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Author Topic: INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)  (Read 174022 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #275 on: October 13, 2010, 12:07:31 PM »

Mike Pompeo’s (R) campaign released a new internal poll Wednesday showing a 17% lead for Pompeo in his campaign for Congress in the Fourth District.

Pompeo’s poll, conducted by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates on October 10 and 11, gives Pompeo support from 48% of the 300 survey respondents, Raj Goyle (D) 31%, Shawn Smith (L) 3%, Susan Ducey (RP) 3% and shows 16% undecided. The survey’s margin of error is 5.6%.

Josh Wells, Pompeo for Congress Communications Director said, “The results of this poll show that Mike Pompeo’s message of smaller government, less spending and lower taxes is resonating among voters of all backgrounds across the 4th District.”

http://stateofthestateks.com/2010/10/13/mike-pompeos-campaign-releases-internal-poll-giving-pompeo-17-point-lead-over-raj-goyle/
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #276 on: October 13, 2010, 12:46:54 PM »

I know, Aaron Schock is so last year's model.

As if. Aaron Schock now, Aaron Schock forever.
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cinyc
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« Reply #277 on: October 13, 2010, 03:24:36 PM »

VA-08 (Republican Internal)
Moran (D)(i) - 45%
Murray (R)    - 32%

Unknown dates and sample size.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #278 on: October 13, 2010, 06:08:23 PM »

Mike Keown/GA-02:

Sanford Bishop (D) - 47
Mike Keown (R) - 46

Amusing Dem poll of OH-08:

John Boehner (R) - 30.4
Justin Coussoule (D) - 19.6
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #279 on: October 13, 2010, 06:14:41 PM »

John Boehner (R) - 30.4
Justin Coussoule (D) - 19.6

INCUMBENT UNDER 50
BAD NEWS FOR BONER
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #280 on: October 13, 2010, 09:00:30 PM »

McNerney releases a poll to push back on the SUSA one:

Jerry McNerney (D) - 45
David Harmer (R) - 35
David Christensen (AIP) - 5
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #281 on: October 13, 2010, 09:06:57 PM »


That's not a very strong response imo.
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cinyc
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« Reply #282 on: October 13, 2010, 09:35:45 PM »


At least it's only 2 weeks old, not 2 months old, as some of the other hastily leaked damage control internals were.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #283 on: October 14, 2010, 02:02:06 AM »

Schwartz wants us to believe she's on track to do as well as she did in 2004 and 2008 - http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/Schwartz_October_poll_memo1.pdf

Schwartz (D) - 57%
Adcock (R) - 32%
Undecided - 11%

My favorite bit: 67% believe "I may not always agree with Allyson Schwartz but she has been an effective advocate for this area in Congress."


No, BUT...  Schwartz will get about that percent with Adcock getting about the 32+11.  I don't agree with Allyson Schwartz on everything either.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #284 on: October 14, 2010, 02:04:29 AM »

And Grassrootspa.com is a conservative website to boot.  So Phil and others dreading this day....The PA-13 THREAD WILL BEGIN!!!!!!!
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #285 on: October 14, 2010, 06:04:18 PM »

Leonard Boswell (D) in IA-03 has him up 47-38.

Republican poll of OR-04 has Pete DeFazio (D) up 48-42 over Art Robinson (R). Amusingly, they claim this is terrible, because it's a huge drop from his 2008 margin... when he didn't have a Republican opponent. They must have Carl working for them.

Stephen Fincher (R) in TN-08 has him up 47-36.

Sanford Bishop (D) in GA-02 has him up 50-40.

NRCC poll of NY-24 has Richard Hanna (R) up 46-43 over Arcuri (D).

Chris Carney (D) in PA-10 has him up 48-41.

