Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 27, 2014, 02:40:48 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 House Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 16 Print
Author Topic: INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)  (Read 43526 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34974
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P P

View Profile
« on: August 31, 2010, 11:55:09 pm »
Ignore

40% - Alan Grayson (D-Inc.)
27% - Daniel Webster (R)
23% - Others
11% - Undecided

The sole questions in the poll were the “horse race” question, party registration, age, gender and ethnicity. Public Policy Polling, of Raleigh, NC, conducted the poll. It was an automated telephone survey of 1589 registered voters in FL-8. The margin of error is 2.4%.

http://salsa.mydccc.org/o/30019/t/270/p/salsa/web/common/public/content?content_item_KEY=235

...

Maybe the Tea Party candidate is hurting Webster there, but 23% looks odd ...
« Last Edit: September 04, 2010, 10:22:57 pm by The Only Halfway-Sane Moderator Left »Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1575
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2010, 02:54:50 am »
Ignore

LOL.  The man is proudly demonstrating on his website the fact that a high-profile incumbent like himself is winning only 40% of the voters in the district.  I'm willing to bet 80-90% of those "Others" and "Undecideds" lean Republican (given that close to 45% of Self-identified Republicans apparently aren't yet backing Webster) and will come home for Webster in November.  No way Grayson, of all Democrats, is going to win 4-1 among independent voters.
Logged

Political Matrix:  +7.1, -3.83

A world without sin:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-NVs68X_S4
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6853


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2010, 07:04:28 am »
Ignore

Okay, I'm tired of opening a new thread for every internal poll, so I'm just going to start posting them all in one place. Starting with this one:

Heath Shuler/NC-11:

Heath Shuler (D) - 51
Jeff Miller (R) - 34

Feel free to do the same.
« Last Edit: September 04, 2010, 10:20:36 pm by The Only Halfway-Sane Moderator Left »Logged
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13265
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2010, 07:09:48 am »
Ignore

Another fraudulent poll that identifies a no-chance-in-hell independent as a "Tea Party" candidate, huh?
Logged

Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6696
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2010, 10:14:07 am »
Ignore

Okay, I'm tired of opening a new thread for every internal poll, so I'm just going to start posting them all in one place. Starting with this one:

Heath Shuler/NC-11:

Heath Shuler (D) - 51
Jeff Miller (R) - 34

Feel free to do the same.

if this poll is an internal, the race is closer than I expected =/
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1093


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2010, 11:24:15 am »
Ignore

I don't trust this poll at all. 23% other in a race where you would think conservatives and right leaning independents would be jumping at the chance to say they support Grayson's opponent is crazy. Sad to see PPP allowing themselves to be used as an obviously sh**tty internal poll.
Logged
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13265
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2010, 11:47:20 am »
Ignore

This is a great idea, but I fear that it's slightly redundant -- the only real House polls we're likely to see are going to be internals.
Logged

Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30616
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #7 on: September 02, 2010, 12:09:40 pm »
Ignore

This is a great idea, but I fear that it's slightly redundant -- the only real House polls we're likely to see are going to be internals.

But said internals should not distract us from the ones that actually matter, the non-internals.

Support this idea.
Logged

this is real
DS0816
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1169
View Profile
« Reply #8 on: September 02, 2010, 02:17:04 pm »
Ignore

If Rep. Alan Grayson (D-Florida #08) wins re-election, in a Republian Wave election year, it will be another example of Washington, D.C. Democrats having made a fatal mistake of acting like The New Republicans. Most of the losses, in the House, will come from the Blue Dogs. The … "centrists."
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6853


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: September 02, 2010, 05:51:42 pm »
Ignore

FL-25/Joe Garcia:

Joe Garcia (D) - 40
David Rivera (R) - 36

There's also one for CT-04/Dan Debicella that's being bounced around, with no actual source:

Jim Himes (D) - 42
Dan Debicella (R) - 38
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6696
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2010, 06:38:32 pm »
Ignore

I guess that FL-25 poll is right. garcia can win this election. the year is bad for democrats, I know. but garcia can appeal to the Republican cuban-americans.
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6696
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2010, 06:45:09 pm »
Ignore

If this poll is accurate, does it mean that voters prefer a person who has real principles than one who "becomes" a conservative to be reelected??
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Verily
Cuivienen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16806


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: September 02, 2010, 06:50:42 pm »
Ignore

If this poll is accurate, does it mean that voters prefer a person who has real principles than one who "becomes" a conservative to be reelected??

