Australian Federal Election - Results Thread

[Insula Dei]

ABC has

Labor  65
Coalition  55
Others  3
Undecided  27

But I guess you all knew that already

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Lindsay and Greenway are both extremely close.

Labor gain McEwen.

[Silent Hunter]

It's a sign of how long this site has been around that I can remember following the 2004 election here.

[Mr. Morden]

The analysts on TV are suggesting that a Labor majority is looking less and less likely.

[You kip if you want to...]

The analysts on TV are suggesting that a Labor majority is looking less and less likely.

I think if they don't win La Trobe, it's impossible. Solomon makes it look worrying too, that should've been a Lab hold.

[Platypus]

Dear Queenslanders and New South Welshmen: go get farked. Sincerely, Victoria and Tasmania.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Situation so far, I think.

[You kip if you want to...]

WA has started counting.

[You kip if you want to...]

Brandt says he's won in Melbourne.

[Cubby]

It's a sign of how long this site has been around that I can remember following the 2004 election here.

The 2004 election was my introduction to Australian politics. I was a huge Mark Latham supporter.

Tony Abbott= Rick Santorum. I can't believe a country more socially liberal than USA might put a guy like that in power. I know most countries care far less about social issues than we do but come on.

I can't believe Labor might lose this. The real question is would they be doing better or worse with Rudd as the leader. Labor's lead has been reduced from 63/50 to 65/56 in the past half hour. Just checked and now its 66/57, with West Australia still left to report.

I hope there isn't a hung parliament, although its preferable to the Liberals winning.

Has there been any planning for a potential Labor-led hung parliament? What parties would that consist of?

[You kip if you want to...]

Could Labor lose Grayndler if the Greens finish second?

[redcommander]

Wilkie will probably win in Denison due to voting preferences from Liberal and Green voters.

[Insula Dei]

Hung parliament seems very likely now.(?)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Wilkie will probably win in Denison due to voting preferences from Liberal and Green voters.

Complicated; depends on how the preferences flowed and on the postal votes. The latter point goes for a lot of seats, actually...

[You kip if you want to...]

Hung parliament seems very likely now.(?)

Should Wilkie win and Labor doesn't make too many further loses, it's probably certain. It's also looking difficult for Labor in Grayndler should the Greens finish second, which they currently at.

[Mr. Morden]

Hung parliament seems very likely now.(?)

I agree.  It looks like the most likely scenario at the moment.

[You kip if you want to...]

Labor gain La Trobe.

[Cubby]

Liberals win back Bennelong  (insert vomiting smiley here)

[You kip if you want to...]

Hung parliament seems very likely now.(?)

I agree.  It looks like the most likely scenario at the moment.

Election 2011, here we come...?

[Platypus]

My numbers keep saying that if you include Denison and Melbourne in the ALP count they've got 75-77, depending on WA. Maaaybe 78 if they can get Solomon, but I'm not confident.


...edit: and Antony Green agrees

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I was about to post the same sort of thing!

It's also looking difficult for Labor in Grayndler should the Greens finish second, which they currently at.

Labor first preferences are about 46%; ought to be enough to hang on.

[You kip if you want to...]

I was about to post the same sort of thing!

It's also looking difficult for Labor in Grayndler should the Greens finish second, which they currently at.

Labor first preferences are about 46%; ought to be enough to hang on.

Did the Liberals give any preference recommendations?

[Cubby]

Durack (West Australia) has a 5.7% swing to ALP!
Unfortunately its with only 1.5% of votes counted

Canning is even worse, 14.8% to Liberals with 0.1% of vote counted

LOL 0.1% LOL

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Did the Liberals give any preference recommendations?

Oh they usually preference Greens in seats like that. To be pricks.

[Platypus]

looks like a small-h hung parliament, with Labor winning with the backing of Adam Bandt and whoever wins Denison.