only 12 years old).
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 18, 2010, 08:03:53 PM »

How do I put a map on here? Anybody help lol. I picked every state right in 2004.
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2010, 12:44:50 AM »

How do I put a map on here? Anybody help lol. I picked every state right in 2004.

https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

See also  on the top of each Forum page.
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2010, 01:25:46 AM »

I picked every state right in 2004.

Good for you.
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2010, 01:04:48 AM »



maybe this will post my map
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 26, 2010, 01:30:09 AM »

I also want to point out that with 9/11 and the California recount election, I thought that Bush would only lose New York and California by 5.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 27, 2010, 07:05:57 PM »

Something like this:

Logged
phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 28, 2010, 04:18:25 AM »

IRL 2004 with Kerry winning OH.

Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 01, 2010, 03:18:41 PM »

You know that's one state that I never worried about in 2004 was Ohio. Alot of Republicans were concerned, but I knew that the Republicans could win it based on social issues.
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2010, 12:53:33 AM »

http://


This was my map I was very close in every state.

Alabama- Bush 55-44
Alaska- Bush 63-36
Arizona- Bush 52-47
Arkansas- Bush 53-46
California- Kerry 55-44
Colorado- Bush 52-47
Connecticut- Kerry 55-45
Delaware- Kerry 53-46
D.C.- Kerry 85-14
Florida- Bush 51-48
Georgia- Bush 55-44
Hawaii- Kerry 53-46
Idaho- Bush 64-35
Illinois- Kerry 55-44
Indiana- Bush 59-40
Iowa- Bush 51-49
Kansas- Bush 61-38
Kentucky- Bush 60-39
Louisiana- Bush 56-44
Maine- Kerry 52-47
Maryland- Kerry 51-48
Massachusetts- Kerry 64-35
Michigan- Kerry 52-48
Minnesota- Kerry 50-49
Mississippi- Bush 54-45
Missouri- Bush 52-47
Montana- Bush 60-39
Nebraska- Bush 64-35
Nevada- Bush 51-49
New Hampshire- Kerry 51-49
New Jersey- Kerry 54-46
New Mexico- Bush 52-48
New York- Kerry 52-47
North Carolina- Bush 56-44
North Dakota- Bush 60-40
Ohio- Bush 52-48
Oklahoma- Bush 67-33
Oregon- Kerry 54-46
Pennsylvania- Kerry 51-49
Rhode Island- Kerry 56-43
South Carolina- Bush 54-45
South Dakota- Bush 55-45
Tennessee- Bush 53-47
Texas- Bush 59-40
Utah- Bush 72-27
Vermont- Kerry 56-43
Virginia- Bush 53-47
Washington- Kerry 54-46
West Virginia- Bush 53-47
Wisconsin- Kerry 50-49
Wyoming- Bush 68-32

I thought Bush would win 50-49, but I picked every state right. Alot of the states I had as being closer than they really were.
Logged
21st Century Independent
Rookie
**
Posts: 120


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 03, 2010, 06:13:44 AM »
« Edited: April 04, 2010, 07:10:14 AM by 21st Century Independent »



Bush 300
Kerry 238
Logged
Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,042
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 02, 2010, 08:46:19 PM »



Good News: I only got 3 states wrong.
Bad News: They were 3 BIG States. (OH,FL,IA)
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 03, 2010, 02:00:05 PM »



Good News: I only got 3 states wrong.
Bad News: They were 3 BIG States. (OH,FL,IA)

You thought Kerry would win FL?
Logged
Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,042
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 03, 2010, 05:56:37 PM »
« Edited: July 03, 2010, 05:58:24 PM by Thomas D »




Good News: I only got 3 states wrong.
Bad News: They were 3 BIG States. (OH,FL,IA)

You thought Kerry would win FL?

I thought Florida Democrats would turn out in huge numbers after what happend in 2000
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 03, 2010, 06:06:26 PM »




Good News: I only got 3 states wrong.
Bad News: They were 3 BIG States. (OH,FL,IA)

You thought Kerry would win FL?

I thought Florida Democrats would turn out in huge numbers after what happend in 2000

They would have if it was a southern democrat. I don't think democrats in general really liked Kerry that much. Also, Bush's brother had been pretty popular throughout his first term and FL leans GOP anyhow. Florida was back and forth until the GOP convention that year for the most part.
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: July 05, 2010, 01:51:10 PM »



Good News: I only got 3 states wrong.
Bad News: They were 3 BIG States. (OH,FL,IA)

IA isn't big by any means.
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: July 05, 2010, 04:01:32 PM »



Good News: I only got 3 states wrong.
Bad News: They were 3 BIG States. (OH,FL,IA)

IA isn't big by any means.

No but it's important as it's only a point or 2 to the left of the country. That was a 50/50 state that year.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.235 seconds with 13 queries.