It's no shock that voters like pugnacious politicians, something some Republicans, but very few Democrats save Grayson, seem to have learned as a campaign tactic. Further bad news for governance, though, even if one agrees with Grayson.

I've always had a hunch that Grayson would be reelected fairly solidly, although this poll does not appear to prove anything.
« Last Edit: September 02, 2010, 06:52:14 pm by Verily »Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1575
United States


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: September 02, 2010, 08:16:09 pm »
Ignore

If this poll is accurate, does it mean that voters prefer a person who has real principles than one who "becomes" a conservative to be reelected??

See my post above.  The Fact that he's actually under-polling by so so much in this district (40% is one of the lowest I've seen for an incumbent Democrat this cycle) suggest that his "lead" comes far more from a fractured opposition than from his own likability or support.  Let me make a bet that the 23% in this poll that supports an "Other" candidate aren't referring to the Green party ticket line.

I'll bet he loses, at best (for him) 45-55 in November.
Logged

Political Matrix:  +7.1, -3.83

A world without sin:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-NVs68X_S4
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6696
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2010, 07:35:48 am »
Ignore

If this poll is accurate, does it mean that voters prefer a person who has real principles than one who "becomes" a conservative to be reelected??

See my post above.  The Fact that he's actually under-polling by so so much in this district (40% is one of the lowest I've seen for an incumbent Democrat this cycle) suggest that his "lead" comes far more from a fractured opposition than from his own likability or support.  Let me make a bet that the 23% in this poll that supports an "Other" candidate aren't referring to the Green party ticket line.

I'll bet he loses, at best (for him) 45-55 in November.

I think grayson will be reelected. he has the money, and the charisma. and his district is not that conservative.
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13265
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2010, 07:53:59 am »
Ignore

I think grayson will be reelected. he has the money, and the charisma. and his district is not that conservative.

This guy has all the charm of Bob Dornan.
Logged

Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34533


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: September 03, 2010, 09:38:47 am »
Ignore

FL-25/Joe Garcia:

Joe Garcia (D) - 40
David Rivera (R) - 36


Cool.
Logged

Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1093


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2010, 12:17:52 pm »
Ignore

Is David Rivera the crazy one who's been on the blogs/news so much lately? If so, than that numbers not totally surprising.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39336
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: September 03, 2010, 01:22:06 pm »
Ignore

Grayson seems kind of slimy on a personal level. I'm pulling for him just because him winning would annoy right-wingers.
Logged

Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34533


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: September 03, 2010, 01:52:25 pm »
Ignore

Is David Rivera the crazy one who's been on the blogs/news so much lately? If so, than that numbers not totally surprising.

The one that beat up his girlfriend and then drove his car into a truck transporting his opponent's mailers attacking him for beating up his girlfriend, yes.
Logged

Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39336
United States


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: September 03, 2010, 03:58:47 pm »
Ignore

I want to see some polling of NY-20 and NY-19, preferably non-internal polling, but I'll take what I can get.
Logged

Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6714


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

View Profile
« Reply #21 on: September 03, 2010, 04:19:00 pm »
Ignore


The poll has 5% going for a random "tea party" candidate. Not gonna happen.
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1575
United States


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: September 03, 2010, 07:21:14 pm »
Ignore


The poll has 5% going for a random "tea party" candidate. Not gonna happen.

Don't be so sure.  This is the only Democratic strategy this cycle that might actually work for them.
Logged

Political Matrix:  +7.1, -3.83

A world without sin:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-NVs68X_S4
IDS Judicial Overlord PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22565
United States


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: September 03, 2010, 07:28:33 pm »
Ignore


The poll has 5% going for a random "tea party" candidate. Not gonna happen.

Don't be so sure.  This is the only Democratic strategy this cycle that might actually work for them.

     When the only strategy that might work for you is affixing the "tea party" label to random dead-in-the-water independents who won't have any such label on the November ballot so as to deflate the numbers of your opponents in internal polls, you know you're in trouble.
Logged

nhmagic
azmagic
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1101
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.62, S: 4.61

View Profile
« Reply #24 on: September 03, 2010, 10:05:21 pm »
Ignore

I think Grayson's funny - his views are atrocious, but he says some of that stuff that you guys will one day wish he had not.  I would almost say re-elect him, but we need every person to pitch in to repeal Obamacare.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 16 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines