Election 2012 Maps Predctions
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Author Topic: Election 2012 Maps Predctions  (Read 4209 times)
Jasengle
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« on: August 05, 2010, 06:43:56 PM »
give me your Predcions on the 2012 Presidential Election
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2010, 07:03:48 PM »
Who are the candidates?
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California8429
A-Bob
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« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2010, 07:04:48 PM »
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2010, 07:27:39 PM »

I'm guessing you would have to use your own opinion to guess the candidates.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2010, 08:05:56 PM »
Unemployment >7.5%



Unemployment <7.5%
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #5 on: August 05, 2010, 08:51:02 PM »
Mitt Romney/Haley Babour
vs.
Barack Obama/Joe Biden
[/color]
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: August 05, 2010, 09:12:25 PM »
Quote from: Republican95 on August 05, 2010, 08:51:02 PM
Mitt Romney/Haley Barbour
vs.
Barack Obama/Joe Biden
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: August 05, 2010, 09:15:41 PM »
Mitt Romney/Nikki Haley vs. Barack Obama/Joseph Biden
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useful idiot
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« Reply #8 on: August 05, 2010, 09:34:22 PM »
Against Thune:



Thune: 276
Obama: 262

Against Romney:



Obama: 285
Romney: 244

Against Palin:



Obama: 449
Palin: 89
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #9 on: August 05, 2010, 09:36:29 PM »
Barack Obama/Joe Biden
vs
Mitch Daniels/John Thune
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useful idiot
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« Reply #10 on: August 05, 2010, 09:38:44 PM »
Forgot Daniels. This would be my Obama v. Daniels map:



Daniels: 333
Obama: 200
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #11 on: August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM »
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.
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useful idiot
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« Reply #12 on: August 05, 2010, 09:44:04 PM »
Quote from: wormyguy on August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.

Minnesota sort of has a barrier that a Republican can't break. Wisconsin was only .38% from voting for Bush, whereas it was a 4 point spread in MN. I think a GOPer could win Wisconsin, but whether they could get 50%+1 in MN is questionable.

Just my opinion, of course.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #13 on: August 05, 2010, 09:44:18 PM »
Quote from: wormyguy on August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.
It's the whole regional appeal thing.  Minnesota would be close though.

My map is not as optimistic as useful idiot's because I foresee the economy recovering, albeit sluggishly, between now and 2012.  If we somehow end up in a double-dip then his is a lot more plausible.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #14 on: August 05, 2010, 09:55:10 PM »
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 09:44:18 PM
Quote from: wormyguy on August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.
It's the whole regional appeal thing.  Minnesota would be close though.

My map is not as optimistic as useful idiot's because I foresee the economy recovering, albeit sluggishly, between now and 2012.  If we somehow end up in a double-dip then his is a lot more plausible.

This was essentially the situation in 1992.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #15 on: August 05, 2010, 10:04:07 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on August 05, 2010, 09:55:10 PM
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 09:44:18 PM
Quote from: wormyguy on August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.
It's the whole regional appeal thing.  Minnesota would be close though.

My map is not as optimistic as useful idiot's because I foresee the economy recovering, albeit sluggishly, between now and 2012.  If we somehow end up in a double-dip then his is a lot more plausible.

This was essentially the situation in 1992.
All we need is another Perot....
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #16 on: August 05, 2010, 10:13:36 PM »
Unemployment is at 8.7% and the budget deficit is still over $1 trillion due in 2012 due to Obama caving on the Bush tax cuts.  The GOP candidate is Mitt Romney. 




Due to census changes, Romney wins the electoral vote 358-180. 
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #17 on: August 05, 2010, 11:18:24 PM »
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 10:04:07 PM
Quote from: Mr.Phips on August 05, 2010, 09:55:10 PM
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 09:44:18 PM
Quote from: wormyguy on August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.
It's the whole regional appeal thing.  Minnesota would be close though.

My map is not as optimistic as useful idiot's because I foresee the economy recovering, albeit sluggishly, between now and 2012.  If we somehow end up in a double-dip then his is a lot more plausible.

This was essentially the situation in 1992.
All we need is another Perot....

Bloomberg?
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #18 on: August 05, 2010, 11:42:19 PM »
Quote from: Rochambeau on August 05, 2010, 11:18:24 PM
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 10:04:07 PM
Quote from: Mr.Phips on August 05, 2010, 09:55:10 PM
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 09:44:18 PM
Quote from: wormyguy on August 05, 2010, 09:39:26 PM
McCain came closer to winning in Minnesota than Wisconsin.
It's the whole regional appeal thing.  Minnesota would be close though.

My map is not as optimistic as useful idiot's because I foresee the economy recovering, albeit sluggishly, between now and 2012.  If we somehow end up in a double-dip then his is a lot more plausible.

This was essentially the situation in 1992.
All we need is another Perot....

Bloomberg?

He has already ruled out a run.  There is nobody else who could possibly come up with the billion dollars that Perot did in 1992 to run a real campaign.  There will likely be Nader, but thats about it.
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Zacoftheaxes
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« Reply #19 on: August 05, 2010, 11:47:56 PM »
What it should be:
Gary Johnson/John Thune vs Barack Obama/Joe Biden




What it will be:

Mitt Romney/Nikki Haley vs Barack Obama/Joe Biden
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redcommander
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« Reply #20 on: August 05, 2010, 11:57:52 PM »
Why does everyone automatically assume Romney will chose Haley as a running mate?
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Zacoftheaxes
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« Reply #21 on: August 06, 2010, 01:30:28 AM »
Quote from: redcommander on August 05, 2010, 11:57:52 PM
Why does everyone automatically assume Romney will chose Haley as a running mate?

I just was being lazy. I tried to pick someone other than Haley but I didn't feel like thinking.
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #22 on: August 06, 2010, 02:31:07 AM »
Quote from: Yelnoc on August 05, 2010, 09:44:18 PM
My map is not as optimistic as useful idiot's because I foresee the economy recovering

The essence of the Republican Party during the Obama Administration.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #23 on: August 06, 2010, 09:55:08 AM »
Quote from: Zacoftheaxes on August 05, 2010, 11:47:56 PM
What it should be:
Gary Johnson/John Thune vs Barack Obama/Joe Biden





More likely:


Gary Johnson/John Thune vs Barack Obama/Joe Biden



New Mexico isn't a libertarian state. The Obama campaign will flood Nevada with California volunteers and Colorado with Texas Democrats as volunteers as in 2008. Thune has no particular attraction in Iowa. I'm not going to predict either Florida or Ohio on this map, but if they go for Obama, then a bunch of other states (NC, GA, MO, maybe IN, MO, MT, SC, and AZ) do so as well. 
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redcommander
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« Reply #24 on: August 06, 2010, 02:45:42 PM »
I could see Gary Johnson winning New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and at least making New Jersey close.
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