VA-09: SurveyUSA: Boucher leads by double-digits
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  VA-09: SurveyUSA: Boucher leads by double-digits
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Author Topic: VA-09: SurveyUSA: Boucher leads by double-digits  (Read 1196 times)
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 21, 2010, 05:09:10 PM »

VA-09(SurveyUSA)

Boucher(D-Inc): 52%
Griffith(R): 39%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=96837280-1490-4caf-9472-93bd1e37b61b
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Vepres
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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2010, 05:18:31 PM »

I, for one, will be surprised if Boucher loses. He seems very entrenched to me.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2010, 10:40:40 PM »

Good news. Smiley I guess this means not every Democrat in a conservative district is endangered this year.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2010, 07:58:33 AM »

I wonder if Bart Gordon would be in this same position if he had decided to run again.
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timmer123
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2010, 03:27:25 AM »
« Edited: July 25, 2010, 12:33:39 AM by timmer123 »

I think he's in trouble if he's only getting 52% support.  He ran unopposed in '08 and got 68% in '06.   Big drop right now.  That is potential for him to be defeated.
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2010, 08:00:21 AM »

I think he's in trouble if he's only getting 52% support.  I ran unopposed in '08 and got 68% in '06.   Big drop right now.  That is potential for him to be defeated.

Democrat polling over 50% in a conservative rural district in 2010 = good
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timmer123
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2010, 12:35:04 AM »

I think he's in trouble if he's only getting 52% support.  I ran unopposed in '08 and got 68% in '06.   Big drop right now.  That is potential for him to be defeated.

Democrat polling over 50% in a conservative rural district in 2010 = good


I'm not surprised he's drawing a majority.  He has represented the district for TWENTY years.  Come election day it wouldn't surprise me to see him lose though.
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Meeker
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2010, 12:41:51 AM »

I think he's in trouble if he's only getting 52% support.  I ran unopposed in '08 and got 68% in '06.   Big drop right now.  That is potential for him to be defeated.

Democrat polling over 50% in a conservative rural district in 2010 = good


I'm not surprised he's drawing a majority.  He has represented the district for TWENTY years.  Come election day it wouldn't surprise me to see him lose though.

We've got a smart one here!
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Lunar
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2010, 12:44:16 AM »

I think he's in trouble if he's only getting 52% support.  I ran unopposed in '08 and got 68% in '06.   Big drop right now.  That is potential for him to be defeated.

Democrat polling over 50% in a conservative rural district in 2010 = good


I'm not surprised he's drawing a majority.  He has represented the district for TWENTY years.  Come election day it wouldn't surprise me to see him lose though.

You seem a hard person to surprise.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2010, 01:59:33 PM »

27 years actually; 28 when his current term ends. If these numbers are anything to go by, he ought to be alright, though this will probably be his closest race since he first dug himself in. The district has quite an odd history, fwiw.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2010, 08:51:23 PM »

I think he's in trouble if he's only getting 52% support.  I ran unopposed in '08 and got 68% in '06.   Big drop right now.  That is potential for him to be defeated.

Democrat polling over 50% in a conservative rural district in 2010 = good


I'm not surprised he's drawing a majority.  He has represented the district for TWENTY years.  Come election day it wouldn't surprise me to see him lose though.

I seriously doubt many voters who are supporting Boucher now would change their mind before election day. I also expect Boucher to get a decent share of undecideds in the end.
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