INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Grayson is brilliant. Watch him cruise to victory. People need to remember that he acts the way that he does for a reason and not because he is a loon. Grayson shows how fighting back against the Republicans works, although I dislike his methods. Grayson positions himself very well and actually manages to be on the right side of most if not all of the issues. I'd place a bet that more Grayson-like characters are going to start popping up in the Democratic Party, especially if Obama is defeated in 2012.

[Vepres]

Grayson is brilliant. Watch him cruise to victory. People need to remember that he acts the way that he does for a reason and not because he is a loon. Grayson shows how fighting back against the Republicans works, although I dislike his methods. Grayson positions himself very well and actually manages to be on the right side of most if not all of the issues. I'd place a bet that more Grayson-like characters are going to start popping up in the Democratic Party, especially if Obama is defeated in 2012.

The problem is he comes off as an arrogant jerk, and that he represents a swing district.

[Vasall des Midas]

A swing district full of suburban partisans, to boot.

Which means that my prediction is that he'll do right about as well as he would have if he were a blue dog type (ie, lose, if the wave happens on the magnitude we're expecting, and unless his opponent is total trash.)

[Holmes]

He's the Democratic Bachmann, obviously.

[Vasall des Midas]

He's the Democratic Bachmann, obviously.

Bachmann's seat is also polarized, and not supermajority Republican - but it's still a solid majority. It's not a genuine swing district.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Mariannette Miller-Meeks/IA-02:

Dave Loebsack (D) - 46
MMM (R) - 41

[JulioMadrid]

Mariannette Miller-Meeks/IA-02:

Dave Loebsack (D) - 46
MMM (R) - 41

Loebsack is safe. FANTASTIC!

[Torie]

Mariannette Miller-Meeks/IA-02:

Dave Loebsack (D) - 46
MMM (R) - 41

"A poll of 400 likely voters conducted by Susquehanna Polling and Research between June 23rd and June 25th ... ."  I guess the Pony Express took a wrong turn in delivering this exciting news to the public square or something.

But hey, if it were close in June, ... 

[Invisible Obama]

Loebsack's not going anywhere, the only seat in Iowa that is really competitive this year is Boswell's. Besides that, a campaign's own internal showing them behind isn't a good sign.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Mariannette Miller-Meeks/IA-02:

Dave Loebsack (D) - 46
MMM (R) - 41

"A poll of 400 likely voters conducted by Susquehanna Polling and Research between June 23rd and June 25th ... ."  I guess the Pony Express took a wrong turn in delivering this exciting news to the public square or something.

But hey, if it were close in June, ... 

Releasing an internal poll showing yourself down is basically saying "we have no shot".

[Holmes]

Well, Torie fell for what they're selling.

[Tender Branson]

A poll for Childers (D-MS1) has Childers ahead by 5.

Childers: 46%
Nunnelee: 41%

The Democratic firm surveyed 400 likely voters in the district Aug. 30 to Sept. 1. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent, which means Childers' lead could be razor thin.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/117337-rep-childers-has-edge-on-gop-challenger-in-poll-

[Tender Branson]

A poll for Perriello (D) shows Hurt (R) ahead:

44% - Hurt (R)
42% - Perriello (D)

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/virginiapolitics/2010/09/with_new_poll_democrats_make_c.html

[Torie]

A poll for Perriello (D) shows Hurt (R) ahead:

44% - Hurt (R)
42% - Perriello (D)

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/virginiapolitics/2010/09/with_new_poll_democrats_make_c.html

He's worried that  he will be triaged out. This poll was for Pelosi.

