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Author Topic: INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)  (Read 41888 times)
Torie
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« Reply #350 on: October 23, 2010, 02:31:42 pm »
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Here is one where Norm Dicks (WA-6) is down by 4%, 48-44.  Whatever.

Hahahaha

FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue
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Meeker
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« Reply #351 on: October 23, 2010, 03:05:10 pm »
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Here is one where Norm Dicks (WA-6) is down by 4%, 48-44.  Whatever.

Hahahaha

FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue

WA-09 or WA-06?

You also need to keep in mind that voters have been familiar with Norm Dicks since the Ford Administration. To much of the older generation voting against him is simply unthinkable.
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Torie
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« Reply #352 on: October 23, 2010, 03:08:03 pm »
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Here is one where Norm Dicks (WA-6) is down by 4%, 48-44.  Whatever.

Hahahaha

FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue

WA-09 or WA-06?

You also need to keep in mind that voters have been familiar with Norm Dicks since the Ford Administration. To much of the older generation voting against him is simply unthinkable.

WA-9.  Rossi lost WA-6 by 7,000 votes, or 2.5%.  (Yes, I mixed up the CD numbers.) Anyway, that must be why Magnuson won in 1994 - respect for political fossils. Oh wait ...
« Last Edit: October 23, 2010, 03:13:00 pm by Torie »Logged

Meeker
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« Reply #353 on: October 23, 2010, 03:12:01 pm »
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Here is one where Norm Dicks (WA-6) is down by 4%, 48-44.  Whatever.

Hahahaha

FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue

WA-09 or WA-06?

You also need to keep in mind that voters have been familiar with Norm Dicks since the Ford Administration. To much of the older generation voting against him is simply unthinkable.

WA-9.  That must be why Magnuson won in 1994 - respect for the old. Oh wait ...

To compare Doug Cloud to Slade Gorton is a silly, silly thing. Smiley

And Magnuson lost in 1980.
« Last Edit: October 23, 2010, 03:13:37 pm by Meeker »Logged
Torie
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« Reply #354 on: October 23, 2010, 03:14:14 pm »
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Yes, I had a soft spot for Slade - not as soft as for Alan Simpson, with whom I was in love, and who should have been POTUS - but a soft spot nonetheless. Smiley

Time flies when you are having fun. It seemed to me that I was savoring Magnuson's defeat just yesterday, as it were.
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« Reply #355 on: October 24, 2010, 04:47:16 am »
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Ah yes, the Native American's Jesse Helms.
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« Reply #356 on: October 24, 2010, 09:49:26 am »
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Apparently Reid's internals show him up 6: http://twitter.com/#!/edhenrycnn/status/28530720854
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At the very least, this turn of events seems to validate my prediction that Americans are ready and willing to fully embrace fascism.
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« Reply #357 on: October 24, 2010, 12:05:49 pm »
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Republican poll of AR-02 has Tim Griffin (R) up 52-40 over Joyce Elliott (D).

Zata|3, apparently a Dem poll?, has Cedric Richmond (D) beating Joseph Cao (R) 53-36 in LA-02.

Stephen Fincher (R) in TN-08 says he's up 50-35 over Roy Herron (D).

Quico Canseco (R) in TX-23 has a poll showing him up 45-39 over Ciro Rodriguez (D).
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« Reply #358 on: October 24, 2010, 01:10:26 pm »
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That's good news. I didn't expect AR-02 to be that close.. in a republican internal! Really, Elliot is a hard campaigner, but this race is griffin's to lose =(

And if quico canseco is up by 6% in his own poll, the race should be a pure toss-up Wink
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
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« Reply #359 on: October 24, 2010, 02:18:38 pm »
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Im very impressed with Cao, I mean obviously he's losing but he could reach 40% in a 75% Obama district.
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« Reply #360 on: October 24, 2010, 08:51:51 pm »
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Not sure if this has been posted:
http://www.djou.com/profiles/blogs/latest-poll-shows-djou-leading
Quote
Djou For Hawaii
For Immediate Release
October 22, 2010
Contact: 808-277-6051

Honolulu, HI - The latest independent poll in the race for Hawaii's First Congressional District shows Charles Djou leading Colleen Hanabusa by 9 points. This poll comes on the heels of the reports showing that Djou for Hawaii has outraised Hanabusa by over $167,000 in the last six weeks.

