INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)

[minionofmidas]

41%-20% in late September? Really?

They probably told people some kind of scare story about Democrats immediately before they asked. And then, this is a fairly rural district that votes mostly on person rather than party.

I'm worried & a little surprised about WI-7. This oughtn't to be leaning R, like, ever. Get close at times, yes. Goes with the generally abysmal D figures in that state right now, I suppose.

[Torie]

I don't know who ccadvertising is, so I am putting this set of VA polls here.

VA-2 - Scott Rigell (R) 48.6, Nye (D) 34.5, 16.9 undecided.

VA-5 -  Robert Hurt (R) 51.1,  Tom Perriello (D) 34.7, 14.1  undecided.

VA-9 - Rick Boucher (D) 42.6,  Morgan Griffith (R) 39.7, 17.6 undecided.

VA-11 -  Keith Fimian (R) 42.2,  Connolly (D) 36.7, 21.1  undecided.

[Hash]

Generally, I always think that polls with decimals = bad

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What a hilariously Welsh name.

[minionofmidas]

VA-11 -  Keith Fimian (R) 42.2,  Fimian (D) 36.7, 21.1  undecided.

Connolly (D).

And yeah, the source and headline would indicate you put this in the right place.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Public Opinion Strategies for Bill Hudak (R)

MASSACHUSETTS 06
Tierney (D) - 46%
Hudak (R) - 39%

http://www.redmassgroup.com/diary/10080/new-poll-reveals-hudak-within-striking-range-of-teirney

[tmthforu94]

IN-08

Buschon(R): 41%
Van Haaften(D): 20%

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/09/starting_lineup_23.php

I have been anxiously waiting for this! A ridiculous amount of undecideds, so this could close up. But it's still encouraging to see Bucshon up by 20 points.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Sean Duffy/WI-07:

Sean Duffy (R) - 47
Julie Lassa (D) - 43

Scott Rigell/VA-02:

Scott Rigell (R) - 42
Glenn Nye (D) - 35
Kenny Golden (I) - 5

Magellan did a poll of CO-02 for no apparent reason; I'm including it here since it's a Republican pollster.

Jared Polis (D) - 48
Stephen Bailey (R) - 36

[Associate Justice PiT]

IN-08

Buschon(R): 41%
Van Haaften(D): 20%

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/09/starting_lineup_23.php

I have been anxiously waiting for this! A ridiculous amount of undecideds, so this could close up. But it's still encouraging to see Bucshon up by 20 points.

     Internals like that are essentially meaningless. They push heavily to get the other side's voters into the undecided camp. The percentage for Buschon probably is not far off, but Van Haaften's share could be just about anything between 35 & 55.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Harry Mitchell/AZ-05:

Harry Mitchell (D) - 43
David Schweikert (R) - 40

44-41 with "most likely" voters.

[Dan the Roman]

Public Opinion Strategies for Bill Hudak (R)

MASSACHUSETTS 06
Tierney (D) - 46%
Hudak (R) - 39%

http://www.redmassgroup.com/diary/10080/new-poll-reveals-hudak-within-striking-range-of-teirney

Who are "high interest likely voters"? We get no top-line for plain likely voters.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Who are "high interest likely voters"? We get no top-line for plain likely voters.

lol, no idea.

For those that don't know, Hudak is the one who was abandoned by Baker and the state party after putting up lawn signs comparing Obama to Bin Laden. I'd say Barney Frank would lose before Tierney does (not that I expect either to).

[minionofmidas]

I understand that Mass. R's are more motivated than they've been for 15 years, which a) isn't hard b) ought to make a difference to victory margins all over; but I don't see anything implying that any seat beyond the tenth might conceivably be termed genuinely competitive.
So why not give us some decent polls out of the tenth instead of all that trash?

[TheGlobalizer]

That's about where I see Kratovil.  He's actually been a pretty good Rep. for his district.  Took a stand against HCR, and environmental issues play fairly well in his district, even among Republicans.  Plus Harris has a bit of a Bush-era vibe about him, and really comes off as a bit of a dick.  This is one of the few races where, if I was in the district, I'd vote for the Democrat.

I don't think he survives, tho.  This is a Republican district, and now that everyone has forgotten about Harris vs. Gilchrest, I think they come home to the GOP.

[Niemeyerite]

That's about where I see Kratovil.  He's actually been a pretty good Rep. for his district.  Took a stand against HCR, and environmental issues play fairly well in his district, even among Republicans.  Plus Harris has a bit of a Bush-era vibe about him, and really comes off as a bit of a dick.  This is one of the few races where, if I was in the district, I'd vote for the Democrat.

I don't think he survives, tho.  This is a Republican district, and now that everyone has forgotten about Harris vs. Gilchrest, I think they come home to the GOP.

I agree with you: this race is a pure toss up. but my guts say kratovil will finally win.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Austin Scott/GA-08:

Austin Scott (R) - 46
Jim Marshall (D) - 38

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Mike McMahon/NY-13:

Mike McMahon (D) - 51
Mike Grimm (R) - 33

And the NRCC released a counter-poll... showing McMahon up 46-38.

[Mr.Phips]

Austin Scott/GA-08:

Austin Scott (R) - 46
Jim Marshall (D) - 38

Damn, Ill have to change my prediction on this. 

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

And the NRCC released a counter-poll... showing McMahon up 46-38.

fail

[DrScholl]

AZ-7:

Grijalva 42%
McClung 35%

http://azstarnet.com/news/blogs/pueblo-politics/article_38fd61a4-cc1b-11df-ab09-001cc4c002e0.html

[??????????]

Can't find anything about FL-9.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

AZ-7:

Grijalva 42%
McClung 35%

http://azstarnet.com/news/blogs/pueblo-politics/article_38fd61a4-cc1b-11df-ab09-001cc4c002e0.html

You scared me for a second before I realized that this internal poll was released by McClung.

[Dgov]

AZ-7:

Grijalva 42%
McClung 35%

http://azstarnet.com/news/blogs/pueblo-politics/article_38fd61a4-cc1b-11df-ab09-001cc4c002e0.html

You scared me for a second before I realized that this internal poll was released by McClung.

Doesn't seem too far out from what I would expect actually.  The district is not very Democratic.

[Brittain33]

Can't find anything about FL-9.

Here, this is a good guess:

Bilirakis: 58%
Some D: 33%
Tea Party: 8%

Released by Some D's campaign.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

AZ-7:

Grijalva 42%
McClung 35%

http://azstarnet.com/news/blogs/pueblo-politics/article_38fd61a4-cc1b-11df-ab09-001cc4c002e0.html

You scared me for a second before I realized that this internal poll was released by McClung.

Doesn't seem too far out from what I would expect actually.  The district is not very Democratic.

Not really. The lowest Grijalva has ever gotten is 59% in 2002 when the district was created. Since then he's gotten 62%, 60.6% and 63.3%. While I'm definitely expecting some strong backlash against Democrats in Arizona due to SB1070, Grijalva outperformed Obama by 6 percentage points in 08(effect of McCain being the nominee maybe?), but this is still a very Democratic district. 50.6% of the district is latino and another 5% are native american. So based on demographics, along with Grijalva's popularity in this district and the fact that it voted for Gore, Kerry and Obama I don't think this internal poll is accurate.