CDs Bush picked up for the GOP from 1996
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  CDs Bush picked up for the GOP from 1996
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Author Topic: CDs Bush picked up for the GOP from 1996  (Read 4171 times)
JoeyJoeJoe
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« on: August 23, 2010, 02:15:57 PM »

Maybe this will be interesting:

AZ-5, AZ-6, AR-2, CA-3, CA-11, CA-18, GA-8, GA-10, IL-15, IL-19, IL-20, IN-8, IN-9, IA-3, IA-4, KY-1, KY-5, KY-6, LA-3, LA-4, LA-5, LA-6, LA-7, MI-1, MI-4 MI-6, MI-7, MI-10, MN-1, MN-2, MN-3, MN-6, MN-7, MN-8, MO-6, MO-8, MO-9, NH-1, NM-2, NY-22, NY-23, NY-27, NY-31, NC-7, OH-6, OH-12 (I think), OH-13, OH-16, OH-18, OK-2, OK-3, OR-4, OR-5, PA-4, PA-10, PA-12, PA-21, TX-2, TX-9, TX-10, TX-12, TX-23, TX-25, VA-9, WA-3, WA-5, WV-1, WV-2, WI-4, WI-6, and WI-8.

These come from the 2002 Political Almanac, and use the 1990s lines.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2010, 06:06:25 PM »

And the only district Gore picked up from Dole was PA-07.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2010, 06:43:13 PM »

Great stuff.

here's what the 1996 CD map would've looked like then:



apologies for the poor quality and all that.
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homelycooking
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2010, 06:48:17 PM »

Why is that one district between Brownsville and Corpus Christi, TX, a lighter color than all the other Democrat-won districts?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2010, 06:56:58 PM »

Why is that one district between Brownsville and Corpus Christi, TX, a lighter color than all the other Democrat-won districts?

Just forgot to put that cd in a normal shade. I used the site's 2000 base maps and did away with the shades.
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nclib
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2010, 07:51:28 PM »

And the only district Gore picked up from Dole was PA-07.

According to Polidata, Clinton won it by 1.7% and Gore by 2.7%.
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JoeyJoeJoe
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2010, 09:35:42 PM »

Clinton also won TN-4, TN-6, WA-5, and may have won VA-4 and TX-5.

He picked up AZ-6, CA-27, CA-46, FL-16, LA-5, LA-6 (depending on the lines), MI-6, MI-7, MI-10, NH-1, NJ-12, NY-1, NY-2, NY-13, NY-22, NY-23, NY-27, NY-31, OH-6, OH-16, PA-7, PA-10, VA-11, WI-6, and WI-8 (I might be forgetting one or two) from 1992, while dropping AR-3, CA-22, CA-44, CO-3, IL-18, KS-3, MT-1, NC-11, TN-3, and TX-1.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2010, 10:36:59 PM »
« Edited: August 23, 2010, 10:39:25 PM by Fuzzybigfoot »

What was the margin in Salt Lake City's congressional district?  It must have been pretty close in 1996.
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JoeyJoeJoe
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« Reply #8 on: August 24, 2010, 02:02:35 PM »

I don't think so.  It may have been 48 Dole-40 Clinton; definitely not within 5 points.  The PVI (92, 96) for the SLC district is R+8.0.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #9 on: August 24, 2010, 06:44:16 PM »

I don't think so.  It may have been 48 Dole-40 Clinton; definitely not within 5 points.  The PVI (92, 96) for the SLC district is R+8.0.

Strange, because he only lost Salt Lake County by 4%.  Maybe the city belonged to more than 1 congressional district?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #10 on: August 24, 2010, 06:59:30 PM »

Here is the map of Utah's CDs in 2000:


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JoeyJoeJoe
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« Reply #11 on: August 25, 2010, 11:04:55 AM »

There were soem pretty heavily Dem areas of Salt Lake County in the 1st and 3rd.  I remember Jim Hansen losing the part of SL County in 2000, even as he was winning 69-27.
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