CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,638
Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51
|
 |
« on: November 05, 2004, 09:31:01 PM » |
|
|
« edited: November 05, 2004, 09:52:04 PM by CARLHAYDEN »
|
My worst case scenatio was Bush 286, Kerry 252 in the Electoral College.
My percentage for Bush was 51.10% (looks like he got 51.07% at this time). Pretty close.
Kerry did slightly better than my prediction with (apparently) 47.99% versus my prediction of 44.97%.
I wonder if the phony polls encouraged people who would have preferred Nader to vote for Kerry on the basis that they mistakenly believed he could be elected.
The only state seriously off was Vermont, which the Bush campaign abandoned as not worth the effort.
Kerry won every state I predicted he would win, and (except for Vermont) did NOT receive more than 53.04% in any of the states he won which I think he would have lost.
I still conder about the military/absentee votes in Pennsylvania.
|