Bill Hedrick (D) in CA-44 has Ken Calvert (R) beating him 48-43.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #286 on: October 14, 2010, 06:14:55 PM »

Everything looks about as I expect.
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cinyc
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« Reply #287 on: October 15, 2010, 01:00:29 AM »

MN-07 for Peterson (D)Sad

Peterson (D)(i)                 - 54%
Byberg (R)                        - 20%
Unnamed Independent 1  -  5%
Unnamed Independent 2  -  5%
Undecided                        - 25%

September 28; Unknown Pollster; LV or RV; Sample Size; MoE.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #288 on: October 15, 2010, 01:20:28 AM »

WV-03:

A poll released Wednesday by the West Virginia Democratic Party puts Rep. Nick Rahall, D-W.Va., ahead of Republican Elliott "Spike" Maynard by 56 to 37 percent.

The poll by Anzalone Liszt Research shows 7 percent of possible voters remain undecided. The poll was conducted on Oct. 10-12 with 400 likely voters. It has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

http://www.herald-dispatch.com/news/x983707059/Rahall-leads-Maynard-in-poll
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #289 on: October 15, 2010, 10:37:19 AM »

John Boehner (R) - 30.4
Justin Coussoule (D) - 19.6
Lol, is that of all persons polled or what?
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #290 on: October 15, 2010, 01:03:53 PM »

John Boehner (R) - 30.4
Justin Coussoule (D) - 19.6
Lol, is that of all persons polled or what?

Yep, the decimals were caused by some siamese twins.
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cinyc
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« Reply #291 on: October 15, 2010, 03:49:40 PM »

TN-04 for DesJarlais (R):

DesJarlais (R) - 45%
Davis (D)(i)     - 40%

Unknown dates, etc.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #292 on: October 16, 2010, 10:28:03 AM »

Rob Miller (D) in SC-02 has Joe Wilson (R) beating him 46-39.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #293 on: October 16, 2010, 05:57:32 PM »

Couple entertaining polls from hopeless candidates...

Joel Pollak (R) in IL-09 shows Jan Schakowsky beating him 48-30.

Jacob Turk in MO-05 shows Emanuel Cleaver (D) beating him 52-43.
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redcommander
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« Reply #294 on: October 17, 2010, 01:16:37 PM »

I'd be more upset if Adam Kinzinger wasn't so dashingly good-looking.

I know seriously what is it with Illinois finding hotties to run for political office; Schock, Kinzinger, Giannoulias, etc..
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Torie
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« Reply #295 on: October 17, 2010, 06:50:11 PM »

I know, Aaron Schock is so last year's model.

As if. Aaron Schock now, Aaron Schock forever.

Yes, Aaron is the man. Smiley
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cinyc
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« Reply #296 on: October 18, 2010, 02:58:25 PM »

I'm assuming this is an internal:
Dennis Menaced? Is Kucinich in trouble?

Kucinich is only up by 4 in a poll with an MoE of +/-5.6.  Actual percentages weren't mentioned. (OH-10)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #297 on: October 18, 2010, 03:03:01 PM »

I'm assuming this is an internal:
Dennis Menaced? Is Kucinich in trouble?

Kucinich is only up by 4 in a poll with an MoE of +/-5.6.  Actual percentages weren't mentioned. (OH-10)
Have you read the article? It's actually a phoned-in scare ad.
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cinyc
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« Reply #298 on: October 18, 2010, 03:08:47 PM »

I'm assuming this is an internal:
Dennis Menaced? Is Kucinich in trouble?

Kucinich is only up by 4 in a poll with an MoE of +/-5.6.  Actual percentages weren't mentioned. (OH-10)
Have you read the article? It's actually a phoned-in scare ad.

Of course I read the article. 

It's not a phoned-in scare ad (or push poll).  The sample size was far to small for that to be even close to effective.  It's a messaging poll - the type campaigns run to try to figure out the message that polls best to decide which to go with.   Usually, they ask the topline question first and see if any potential messages change the numbers, particularly among leaners.  At times, they will ask bad things about their own candidate, too, to see which they will likely need to defend most virulently against. 

Kookcinich going down would make an excellent night, but I doubt it will happen.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #299 on: October 18, 2010, 03:12:35 PM »

Okay, so it's a kooky extremist messaging poll.

I was really just reacting to the hedging "I'm assuming..." thing. But maybe that was ironic. Hard to tell sometimes. Smiley
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