Mr. Moderate's Gubernatorial Scorecard
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  Mr. Moderate's Gubernatorial Scorecard
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Author Topic: Mr. Moderate's Gubernatorial Scorecard  (Read 4479 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #25 on: August 31, 2010, 04:41:13 PM »

Stop. Posting.
[/quote]

I was responding to the fact that Brown in a state where an inc GOP governor has low approvals should be ahead at this point, he has not had a substantial lead over Whittman, meaning he is a lousy campaigner. I respect Brown but he may face defeat in Nov, and it shouldn't be a remote possibility for such.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #26 on: August 31, 2010, 04:45:03 PM »

Well, it looks like the Dems chances have gotten better in Florida Bud Chiles drops independent bid.
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redcommander
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« Reply #27 on: August 31, 2010, 05:59:18 PM »

Well, it looks like the Dems chances have gotten better in Florida Bud Chiles drops independent bid.

Good news for Sink. Scott needs to be sent back to that slime hole he came out of.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
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« Reply #28 on: August 31, 2010, 06:57:35 PM »

Just out of interest, why do you have GA as moving towards to the Dems? Grin

Just playing my hunch.

Well, it looks like the Dems chances have gotten better in Florida Bud Chiles drops independent bid.

Far more likely is that Republican chances have gotten better in Florida.
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Lunar
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« Reply #29 on: September 01, 2010, 09:05:38 PM »

Far more likely is that Republican chances have gotten better in Florida.

Chiles voters have a 60/20 disapprove/approve rating for Scott.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
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« Reply #30 on: September 01, 2010, 09:36:42 PM »

Far more likely is that Republican chances have gotten better in Florida.

Chiles voters have a 60/20 disapprove/approve rating for Scott.

That fact doesn't exist in a vacuum: What do those same voters think about Sink?
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Lunar
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« Reply #31 on: September 01, 2010, 09:52:09 PM »

Far more likely is that Republican chances have gotten better in Florida.

Chiles voters have a 60/20 disapprove/approve rating for Scott.

That fact doesn't exist in a vacuum: What do those same voters think about Sink?

Even if Chiles was serving as a placeholder for Scott voters, don't placeholder candidates typically have their support wane on election day as they are no longer viable?  Who would be the ones that remain?

What does Chiles offer Scott voters that other 3rd party candidates don't?  Pretty much just inclusion int he polling and a little name recognition
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
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« Reply #32 on: September 02, 2010, 07:11:55 AM »

Even if Chiles was serving as a placeholder for Scott voters, don't placeholder candidates typically have their support wane on election day as they are no longer viable?  Who would be the ones that remain?

What does Chiles offer Scott voters that other 3rd party candidates don't?  Pretty much just inclusion int he polling and a little name recognition

Viability.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
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« Reply #33 on: October 08, 2010, 02:38:36 PM »

I neglected this for too long, so there are too many changes to track. Here's where I have the races.

Solid Democrat: NY
Strong Democrat: AR>, CO(trending towards Tancredo), NH>, MD
Lean Democrat: CT>, MA>, CA

Toss-up: HI, MN, FL, OR, RI, VT

Lean Republican: <ME, NM, PA, <OH, <IL, WI, <GA, TX
Strong Republican: MI, IA, <SC
Solid Republican: AL, AK, AZ, KS, NE, OK, SD, UT, WY, <ID, TN, NV


Balance of Power
2010: 27D - 23R - 0I
2011: 20D - 30R
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #34 on: October 09, 2010, 03:55:49 PM »


I'm anxiously awaiting polling from this seat. With Cahill's LG dropping out and endorsing Baker, I'm wondering how much this has helped him.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
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« Reply #35 on: November 01, 2010, 07:47:11 AM »
« Edited: November 01, 2010, 03:16:50 PM by Mr. Moderate »

November 1, 2010: My final picks for the gubernatorial races. There are a few funky calls in there, yes, but I'm trying to be personally predictive and not safe.

Lean Independent: RI (+1I/-1R)

Solid Democrat: NY
Strong Democrat: MD, CA, AR
Lean Democrat: CO, VT
The D side of toss-up: HI, MN, MA, NH
The R side of toss-up: FL, OR, CT
Lean Republican: ME, NM, PA, OH, IL
Strong Republican: SC, WI, GA, TX
Solid Republican: AL, AK, AZ, KS, NE, OK, SD, UT, WY, ID, TN, NV, MI, IA


Balance of Power
2010: 27D - 23R - 0I
2011: 17D - 32R - 1I
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #36 on: November 01, 2010, 03:14:45 PM »

Arkansas closer than California?!?
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
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« Reply #37 on: November 01, 2010, 03:17:03 PM »


Sorry, never moved AR back up.  Smiley
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