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NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
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Topic: NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc) (Read 523 times)
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
Posts: 6701
Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70
NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
«
on:
July 26, 2010, 08:47:30 pm »
NM-01(SurveyUSA)
Barela(R): 51%
Heinrich(D-Inc): 45%
http://www.kob.com/article/stories/S1669545.shtml?cat=500
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27963
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
«
Reply #1 on:
July 27, 2010, 12:12:52 am »
Looking at the swing (about 9%), itīs like 2004 - but not as bad as 2002.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27963
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
«
Reply #2 on:
July 27, 2010, 12:16:50 am »
"Heinrich certainly has an alternative view of the poll. His campaign released their own commissioned poll to Eyewitness News 4, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research from July 8-13. It shows Heinrich with a comfortable 12 point lead over Barela, 53% to 41%."
http://www.kob.com/article/stories/S1669545.shtml?cat=504
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Fmr. Emperor PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
YaBB God
Posts: 21510
Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: -4.35
Re: NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
«
Reply #3 on:
July 27, 2010, 01:38:04 am »
Survey USA turned out what appeared to be an outlier in the California races, so I am not too quick to trust them now. I do trust that they are closer to the real state of the race than the internal pollster, though.
«
Last Edit: July 27, 2010, 01:40:13 am by SE Legislator PiT
»
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Farewell to a legend:
r
(x,y) != <-y,x>
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=103836.0
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 52999
Re: NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
«
Reply #4 on:
July 27, 2010, 10:08:44 am »
Certainly not the most surprising poll numbers released recently.
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'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
King
intermoderate
YaBB God
Posts: 22205
Re: NM-01: SurveyUSA: Barela(R) leads Heinrich(D-Inc)
«
Reply #5 on:
July 31, 2010, 01:38:39 pm »
The winner of this race will just ride the tide of whoever wins the Gubernatorial race.
The NM Republicans played it smart this cycle. They support Arizona's immigration law, but at the same time, they're running Martinez for Gov, Sanchez for Lt Gov, and Barela for Congress as the Democrats run white people for 2 out of 3 said jobs.
They'll be able to play to the white vote without alienating the hispanics.
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