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April 30, 2024, 01:43:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


« on: September 11, 2010, 11:42:13 AM »

Olawakandi's most recent Senate prediction. the GOP with a net loss of 2

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CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2010, 11:18:22 AM »

Return of the Fail:

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CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2010, 10:57:27 PM »

My prediction is not based on the present. If the 2012 election were held today, Obama would probably win actually, based on the his approval ratings still being decent and the weakness of the Republican field. But the American people are going to have to endure two more years of unemployment, stagnating real wages, exploding healthcare costs, and an economy that has deep structural problems that the government is not solving. If Republicans get into power in November, then they'll probably force Obama to go down the austerity route, which will make problems even worse. We're not creating jobs, and we're not going to be creating jobs at this rate until 2016 or so. Obama cannot be re-elected in 2012 if the unemployment rate is still 8-10% (which it will be) and the economy still sucks (which it will). Obama will not be able to survive another two years of suffering and lack of progress, and yet he won't be able to do anything about it because Republicans + blue dogs will prevent him.

Couldn't have said it better myself.  Leif has been the voice of reason for a long while on the forum.


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CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2010, 01:31:15 PM »

From this:
Obama loses decisively to Huckabee or Romney, has a toss-up against Gingrich, and  clearly beats Palin in Missouri.

Pbrower draws this inference:
President Obama likely wins a bunch of states that Democratic nominees for President that haven't voted for a Democrat since 1964 -- likely the two Dakotas, Nebraska except for NE-03, and Kansas.
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CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2010, 01:33:48 PM »

Grin

Wormys sig
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CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2011, 05:50:00 PM »

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