State Legislatures and Redistricting (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 03:04:18 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  State Legislatures and Redistricting (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: State Legislatures and Redistricting  (Read 50259 times)
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,304
United States


« on: August 09, 2010, 09:08:00 PM »

Can someone please do a map (either before or after the elections) to show which party is going to control the redistricting process in which states? Thank you.

I made this map (below) a few months ago. According to Johnny's list of the legislative bodies that lean takeover or are toss-up, the following could change.

New York  Democratic -> Split
Indiana Split -> Republican
Pennsylvania Split -> Republican
Alabama Split -> Republican
North Carolina Democratic -> Split or Republican (legislature has more power than Governor)
New Hampshire Democratic -> Split
Ohio Split -> Republican
Wisconsin Split -> Republican

The map below indicates which party will likely control redistricting. I've used the party favored for governor and the current state legislative composition (unless anyone knows any state that is favored to flip).

Red = Democratic
Blue = Republican
Green = split
Gray = non-partisan body (or at-large)



How will this all play out?
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,304
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2010, 09:52:46 PM »

Can someone please do a map (either before or after the elections) to show which party is going to control the redistricting process in which states? Thank you.

I made this map (below) a few months ago. According to Johnny's list of the legislative bodies that lean takeover or are toss-up, the following could change.

New York  Democratic -> Split
Indiana Split -> Republican
Pennsylvania Split -> Republican
Alabama Split -> Republican
North Carolina Democratic -> Split or Republican (legislature has more power than Governor)
New Hampshire Democratic -> Split
Ohio Split -> Republican
Wisconsin Split -> Republican

The map below indicates which party will likely control redistricting. I've used the party favored for governor and the current state legislative composition (unless anyone knows any state that is favored to flip).

Red = Democratic
Blue = Republican
Green = split
Gray = non-partisan body (or at-large)



How will this all play out?

The map predates the primaries, and doesn't reflect governorships that are polling differently than they did in Jan. It would be handy to update it to reflect those changes as well.

I've shifted several states that now clearly favor one party or the other. The rest I've kept as is.

Red = Democratic
Blue = Republican
Green = split
Gray = non-partisan body (or at-large)

Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,304
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2010, 05:01:03 PM »

Maine actually redistricts after the 2012 election. Will any/all legislative seats be up for election in 2012?
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,304
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2010, 10:33:13 PM »
« Edited: November 15, 2010, 07:49:55 PM by nclib »

I've made an updated map:



Red = full Democratic control
Blue = full Republican control
Green = split control
Gray = non-partisan commission (or N.A. for at-large states)

Nebraska is technically non-partisan, but will have a GOP map.
New York has a chance of having full Democratic control.
Minnesota has a chance of having full Republican control.
Rhode Island has an Independent, but will likely have a Democratic map.
New Hampshire has a Democratic Governor, but a veto-proof GOP legislature.
Maine has legislative elections again before it redistricts.

Any other adjustments?
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,304
United States


« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2010, 07:47:34 PM »
« Edited: November 15, 2010, 07:54:36 PM by nclib »

I've made an updated map:



Red = full Democratic control
Blue = full Republican control
Green = split control
Gray = non-partisan commission (or N.A. for at-large states)

Nebraska is technically non-partisan, but will have a GOP map.
New York has a chance of having full Democratic control.
Minnesota has a chance of having full Republican control.
Rhode Island has an Independent Governor, but will likely have a Democratic map.
New Hampshire has a Democratic Governor but a veto proof GOP legislature.
Maine has legislative elections again before it redistricts.


Would you mind making a map of who had control for the current lines so we can do a bit of a comparison?

Okay. CT and ME are unclear do to ME redistricting a cycle later, and this was CT's description (from Fairvote):

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,304
United States


« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2010, 09:45:33 PM »

Can anyone make a map of the relative GOP gains per state legislature (i.e. percent of Democratic seats that changed hands), since some states where control of chamber flipped, it was already close before the election, and also some states have different numbers of Representatives in their legislature.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 13 queries.