CA: Survey USA: Fiorina defeats Boxer by 5 (user search)
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  CA: Survey USA: Fiorina defeats Boxer by 5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA: Survey USA: Fiorina defeats Boxer by 5  (Read 6631 times)
Dgov
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Posts: 1,558
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« on: August 12, 2010, 05:24:14 PM »


He's referring to Public Opinion Strategies - POS.

You'd think they'd change their name if it shortens to that . . .
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Dgov
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,558
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2010, 06:36:22 PM »

A Couple of things to note here.  For starters, the under 35 Demographic is apparently Whitman's best, as she wins them by 5 points (44-39) while holding Brown to roughly even with other voters.  However, this demographic is also Boxer's Best, as she wins it by 2 (45-43) despite losing all other groups by about 6 points.

Minor Candidates are also chewing away at the Democrat's base--almost 10% of Self-identified Democrats are planning to vote 3rd party compared to about 1% of Self-identified Republicans (though this is California, we do usually see above-average Leftist 3rd-party support here)

Also the Maldanado/Newson Numbers seem somewhat inconsistent.  The Republican apparently wins Hispanic voters by 9 points but whites by only 1 (though there are far more SI Republicans undecided than in the other races; it might just be Conservative angst over his role in the budget crisis)

So in summary, these polls suggests that A) Young Voters generally like the Democrats, but still prefer Whitman to Brown, B) Republicans are doing better than ever among Hispanics voters, and look set to run close to even in the non-black Minority vote, C) There is significant disillusionment with the Democratic party among it's base, and D) Hispanics will probably vote for a Hispanic candidate more than a White one.
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