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bawlexus91
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E: 4.00, S: -3.30

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« on: August 30, 2010, 08:48:06 pm »
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« Last Edit: June 07, 2012, 08:55:57 am by . »Logged
Odysseus
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2010, 12:15:20 pm »
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I live in Virginia and he's already said he wouldn't run until his term was over, so that rules out a 2012 run, but still allows for '16/'20 speculation. Deeds was also a pretty god awful candidate.

But let's go with it.

Not much changes in your set up, other than some more Obama dissatisfaction. Nominating a conservative Virginian, and conservative South Carolinian is not the way to convert Pennsylvania, however dissatisfied it is. Your only hope really is a hit-or-miss liberal third party candidate, or democrats staying home in spite. Nevada's gonna stay Democrat, if Vegas has anything to say about it. Finally, Iowa was very pro-Obama IIRC in 08, and it's approval is still pretty high. Since the only thing keeping VA from going democratic in this setup is McDonnell, I'm gonna say that Iowa stays democratic, by a very slim margin.



Obama/Biden - 273
McDonnell/Haley - 265

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feeblepizza
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2010, 07:46:32 am »
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In the projected 2012 Electoral College makeup, Obama wins 282-256. Ohio is the crucial swing state. McDonnell would very easily be able to make a comeback in 2016 or '20 if he chose to. Haley would too, of course.
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Odysseus
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« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2010, 01:13:08 pm »
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I live in Virginia and he's already said he wouldn't run until his term was over, so that rules out a 2012 run, but still allows for '16/'20 speculation. Deeds was also a pretty god awful candidate.

But let's go with it.

Not much changes in your set up, other than some more Obama dissatisfaction. Nominating a conservative Virginian, and conservative South Carolinian is not the way to convert Pennsylvania, however dissatisfied it is. Your only hope really is a hit-or-miss liberal third party candidate, or democrats staying home in spite. Nevada's gonna stay Democrat, if Vegas has anything to say about it. Finally, Iowa was very pro-Obama IIRC in 08, and it's approval is still pretty high. Since the only thing keeping VA from going democratic in this setup is McDonnell, I'm gonna say that Iowa stays democratic, by a very slim margin.



Obama/Biden - 273
McDonnell/Haley - 265




http://www.gop12.com/2010/09/bob-mcdonnell-added-to-values-voter.html

 . . . and you think there's ZERO chance of him running for national office?

In 2012? No. He's already said he's not running.
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President Mitt
Giovanni
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« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2010, 07:31:47 pm »
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Hopefully any ticket with her on it would go up in flames.
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Giovanni
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« Reply #5 on: September 09, 2010, 01:00:45 pm »
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Yeah, that's not a racist cartoon at all, is it?

You are correct, it is not.
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feeblepizza
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E: 4.45, S: -0.26

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« Reply #6 on: September 09, 2010, 08:37:38 pm »
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Yeah, that's not a racist cartoon at all, is it?

You are correct, it is not.
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