INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)
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Author Topic: INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)  (Read 174018 times)
cinyc
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« Reply #300 on: October 18, 2010, 03:28:59 PM »

Okay, so it's a kooky extremist messaging poll.

I was really just reacting to the hedging "I'm assuming..." thing. But maybe that was ironic. Hard to tell sometimes. Smiley

The "I'm assuming" part was because it could have been done for an outside group instead of the candidate himself, and thus, not be a traditional internal for the candidate.

I suspect the PPP polls that will be released this afternoon will be similar messaging polls, though from the left.
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Rowan
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« Reply #301 on: October 18, 2010, 06:39:26 PM »

NJ-06

Pallone: 44%
Little: 43%

http://www.politickernj.com/back_room/national-research-poll-shows-pallone-barely-ahead-little-44-43
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redcommander
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« Reply #302 on: October 18, 2010, 06:42:43 PM »


I wasn't expecting this. Maybe with Gooch, but perhaps Little's grassroots campaigning is paying off.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #303 on: October 18, 2010, 07:07:12 PM »

CA-47: Van Tran (R) says he's tied with Loretta Sanchez (D), 39% each (with 5% for Independent Ceci Iglesias).
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #304 on: October 18, 2010, 07:16:48 PM »


lol, uh, no
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #305 on: October 18, 2010, 07:28:37 PM »

Wasnt National Research the pollster that kept showing McCain in the lead in Michigan in 2008?
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #306 on: October 18, 2010, 09:28:22 PM »


Huh.  I thought Sanchez was actually in trouble - I guess not.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #307 on: October 19, 2010, 07:26:28 AM »

AL-02: DCCC says Bright (D) up 51-39.

AR-01: DCCC says Causey (D) up 44-42.

OR-04 (same link as above): DCCC says DeFazio (D) up 53-39.

OR-05: Scott Bruun (R) says he's up 44-40 over Kurt Schrader.

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Torie
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« Reply #308 on: October 19, 2010, 11:20:04 AM »

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)


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Sam Spade
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« Reply #309 on: October 19, 2010, 11:22:30 AM »

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.



If you take a standard/about 5% bias look that most of this forum takes with regards to internal polls, the results sound about right as to where I see the races.  Doesn't mean that they're not completely ridiculous, of course.
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Meeker
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« Reply #310 on: October 19, 2010, 11:27:56 AM »

Those polls are laughably ridiculous.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #311 on: October 19, 2010, 11:42:48 AM »

The only poll there which represents something new, assuming internal consistency, is PA-10.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #312 on: October 19, 2010, 12:18:13 PM »

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)




I swear to god if Murphy loses(my Congressman) and I am stuck with Gibson, I am going to want Obama's head on a stick. 
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #313 on: October 19, 2010, 06:49:11 PM »

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)




I swear to god if Murphy loses(my Congressman) and I am stuck with Gibson, I am going to want Obama's head on a stick. 

He can't be worse then John Sweeney was. How long have you lived there?
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #314 on: October 19, 2010, 08:11:21 PM »

Another GOP poll dump  is here. If these polls are real, the Dems must be close to being in stark terror at the moment.

 Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:

    * FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
    * PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
    * OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
    * WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
    * NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
    * MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
    * IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
    * PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
    * VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
    * OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
    * OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
      (* = denotes incumbent)




I swear to god if Murphy loses(my Congressman) and I am stuck with Gibson, I am going to want Obama's head on a stick. 

He can't be worse then John Sweeney was. How long have you lived there?

My whole life.  I took us all this time to get finally rid of Sweeney and Solomon and now we are right back to where we started. 
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #315 on: October 20, 2010, 12:01:37 PM »

NY-20 (Chris Gibson (R) internal by POS):

44% Chris Gibson
42% Scott Murphy

http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/33274/new-pos-poll-shows-gibson-up-slightly/
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cinyc
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« Reply #316 on: October 20, 2010, 02:59:14 PM »

NY-22 (Phillips (R) internal by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies):

Maurice Hinchey (D)(i)  - 43.2%
George Phillips (R)        - 43.2%

October 19; MoE +/‐ 2.89

Assaulting members of the media - never a good idea.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #317 on: October 20, 2010, 03:35:52 PM »

NY-22 (Phillips (R) internal by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies):

Maurice Hinchey (D)(i)  - 43.2%
George Phillips (R)        - 43.2%

October 19; MoE +/‐ 2.89

Assaulting members of the media - never a good idea.

Which is not to suggest that Hinchey is in any danger Tongue
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #318 on: October 20, 2010, 05:43:47 PM »

Much better to handcuff them instead.
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cinyc
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« Reply #319 on: October 20, 2010, 05:53:26 PM »


Also not a good idea.  It's not a good idea to threaten to take them out, either. 

Threatening to take an obnoxious shock jock outside when he keeps on saying crap about your wife's postpartum depression might be okay, though (See Richard Codey). 
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DrScholl
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« Reply #320 on: October 20, 2010, 06:03:12 PM »

NY-22 (Phillips (R) internal by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies):

Maurice Hinchey (D)(i)  - 43.2%
George Phillips (R)        - 43.2%

October 19; MoE +/‐ 2.89

Assaulting members of the media - never a good idea.

Tied with decimals in a GOP internal? Hinchey isn't going anywhere.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #321 on: October 20, 2010, 06:14:32 PM »

Republican internal of MO-04 has Skelton and Hartzler tied at 42 each.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #322 on: October 21, 2010, 07:26:40 AM »
« Edited: October 21, 2010, 07:29:09 AM by JohnnyLongtorso »

NRCC for MA-10 finds Jeff Perry (R) up 44-42 over Bill Keating (D), though it's two weeks old.

DCCC for NC-11 finds Heath Shuler (D) up 54-39 over Jeff Miller (R).
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Brittain33
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« Reply #323 on: October 21, 2010, 07:53:28 AM »


That race is over given that Keating was narrowly leading in independent polls before "I frisked a girl and I liked it" came back into the news. It is all over the news here and even the Republican talking head was talking about Perry in terms of his negative impact on Romney's presidential campaign.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #324 on: October 21, 2010, 08:12:28 AM »

the Republican talking head was talking about Perry in terms of his negative impact on Romney's presidential campaign.
lol talkingheads

But yeah, that does sound like this race is so over.
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