HI-01: Djou internal claims 8-point lead over Hanabusa

[JohnnyLongtorso]

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/08/djou_claims_ear.php

Charles Djou (R) - 50
Colleen Hanabusa (D) - 42

[You kip if you want to...]

...internal.

[SvenssonRS]

What is with all these internals lately?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

What is with all these internals lately?

Drives the "Democrats are doomed!" narrative, especially because there's been so little legitimate polling of House races.

[Lunar]

So it's tied?  Not bad.

[ajc0918]

GO DJOU!

[SvenssonRS]

What is with all these internals lately?

Drives the "Democrats are doomed!" narrative, especially because there's been so little legitimate polling of House races.

Well, it's completely pointless polling. I prefer numbers with actual meaning.

[Proud Lieberal from Northeast]

Djou have as much chances to win reelection as Joseph Cao

[Lunar]

Djou have as much chances to win reelection as Joseph Cao

Not true, Djou has a lot more working in his favor.  I think this race is accurately described as a tossup.


Conversely, Cedric Richmond can start measuring the drapes

[Former Moderate]

I still have this race as slightly favoring Djou. I respect Tarrance enough as an internal pollster that I'm sure it's not a wild outlier.

A bit too sunny for Djou, maybe. But probably not wildly so, unless Djou is in the habit of daily tracking polls.

[Kevin]

I still have this race as slightly favoring Djou. I respect Tarrance enough as an internal pollster that I'm sure it's not a wild outlier.

A bit too sunny for Djou, maybe. But probably not wildly so, unless Djou is in the habit of daily tracking polls.

I would agree, even though this seat leans strongly towards the Democrats on the Presidential and Senatorial level. Republicans have won here before in terms of governorships and local races.

[Lunar]

I still have this race as slightly favoring Djou. I respect Tarrance enough as an internal pollster that I'm sure it's not a wild outlier.

It's not wild, but Hanabusa overperformed expectations in the primary by beating the DCCC-backed Case, kicked off her contentious primary for her second go at it, and Djou only got 40% or so in favorable lower-turnout special election conditions...

I had expected Djou to get ca stronger plurality than he did in the special, to be honest, and that combined with Case withdrawing helps Hanabusa's fundamentals imo.  And Obama will be able to parachute in his likeness to help the Democrat in this race, unlike during the Special