http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/35841/palin_huckabee_top_choice_for_us_republicansThis isn't actually a poll of people's primary voting intentions - it's a poll of whether they feel a given individual in a list of names would be a good president. That's arguably more interesting at this point, as these numbers are a rough function of name recognition times positive opinion.
Comments:
Support for both Palin and Huckabee is surprisingly high. I was not aware that Huckabee had such high name recognition. Romney and Gingrich have both been running very effective campaigns, boosting their support by 16 and 14 points, respectively, since November of 2009. Rudy Giuliani might actually have a shot based on these numbers - although he would probably be sunk (as in 2008) by his liberal views and his propensity for scandals. Tim Pawlenty has run an extremely ineffective campaign, unable to increase his support at all. In perhaps the biggest surprise, Ron Paul's support has actually
decreased, the only serious contender to do so, and by a very large margin of 10 percent. That would be consistent with the hypothesis that the Tea Party movement peaked early this year. Gary Johnson has nearly doubled his support - but from 4 percent to 7 percent.