[Lief]

DCCC/Dem Internal Dump: http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/7538/dccc-releases-internals-from-five-districts

AL-02
Bobby Bright (D-inc): 52
Martha Roby (R): 43

NC-08
Larry Kissell (D-inc): 48
Harold Johnnson (R): 36
Thomas Hill (L): 6

NY-24
Mike Arcuri (D-inc): 50
Richard Hanna (R): 37

SD-AL
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-inc): 50
Kristi Noem (R): 39
B. Thomas Marking (I): 4

VA-05
Tom Perriello (D-inc): 42
Rob Hurt (R): 44
Jeff Clark (T): 6

IL-10 (May in parentheses)
Dan Seals (D): 49 (46)
Bob Dold (R): 36 (38)

MS-01
Travis Childers (D-inc): 46
Alan Nunnelee (R): 41

PA-04
Jason Altmire (D-inc): 51
Keith Rothfus (R): 24

[Torie]

Campaign Spot has put up an internal GOP poll for CT-5 showing Murphy (D) ahead by 1%, 40%-39%.

A remarkable across the board Dem surge in the post above, I must say.

[Rowan]

Since today seems to be internal day, here's another:

KS-04

Pompeo(R): 50%
Goyle(D): 47%

http://www.scribd.com/doc/37051149/Raj-Goyle-August-2010-Poll

[Tender Branson]

Since today seems to be internal day, here's another:

KS-04

Pompeo(R): 50%
Goyle(D): 47%

http://www.scribd.com/doc/37051149/Raj-Goyle-August-2010-Poll

This poll is almost 1 month old and was conducted at the same time as the SUSA poll, which had Pompeo up by only 7 points - before the racist postings of Pompeo.

The DCCC should probably put some money into this district.

[Tender Branson]

Today is really a good day for internals.

Action Solutions for William Lawson (R-NC 04):

46.5% - William Lawson (R)
46.1% - David Price (D-Incumbent)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usnw/20100907/pl_usnw/DC60126

[Lief]

Today is really a good day for internals.

Action Solutions for William Lawson (R-NC 04):

46.5% - William Lawson (R)
46.1% - David Price (D-Incumbent)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usnw/20100907/pl_usnw/DC60126

wtf?

[Tender Branson]

Today is really a good day for internals.

Action Solutions for William Lawson (R-NC 04):

46.5% - William Lawson (R)
46.1% - David Price (D-Incumbent)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usnw/20100907/pl_usnw/DC60126

wtf?

Well, remember that Price was elected in the 80s, then got defeated in the 94 GOP wave and got the seat back in 1996.

It´s not that impossible that he loses again in a similar wave this year. In 2008, he got 63% to 37% against Lawson and a 13-point swing from 2008 to 2010 is not impossible.

We'll see ...

[Rowan]

And here's yet another:

FL-24

Adams(R): 49%
Kosmas(D-Inc): 37%

http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2010/09/gop-poll-shows-sandy-adams-beating-suzanne-kosmas.html

[Gravis Marketing]

Campaign Spot has put up an internal GOP poll for CT-5 showing Murphy (D) ahead by 1%, 40%-39%.

I'm curious what goes on in your brain when you read a poll like that (other than a burst of happy surprise.) What adjustments do you make to the numbers for the final expected outcome, if any? Do you see the pendulum swinging further Republican in the next two months? What adjustments should Democrats make to Democratic internal polls, ig any?

[Tender Branson]

And here's yet another:

Public Opinion Strategies (R) for David McKinley (R-WV 01):

41% - Mike Oliverio (D)
36% - David McKinley (R)

McKinley's lead among voters who have an opinion of both candidates is 53 percent to Oliverio's 40 percent, Rob Autry, McKinley's polling strategist, said.

The survey by Public Opinion Strategies was conducted Sept. 1 and 2 and polled 500 likely voters. The company's clients are primarily Republicans, including Rep. Shelley Capito of West Virginia and Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

"They are the premiere polling firm on the U.S. political scene," said Steve Cohen, a McKinley spokesman.

http://www.newsandsentinel.com/page/content.detail/id/538821/McKinley-poll-shows-gap-closing-with-Oliverio.html?nav=5061

[Lief]

Down five in your own internal? lol