Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 20, 2013, 05:12:27 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: Sibboleth)
| | |-+  Australian Federal Election - Results Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 15 Print
Author Topic: Australian Federal Election - Results Thread  (Read 16117 times)
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56721
French Polynesia


View Profile
« Reply #75 on: August 21, 2010, 07:10:06 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 21, 2010, 07:07:57 am
Labor was leading in the early returns in Corangamite, but the margin is now less than 300 votes:

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/cora.htm

Closest seat at the moment.

39,321 to 38,047 is 300? (Actually, that lead with two precincts out is not enough to call it - wtf?)
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will


Support Tahiti!
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53153
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #76 on: August 21, 2010, 07:11:39 am »
Green thinks that Lindsay, Greenway and Corangamite will all stay Labor.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15002
United States


View Profile
« Reply #77 on: August 21, 2010, 07:12:32 am »
Ignore
Quote from: many's the long night I've dreamed of cheese on August 21, 2010, 07:10:06 am
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 21, 2010, 07:07:57 am
Labor was leading in the early returns in Corangamite, but the margin is now less than 300 votes:

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/cora.htm

Closest seat at the moment.

39,321 to 38,047 is 300? (Actually, that lead with two precincts out is not enough to call it - wtf?)

Wait, sorry.  No, it's 1300.  I just misread it.  Tongue
Logged
What is your opinion of this thread?

Watch this video of Dave being briefed by the mods.

Quote from: Lunar on March 20, 2011, 10:58:04 am
Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #78 on: August 21, 2010, 07:16:39 am »
Ignore
5 final seats:

Boothby (Lib): 50.4% LIB
Corangamite (ALP): tied
Greenway (ALP not): 50.5% ALP
Hasluck (ALP): 50.5% LIB
Lindsay (ALP): 50.2% ALP

imo, only Corangamite is in doubt for me. so, ALP 71 vs. Forces of Darkness 73.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56721
French Polynesia


View Profile
« Reply #79 on: August 21, 2010, 07:17:19 am »
Ignore
The 50.0-50.0 is probably what lead you.

The tallies and percentages often don't sync - I *think* that's because the percentage is a projection. (Which means those missing precincts must be Coalition areas.)
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will


Support Tahiti!
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56721
French Polynesia


View Profile
« Reply #80 on: August 21, 2010, 07:19:07 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Jango on August 21, 2010, 07:16:39 am
5 final seats:

Boothby (Lib): 50.4% LIB
Corangamite (ALP): tied
Greenway (ALP not): 50.5% ALP
Hasluck (ALP): 50.5% LIB
Lindsay (ALP): 50.2% ALP

imo, only Corangamite is in doubt for me. so, ALP 71 vs. Forces of Darkness 73.

Wait - they've called O'Connor? That looks premature to me. (Mind you, it's an intra FoD battle.)
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will


Support Tahiti!
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20916
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #81 on: August 21, 2010, 07:20:38 am »
Ignore
 I also am not convinced of what'll happen in Denison and Hasluck, but in short: If Abbott is PM in a few days, the greens are at fault.
Logged
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53153
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #82 on: August 21, 2010, 07:22:02 am »
Quite a few calls are probably premature; they really ought to wait until the situation wrt the postals is clear.

Anyway... as per ABC...
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #83 on: August 21, 2010, 07:22:28 am »
Ignore
ABC projection is ALP 69, COAL 70, GRN 1, IND 4. Which means there's a 6th seat in doubt.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53153
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #84 on: August 21, 2010, 07:22:56 am »
Quote from: many's the long night I've dreamed of cheese on August 21, 2010, 07:17:19 am
(Which means those missing precincts must be Coalition areas.)

Not always; sometimes there are errors, sometimes there are problems caused by boundary changes.
Logged
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53153
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #85 on: August 21, 2010, 07:26:12 am »
Longest serving MP to lose (probably; it's on 50.6 with 68% counted) is Arch Bevis, who'd held the division of Brisbane since 1990. Basically a victim of boundary changes.
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #86 on: August 21, 2010, 07:29:36 am »
Ignore
Bob Katter has a weird voice. He seems like he's dying.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53153
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #87 on: August 21, 2010, 07:30:27 am »
Quote from: Jango on August 21, 2010, 07:29:36 am
Bob Katter has a weird voice. He seems like he's dying.

He's from Northern Queensland...

What's he saying, btw? I've turned the telly-link off for now.
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #88 on: August 21, 2010, 07:34:11 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Sibboleth on August 21, 2010, 07:30:27 am
What's he saying, btw? I've turned the telly-link off for now.

From what I could understand (which is not much), it seems like the 3 old Indies will act as a kind of bloc and they'll be basing their decision largely on regional-local issues.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20916
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #89 on: August 21, 2010, 07:34:58 am »
Ignore
Labor ahead on the TPP for the first time all night...glimmer of hope
Logged
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20916
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #90 on: August 21, 2010, 07:35:33 am »
Ignore
50.65% ALP TPP, btw.
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #91 on: August 21, 2010, 07:38:04 am »
Ignore
ABC now has Canning (Lib) in doubt. Liberals ahead rather 'comfortably' there, but a 2.8% swing to the ALP there.

Tony Windsor sez both Gillard and Hockey have called. He seems to say the same thing as Katter. And now Oakeshott is on ze phone. Thank you for speaking English properly, btw, Rob.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #92 on: August 21, 2010, 07:39:52 am »
Ignore
Fun that of the 4 Indies, 3 are ex-Nats and the latest one is a... ex-Greenie.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8085
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #93 on: August 21, 2010, 07:46:20 am »
Ignore
Could we see a summer election in November/December?
Logged

Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20916
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #94 on: August 21, 2010, 07:47:40 am »
Ignore
As I've been saying, Wilkie isn't elected yet (and Stephen Smith, bless him, agrees) and the other Independents aren't guaranteed Abbott supporters, especially Oakeshott and Katter and Windsor Wink

Also any government will most likely last the full term, due to the nature of our Senate elections.
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #95 on: August 21, 2010, 07:52:06 am »
Ignore
Natties ahead in O'Connor now Cheesy

Nationals seem to be gaining O'Connor right now, w/ 34% counted. A victory for sanity!
« Last Edit: August 21, 2010, 07:57:32 am by Jango »Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20916
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #96 on: August 21, 2010, 07:58:45 am »
Ignore
Also, in the three seats where I know a candidate personally and in a non-political context, the results are as follows:

Rebecca Leighton, Greens, Swan: 11. 47% (+1.45%)
Jess Di Blasio, Greens, Macarthur: 5.21% (+1.1%)
Hugh Mortensen, Labor, Murray: 23.63% (-0.43%)
Logged
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20916
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #97 on: August 21, 2010, 08:04:33 am »
Ignore
Wilkie only ahead by 16 votes in first preference terms from the Liberals. But this is actually bad news, because the Greens are more likely now to be eliminated before the Liberals, preferencing Wilkie over the Libs and probably Labor. Denison is now looking more positive for Wilkie than before.
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #98 on: August 21, 2010, 08:23:49 am »
Ignore
Senate counting is funny: DLP now has a Senate seat.
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30341
South Africa


View Profile WWW
« Reply #99 on: August 21, 2010, 08:27:44 am »
Ignore
Dear George Brandis,

Plese go DIAF.

Sincerely,
Hashemite
Logged




Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 15 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory