1996 Presidential results under 2000s Congressional districts

[nclib]

Anyone want to help out with this?

The at-large states are a given. And for the states with no county splits (AR, IA, WV) I calculated:

WV-1,2,3: Clinton
AR-1,2,4: Clinton
AR-3: Dole
IA-1,2,3,4: Clinton
IA-5: Dole

Anyone want to look up precinct data and/or estimate other states...

[JoeyJoeJoe]

AL 1-6:  Dole
AL-7:  Clinton
AZ-1, 4, 7, 8:  Clinton
AZ-2, 3, 6:  Dole
AZ-5 :  ?
CA-1, 5-20, 23-24, 26-39, 43, 47, 51, 53:  Clinton
Ca-2, 4, 21, 22, 25, 40-42, 44-46, 48-50, 52:  Dole
CO-1, 2:  Clinton
CO-3-7:  Dole
CT 1-5:  Clinton
FL-1, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12-15, 18, 21, 24, 25:  Dole
FL-2, 3, 5, 10-11, 16, 17, 19-20, 22-23:  Clinton
GA-1, 3, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11:  Dole
GA-2, 4, 5, 8, 12, 13:  Clinton
HI-1, 2:  Clinton
ID-1, 2:  Dole
IL-1-5, 7, 9-12, 15, 17, 19:  Clinton
IL-6, 8, 13-14, 16, 18:  Dole
IN-1, 7-9:  Clinton
IN-3-6:  Dole
IN-2:  ?
KS 1-4:  Dole
KY 1, 3, 5, 6:  Clinton
KY 2, 4:  Dole
LA 1:  Dole
LA 2-7:  Clinton

[JoeyJoeJoe]

ME 1-2:  Clinton
MD 1, 6:  Dole
MD 2-5, 7-8:  Clinton
MA 1-10:  Clinton
MI 1, 4-15:  Clinton
MI 2-3:  Dole
MI-10:  ?
MN 1-8:  Clinton
MS 2:  Clinton
MS 1, 3, 4:  Dole
MO 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 9:  Clinton
MO 2, 4, 7:  Dole
NE 1-3:  Dole
NV 1:  Clinton
NV 2:  Dole
NH 1-2:  Clinton
NJ 1-4, 6, 10, 12-13:  Clinton
NJ 5, 11:  Dole
NM 1-3:  Clinton
NY 1-29:  Clinton
NC 1, 4, 7, 12:  Clinton
NC 2, 3, 5, 6, 9-11:  Dole
NC 8, 13:  ?
OH 1, 3, 6, 9-14, 16-18:  Clinton
OH 2, 4, 5, 7-8, 15:  Dole
OK 2:  Clinton
OK 1, 3-5:  Dole
OR 1, 3-5:  Clinton
OR 2:  Dole
PA 1-4, 6-8, 11-15:  Clinton
PA 5, 9-10, 16-17:  Dole
PA 18:  ?
RI 1-2:  Clinton
SC 1-5:  Dole
SC 6:  Clinton
TN 1-3, 7:  Dole
TN 4-6, 8-9:  Clinton
TX 1-8, 10-14, 17, 19, 21-22, 24, 26, 31-32:  Dole
TX 9, 15-16, 18, 20, 23, 25, 27-30:  Clinton
UT 1-3:  Dole
VA 1, 2, 5-7, 10:  Dole
VA 3, 8, 9, 11:  Clinton
VA 4:  ?
WA 1-3, 5-9:  Clinton
WA 4:  Dole
WI 1-4, 6-8:  Clinton
WI 5:  Dole

This is based on the 1990s maps and how the districts have changed over the last 15 years (e.x. Jefferson and Arapahoe counties in CO-7 were musch more Republican in 1996 than they are now).

[homelycooking]

Here's a map

...any idea on the blank districts?

[Mr.Phips]

Pretty sure AL-03 also would have been a Clinton district.  Same with NC-08. 

[nclib]

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Yes, but I doubt CO-7 voted for Dole since it went for Gore. These were the swings in CO-7's counties from 1996-2000:

Adams 6.3 to Bush
Arapahoe 0.9 to Gore
Jefferson 2.4 to Bush

[Mr.Phips]

Here:

AL 3, 7:  Clinton
AL 1-2, 4-6:  Dole
AZ 1, 4, 7, 8:  Clinton
AZ 2-3, 5-6:  Dole
AR 1-2, 4:  Clinton
AR 3:  Dole
CA 1, 5-10, 12-18, 20, 23, 27-39, 43, 47, 51, 53:  Clinton
CA 2-4, 11, 19, 21-22, 24-26, 40-42, 44-46, 48-50, 52:  Dole
CO 1-2, 7:  Clinton
CO 3-6:  Dole
CT 1-5:  Clinton
FL 1, 4, 6-9, 12-16, 21-22, 24-25:  Dole
FL 2-3, 5, 10-11, 17-20-23:  Clinton
GA 2, 4-5, 8, 12-13:  Clinton
GA 1, 3, 6-7, 9-11:  Dole
IL 1-7, 9-12, 17:  Clinton
IL 8, 13-16, 18-19:  Dole
IN 1-2, 7, 9:  Clinton
IN 3-6, 8:  Dole
IA 1-4: Clinton
IA 5: Dole
KS 1-4:  Dole
KY 1, 3, 5-6:  Clinton
KY 2, 4: Dole
LA 2-7:  Clinton
LA 1:  Dole
MD 2-5, 7-8: Clinton
MD 1, 6:  Dole
MI 1, 4-8, 10-15:  Clinton
MI 2, 3, 9:  Dole
MN 1-8:  Clinton
NV 1, 3:  Clinton
NV 2:  Dole
NJ 1-4, 6, 8-10, 12-13:  Clinton
NJ 5, 7, 11:  Dole
NC 1-2, 4, 7-8, 12-13:  Clinton
NC 3, 5-6, 9-11:  Dole
OH 1, 3, 6, 9-14, 16-18:  Clinton
OH 2, 4-5, 7-8, 15:  Dole

[nclib]

NV-3 and NC-13 almost certainly went for Clinton - they were 0.5 Gore and 0.3 Bush in 2000 and the counties they were in, swung to Bush.

AL-3 looks to be Clinton assuming the split counties were at all comparable to 2000 (Montgomery actually swung to Gore).

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Here's a map

...any idea on the blank districts?

For Nevada's district:


It's almost all contained in Clark County.  When Kerry won Clark, he won it by 4% and almost carried the district as well.  Clinton won the county by 9%, so maybe that would be enough for the district to go the same way.