"The momentum is clearly on our side," Djou campaign spokesman Daniel Son said. "Despite a million dollar negative ad campaign against us, Charles' dedicated volunteers and his message of fiscal responsibility and government accountability have continued to reach the residents of Hawaii's First Congressional District."

The Djou campaign has knocked on nearly 20,000 doors and made nearly 300,000 phone calls during the General Election.

The telephone survey, conducted by ccAdvertising, showed Charles leading Hanabusa 44% to 35%, with a margin of error of +/-3%. The survey had 2,747 participants.
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Meeker
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« Reply #361 on: October 24, 2010, 09:04:40 pm »
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2,747 participants? Uhhh...
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #362 on: October 24, 2010, 09:06:36 pm »
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cccAdvertising?  Isnt this the same pollster that showed Brown and Boxer trailing in California?
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #363 on: October 24, 2010, 09:37:17 pm »
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Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...
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« Reply #364 on: October 25, 2010, 08:16:18 pm »
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     Sort of disturbing that the press release claims the ccAdvertising poll is an independent poll.
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« Reply #365 on: October 25, 2010, 08:24:32 pm »
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Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...

Individual seat polling take all the fun out of election night anyway, in my opinion. In the UK, I love how we can end up with random seats changing hands that no-one ever sees coming.
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« Reply #366 on: October 25, 2010, 11:27:43 pm »
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Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...

Individual seat polling take all the fun out of election night anyway, in my opinion. In the UK, I love how we can end up with random seats changing hands that no-one ever sees coming.

We will still have that happening, I almost guarantee it.
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Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
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« Reply #367 on: October 26, 2010, 08:16:07 am »
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POS has Mike Fitzpatrick (R - PA 8 ) up ten - 50% to 40% - over incumbent Pat Murphy

http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/fitzmurphymemo.pdf
« Last Edit: October 26, 2010, 08:26:27 am by Keystone Phil »Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
Torie
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« Reply #368 on: October 26, 2010, 11:41:58 am »
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POS has Mike Fitzpatrick (R - PA 8 ) up ten - 50% to 40% - over incumbent Pat Murphy

http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/fitzmurphymemo.pdf

I never believed that other poll a week or so back, that showed Murphy's political corpse was re-animating. There was no reason for him to rise back from the dead.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #369 on: October 26, 2010, 01:53:09 pm »
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POS has Mike Fitzpatrick (R - PA 8 ) up ten - 50% to 40% - over incumbent Pat Murphy

http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/fitzmurphymemo.pdf

I never believed that other poll a week or so back, that showed Murphy's political corpse was re-animating. There was no reason for him to rise back from the dead.

Fitz doesn't have a ten point lead though. It's going to be close.
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The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #370 on: October 27, 2010, 03:01:17 pm »
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Jim Marshall (D) internal:

47% Marshall
44% Scott

https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B_KEK8-LWmzhMGU3ZjIzZGItY2MzZS00ZjQ4LThjMjktYTMzNTUyYjdjZGZk&hl=en&authkey=CJL_4ckE
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Torie
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« Reply #371 on: October 28, 2010, 11:16:05 am »
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Whether it is an external or internal poll I don't know, but it appears that the neck choker has fallen behind. Smiley

RCP list this district as "lean Dem" by the way, as does Stu Rothenberg. Sabato has it "likely Dem." Will NC-2 migrate to a new place on their lists?

And I just can't resist adding this little lagniappe from Stu Rothenberg, in his most recent essay, which has overtones of close to a nervous breakdown on his part:

Quote
The magnitude of the GOP victory could be evident relatively early in the evening. If Republicans defeat Democratic incumbents Joe Donnelly (Ind.) and/or Ben Chandler (Ky.), or if North Carolina Reps. McIntyre, Shuler and Etheridge fall, massive Democratic losses are likely.
« Last Edit: October 28, 2010, 11:45:58 am by Torie »Logged

Sam Spade
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« Reply #372 on: October 28, 2010, 11:18:04 am »
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Whether it is an external or internal poll I don't know, but it appears that the neck choker has fallen behind. Smiley

Both Cook and Rothenberg already had it in Lean D...
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« Reply #373 on: October 29, 2010, 01:04:29 pm »
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NY-09 R Internal:

Weiner (D)(i) - 52.3%
Turner (R)      - 47.7%

Oct. 10; 4,702 respondents

Hard to believe.
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« Reply #374 on: October 29, 2010, 01:56:36 pm »
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Hard to believe.

Especially the part where it adds up, exactly, to 100. And has some weird weighting that the pollster has yet to explain.
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Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
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