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Author Topic: INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)  (Read 174115 times)
Torie
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« Reply #350 on: October 23, 2010, 02:31:42 PM »


FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue
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Meeker
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« Reply #351 on: October 23, 2010, 03:05:10 PM »


FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue

WA-09 or WA-06?

You also need to keep in mind that voters have been familiar with Norm Dicks since the Ford Administration. To much of the older generation voting against him is simply unthinkable.
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Torie
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« Reply #352 on: October 23, 2010, 03:08:03 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2010, 03:13:00 PM by Torie »


FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue

WA-09 or WA-06?

You also need to keep in mind that voters have been familiar with Norm Dicks since the Ford Administration. To much of the older generation voting against him is simply unthinkable.

WA-9.  Rossi lost WA-6 by 7,000 votes, or 2.5%.  (Yes, I mixed up the CD numbers.) Anyway, that must be why Magnuson won in 1994 - respect for political fossils. Oh wait ...
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Meeker
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« Reply #353 on: October 23, 2010, 03:12:01 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2010, 03:13:37 PM by Meeker »


FWIW, Rossi in 2004 in the governor's race, carried WA-9 by one basis point. So, if his current race statewide is skin tight ... and this election is totally nationalized ? Tongue

WA-09 or WA-06?

You also need to keep in mind that voters have been familiar with Norm Dicks since the Ford Administration. To much of the older generation voting against him is simply unthinkable.

WA-9.  That must be why Magnuson won in 1994 - respect for the old. Oh wait ...

To compare Doug Cloud to Slade Gorton is a silly, silly thing. Smiley

And Magnuson lost in 1980.
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Torie
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« Reply #354 on: October 23, 2010, 03:14:14 PM »

Yes, I had a soft spot for Slade - not as soft as for Alan Simpson, with whom I was in love, and who should have been POTUS - but a soft spot nonetheless. Smiley

Time flies when you are having fun. It seemed to me that I was savoring Magnuson's defeat just yesterday, as it were.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #355 on: October 24, 2010, 04:47:16 AM »

Ah yes, the Native American's Jesse Helms.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #356 on: October 24, 2010, 09:49:26 AM »

Apparently Reid's internals show him up 6: http://twitter.com/#!/edhenrycnn/status/28530720854
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #357 on: October 24, 2010, 12:05:49 PM »

Republican poll of AR-02 has Tim Griffin (R) up 52-40 over Joyce Elliott (D).

Zata|3, apparently a Dem poll?, has Cedric Richmond (D) beating Joseph Cao (R) 53-36 in LA-02.

Stephen Fincher (R) in TN-08 says he's up 50-35 over Roy Herron (D).

Quico Canseco (R) in TX-23 has a poll showing him up 45-39 over Ciro Rodriguez (D).
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #358 on: October 24, 2010, 01:10:26 PM »


That's good news. I didn't expect AR-02 to be that close.. in a republican internal! Really, Elliot is a hard campaigner, but this race is griffin's to lose =(

And if quico canseco is up by 6% in his own poll, the race should be a pure toss-up Wink
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ajc0918
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« Reply #359 on: October 24, 2010, 02:18:38 PM »


Im very impressed with Cao, I mean obviously he's losing but he could reach 40% in a 75% Obama district.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #360 on: October 24, 2010, 08:51:51 PM »

Not sure if this has been posted:
http://www.djou.com/profiles/blogs/latest-poll-shows-djou-leading
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Meeker
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« Reply #361 on: October 24, 2010, 09:04:40 PM »

2,747 participants? Uhhh...
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #362 on: October 24, 2010, 09:06:36 PM »

cccAdvertising?  Isnt this the same pollster that showed Brown and Boxer trailing in California?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #363 on: October 24, 2010, 09:37:17 PM »

Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #364 on: October 25, 2010, 08:16:18 PM »

     Sort of disturbing that the press release claims the ccAdvertising poll is an independent poll.
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change08
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« Reply #365 on: October 25, 2010, 08:24:32 PM »

Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...

Individual seat polling take all the fun out of election night anyway, in my opinion. In the UK, I love how we can end up with random seats changing hands that no-one ever sees coming.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #366 on: October 25, 2010, 11:27:43 PM »

Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...

Individual seat polling take all the fun out of election night anyway, in my opinion. In the UK, I love how we can end up with random seats changing hands that no-one ever sees coming.

We will still have that happening, I almost guarantee it.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #367 on: October 26, 2010, 08:16:07 AM »
« Edited: October 26, 2010, 08:26:27 AM by Keystone Phil »

POS has Mike Fitzpatrick (R - PA 8 ) up ten - 50% to 40% - over incumbent Pat Murphy

http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/fitzmurphymemo.pdf
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Torie
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« Reply #368 on: October 26, 2010, 11:41:58 AM »

POS has Mike Fitzpatrick (R - PA 8 ) up ten - 50% to 40% - over incumbent Pat Murphy

http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/fitzmurphymemo.pdf

I never believed that other poll a week or so back, that showed Murphy's political corpse was re-animating. There was no reason for him to rise back from the dead.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #369 on: October 26, 2010, 01:53:09 PM »

POS has Mike Fitzpatrick (R - PA 8 ) up ten - 50% to 40% - over incumbent Pat Murphy

http://grassrootspa.com/pdf/fitzmurphymemo.pdf

I never believed that other poll a week or so back, that showed Murphy's political corpse was re-animating. There was no reason for him to rise back from the dead.

Fitz doesn't have a ten point lead though. It's going to be close.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #370 on: October 27, 2010, 03:01:17 PM »

Jim Marshall (D) internal:

47% Marshall
44% Scott

https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B_KEK8-LWmzhMGU3ZjIzZGItY2MzZS00ZjQ4LThjMjktYTMzNTUyYjdjZGZk&hl=en&authkey=CJL_4ckE
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Torie
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« Reply #371 on: October 28, 2010, 11:16:05 AM »
« Edited: October 28, 2010, 11:45:58 AM by Torie »

Whether it is an external or internal poll I don't know, but it appears that the neck choker has fallen behind. Smiley

RCP list this district as "lean Dem" by the way, as does Stu Rothenberg. Sabato has it "likely Dem." Will NC-2 migrate to a new place on their lists?

And I just can't resist adding this little lagniappe from Stu Rothenberg, in his most recent essay, which has overtones of close to a nervous breakdown on his part:

[quote]The magnitude of the GOP victory could be evident relatively early in the evening. If Republicans defeat Democratic incumbents Joe Donnelly (Ind.) and/or Ben Chandler (Ky.), or if North Carolina Reps. McIntyre, Shuler and Etheridge fall, massive Democratic losses are likely.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #372 on: October 28, 2010, 11:18:04 AM »

Whether it is an external or internal poll I don't know, but it appears that the neck choker has fallen behind. Smiley

Both Cook and Rothenberg already had it in Lean D...
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cinyc
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« Reply #373 on: October 29, 2010, 01:04:29 PM »

NY-09 R Internal:

Weiner (D)(i) - 52.3%
Turner (R)      - 47.7%

Oct. 10; 4,702 respondents

Hard to believe.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #374 on: October 29, 2010, 01:56:36 PM »


Especially the part where it adds up, exactly, to 100. And has some weird weighting that the pollster has yet to explain.
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