INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)

[cinyc]

Okay, so it's a kooky extremist messaging poll.

I was really just reacting to the hedging "I'm assuming..." thing. But maybe that was ironic. Hard to tell sometimes.

The "I'm assuming" part was because it could have been done for an outside group instead of the candidate himself, and thus, not be a traditional internal for the candidate.

I suspect the PPP polls that will be released this afternoon will be similar messaging polls, though from the left.

[Rowan]

NJ-06

Pallone: 44%
Little: 43%

http://www.politickernj.com/back_room/national-research-poll-shows-pallone-barely-ahead-little-44-43

[redcommander]

NJ-06

Pallone: 44%
Little: 43%

http://www.politickernj.com/back_room/national-research-poll-shows-pallone-barely-ahead-little-44-43

I wasn't expecting this. Maybe with Gooch, but perhaps Little's grassroots campaigning is paying off.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

CA-47: Van Tran (R) says he's tied with Loretta Sanchez (D), 39% each (with 5% for Independent Ceci Iglesias).

[Former Moderate]

NJ-06

Pallone: 44%
Little: 43%

http://www.politickernj.com/back_room/national-research-poll-shows-pallone-barely-ahead-little-44-43

lol, uh, no

[Mr.Phips]

Wasnt National Research the pollster that kept showing McCain in the lead in Michigan in 2008?

[crypto-fascist superhero]

CA-47: Van Tran (R) says he's tied with Loretta Sanchez (D), 39% each (with 5% for Independent Ceci Iglesias).

Huh.  I thought Sanchez was actually in trouble - I guess not.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

AL-02: DCCC says Bright (D) up 51-39.

AR-01: DCCC says Causey (D) up 44-42.

OR-04 (same link as above): DCCC says DeFazio (D) up 53-39.

OR-05: Scott Bruun (R) says he's up 44-40 over Kurt Schrader.

[Torie]

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)

[Sam Spade]

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

If you take a standard/about 5% bias look that most of this forum takes with regards to internal polls, the results sound about right as to where I see the races.  Doesn't mean that they're not completely ridiculous, of course.

[Meeker]

Those polls are laughably ridiculous.

[Gravis Marketing]

The only poll there which represents something new, assuming internal consistency, is PA-10.

[Mr.Phips]

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)

I swear to god if Murphy loses(my Congressman) and I am stuck with Gibson, I am going to want Obama's head on a stick. 

[Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)

I swear to god if Murphy loses(my Congressman) and I am stuck with Gibson, I am going to want Obama's head on a stick. 

He can't be worse then John Sweeney was. How long have you lived there?

[Mr.Phips]

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)

I swear to god if Murphy loses(my Congressman) and I am stuck with Gibson, I am going to want Obama's head on a stick. 

He can't be worse then John Sweeney was. How long have you lived there?

My whole life.  I took us all this time to get finally rid of Sweeney and Solomon and now we are right back to where we started. 

[Tender Branson]

NY-20 (Chris Gibson (R) internal by POS):

44% Chris Gibson
42% Scott Murphy

http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/33274/new-pos-poll-shows-gibson-up-slightly/

[cinyc]

NY-22 (Phillips (R) internal by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies):

Maurice Hinchey (D)(i)  - 43.2%
George Phillips (R)        - 43.2%

October 19; MoE +/‐ 2.89

Assaulting members of the media - never a good idea.

[Senator X]

NY-22 (Phillips (R) internal by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies):

Maurice Hinchey (D)(i)  - 43.2%
George Phillips (R)        - 43.2%

October 19; MoE +/‐ 2.89

Assaulting members of the media - never a good idea.

Which is not to suggest that Hinchey is in any danger

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Much better to handcuff them instead.

[cinyc]

Much better to handcuff them instead.

Also not a good idea.  It's not a good idea to threaten to take them out, either. 

Threatening to take an obnoxious shock jock outside when he keeps on saying crap about your wife's postpartum depression might be okay, though (See Richard Codey). 

[Invisible Obama]

NY-22 (Phillips (R) internal by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies):

Maurice Hinchey (D)(i)  - 43.2%
George Phillips (R)        - 43.2%

October 19; MoE +/‐ 2.89

Assaulting members of the media - never a good idea.

Tied with decimals in a GOP internal? Hinchey isn't going anywhere.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Republican internal of MO-04 has Skelton and Hartzler tied at 42 each.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

NRCC for MA-10 finds Jeff Perry (R) up 44-42 over Bill Keating (D), though it's two weeks old.

DCCC for NC-11 finds Heath Shuler (D) up 54-39 over Jeff Miller (R).

[Gravis Marketing]

NRCC for MA-10 finds Jeff Perry (R) up 44-42 over Bill Keating (D), though it's two weeks old.

That race is over given that Keating was narrowly leading in independent polls before "I frisked a girl and I liked it" came back into the news. It is all over the news here and even the Republican talking head was talking about Perry in terms of his negative impact on Romney's presidential campaign.

[Vasall des Midas]

the Republican talking head was talking about Perry in terms of his negative impact on Romney's presidential campaign.

lol talkingheads

But yeah, that does sound like this race is so over.