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Author Topic: NV-Mason Dixon: Reid gets huge bump, pulls ahead of Angle  (Read 2077 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: July 16, 2010, 07:15:04 am »
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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from July 12 through July 14, 2010. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.

The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

This poll also includes an over-sampling 400 likely voters in the Third Congressional District. This over-sampling is of additional voters added to the statewide survey in order to increase the sample size within the district. These additional respondents were only asked the questions relative to the Third District race. The margin for error on these results is plus or minus 5%.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 303 (48%)    
Women 322 (52%)

Democrats 269 (43%)    
Republicans 248 (40%)    
Independents 108 (17%)

REGION
 
Clark County    405 interviews
Washoe County    125 interviews
Rural Nevada    95 interviews

http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/july_2010_1.html
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2010, 07:39:46 am »
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For a moment, I was worried the awful candidate would win. Then this poll came out, showing that the awful candidate had actually moved ahead of the awful candidate! Dodged a bullet!

Nevada's so lucky.
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2010, 07:46:30 am »
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Better the devil you know, as they say.
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2010, 08:25:42 am »
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Oh well, Schumer doesn't get to be Democratic leader, better have a democrat in this seat anyways.
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2010, 08:26:01 am »
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Better the devil that's head of the senate and can bring home the $$$.
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« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2010, 08:27:40 am »
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Can we agree that whether you're a Democrat or Republican, Angle plumbs a level of awfulness not reached by Harry Reid?

I don't like Reid, but he has a basic level of competence, consistency, and sanity that Angle lacks. I feel like Reid losing should be the equivalent to Mike DeWine losing to someone like Paul Hackett in 2006... a person I disagree with losing to someone with no place in the U.S. Senate.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #6 on: July 16, 2010, 08:54:53 am »
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Hahahaha if Reid does manage to pull this off and win this it would be one of the most surreal political victories of all time. I've been disgusted with Reid at times like most Democrats here, but given the toxic environment for Democrats this fall and the importance of every single Senate seat I wouldn't mind him staying around.
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« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2010, 10:24:54 am »
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Sh-t
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« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2010, 10:39:14 am »
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I hope Reid wins, if only because it would annoy people who i don't like.
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« Reply #9 on: July 16, 2010, 10:59:58 am »
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Hahahaha if Reid does manage to pull this off and win this it would be one of the most surreal political victories of all time. I've been disgusted with Reid at times like most Democrats here, but given the toxic environment for Democrats this fall and the importance of every single Senate seat I wouldn't mind him staying around.

The same goes for me.

To be fair, he's been a successful Majority Leader, but, he puts too much stock in finding one or two Republican votes on everything (of course, it's not his fault the Republicans want to filibuster everything). And, he also comes off as rather weak and non-forceful.

I'm hopeful that he may retire as Leader. Probably not, though.
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« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2010, 12:42:06 pm »
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If the Dems don't have anything close to 60 votes this year, he will have a very tough time getting things through just like after 2006.
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« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2010, 01:36:28 pm »
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I don't trust Mason Dixon Polls, they didn't have a very good track record in 2008, so why would I believe their polling now... Just saying.
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« Reply #12 on: July 16, 2010, 01:42:35 pm »
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I don't trust Mason Dixon Polls, they didn't have a very good track record in 2008, so why would I believe their polling now... Just saying.

Mason Dixon is highly respected on this site. That said, Reid leading Angle by six points is hardly reassuring to Dems when the undecideds are so high, as they frequently are with M-D before mid-autumn.
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2010, 01:44:53 pm »
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I don't trust Mason Dixon Polls, they didn't have a very good track record in 2008, so why would I believe their polling now... Just saying.
Actually, Mason-Dixon was very accurate towards the end of 2008...

http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?type=src&source_id=9
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« Reply #14 on: July 16, 2010, 01:52:37 pm »
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Why did the NV GOP just have to nominate Sharron "Second Amendment" Angle?
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« Reply #15 on: July 16, 2010, 02:03:06 pm »
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I don't trust Mason Dixon Polls, they didn't have a very good track record in 2008, so why would I believe their polling now... Just saying.

Not on their senate numbers... but I really doesn't matter.
Actually, Mason-Dixon was very accurate towards the end of 2008...

http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?type=src&source_id=9
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« Reply #16 on: July 16, 2010, 02:22:01 pm »
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Why did the NV GOP just have to nominate Sharron "Second Amendment" Angle?

Wait, you think the problem with Sharron Angle, who favors scientology massages and abolishing social security, is that she supports gun rights in Nevada?
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Shut you hole... Conservatism is dead. I hope I get to see your head paraded on a pike with it.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #17 on: July 16, 2010, 02:53:35 pm »
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I don't trust Mason Dixon Polls, they didn't have a very good track record in 2008, so why would I believe their polling now... Just saying.

Mason Dixon is highly respected on this site. That said, Reid leading Angle by six points is hardly reassuring to Dems when the undecideds are so high, as they frequently are with M-D before mid-autumn.

Plus: A new Mason-Dickson Nevada poll of 400 RV will be out in the next few days ...

YAY for joke polling.

God, the days when that would have been blasphemy... Sad

Grin
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Senator Libertas
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« Reply #18 on: July 16, 2010, 03:38:15 pm »
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The establishment Republicans are supporting Reid to keep him as the majority leader. They're fighting hard, but anti-establishment sentiment will only grow between now and November.
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« Reply #19 on: July 16, 2010, 04:14:05 pm »
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Yawn...

I'm not surprised at all.
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« Reply #20 on: July 16, 2010, 04:24:18 pm »
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Hahahaha if Reid does manage to pull this off and win this it would be one of the most surreal political victories of all time. I've been disgusted with Reid at times like most Democrats here, but given the toxic environment for Democrats this fall and the importance of every single Senate seat I wouldn't mind him staying around.

The same goes for me.

To be fair, he's been a successful Majority Leader, but, he puts too much stock in finding one or two Republican votes on everything (of course, it's not his fault the Republicans want to filibuster everything). And, he also comes off as rather weak and non-forceful.

I hear he is much tougher than his public persona indicates in behind the scenes stuff.
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LOL, Failure

Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
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« Reply #21 on: July 16, 2010, 04:28:46 pm »
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hahaha, good job teabaggers!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqlfjMQVAE8&feature=player_embedded

Sharon Angle: "As your U.S. Senator, I'm not in the business of creating jobs."

What an idiot.
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« Reply #22 on: July 16, 2010, 04:29:15 pm »
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Why did the NV GOP just have to nominate Sharron "Second Amendment" Angle?

They didn't the TEA PARTY did. Nice going folks, you blew another one.

I'm going add this to the NY-23 list.
« Last Edit: July 16, 2010, 04:30:48 pm by ajc0918 »Logged

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« Reply #23 on: July 16, 2010, 04:37:24 pm »
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RedState has ruled this poll to be deeply flawed and untrustworthy, becaues Mason Dixon underestimated Angle by 6 points in the NV GOP primary.

Man, if we ruled out every poll that missed a candidate by 6 points in a 3-way primary, we'd have no polls left.
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this is real
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« Reply #24 on: July 16, 2010, 05:00:07 pm »
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Why did the NV GOP just have to nominate Sharron "Second Amendment" Angle?

What?  I thought you were a libertarian, Wormy.

By the way, welcome to Atlasia!

hahaha, good job teabaggers!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqlfjMQVAE8&feature=player_embedded

Sharon Angle: "As your U.S. Senator, I'm not in the business of creating jobs."

What an idiot.

It's not the job of the federal government to create jobs.  Unfortunately most voters are idiots.
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