INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)

[Tender Branson]

40% - Alan Grayson (D-Inc.)
27% - Daniel Webster (R)
23% - Others
11% - Undecided

The sole questions in the poll were the “horse race” question, party registration, age, gender and ethnicity. Public Policy Polling, of Raleigh, NC, conducted the poll. It was an automated telephone survey of 1589 registered voters in FL-8. The margin of error is 2.4%.

http://salsa.mydccc.org/o/30019/t/270/p/salsa/web/common/public/content?content_item_KEY=235

...

Maybe the Tea Party candidate is hurting Webster there, but 23% looks odd ...

[Tender Branson]

A poll for Childers (D-MS1) has Childers ahead by 5.

Childers: 46%
Nunnelee: 41%

The Democratic firm surveyed 400 likely voters in the district Aug. 30 to Sept. 1. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent, which means Childers' lead could be razor thin.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/117337-rep-childers-has-edge-on-gop-challenger-in-poll-

[Tender Branson]

A poll for Perriello (D) shows Hurt (R) ahead:

44% - Hurt (R)
42% - Perriello (D)

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/virginiapolitics/2010/09/with_new_poll_democrats_make_c.html

[Tender Branson]

Since today seems to be internal day, here's another:

KS-04

Pompeo(R): 50%
Goyle(D): 47%

http://www.scribd.com/doc/37051149/Raj-Goyle-August-2010-Poll

This poll is almost 1 month old and was conducted at the same time as the SUSA poll, which had Pompeo up by only 7 points - before the racist postings of Pompeo.

The DCCC should probably put some money into this district.

[Tender Branson]

Today is really a good day for internals.

Action Solutions for William Lawson (R-NC 04):

46.5% - William Lawson (R)
46.1% - David Price (D-Incumbent)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usnw/20100907/pl_usnw/DC60126

[Tender Branson]

Today is really a good day for internals.

Action Solutions for William Lawson (R-NC 04):

46.5% - William Lawson (R)
46.1% - David Price (D-Incumbent)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usnw/20100907/pl_usnw/DC60126

wtf?

Well, remember that Price was elected in the 80s, then got defeated in the 94 GOP wave and got the seat back in 1996.

It´s not that impossible that he loses again in a similar wave this year. In 2008, he got 63% to 37% against Lawson and a 13-point swing from 2008 to 2010 is not impossible.

We'll see ...

[Tender Branson]

And here's yet another:

Public Opinion Strategies (R) for David McKinley (R-WV 01):

41% - Mike Oliverio (D)
36% - David McKinley (R)

McKinley's lead among voters who have an opinion of both candidates is 53 percent to Oliverio's 40 percent, Rob Autry, McKinley's polling strategist, said.

The survey by Public Opinion Strategies was conducted Sept. 1 and 2 and polled 500 likely voters. The company's clients are primarily Republicans, including Rep. Shelley Capito of West Virginia and Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

"They are the premiere polling firm on the U.S. political scene," said Steve Cohen, a McKinley spokesman.

http://www.newsandsentinel.com/page/content.detail/id/538821/McKinley-poll-shows-gap-closing-with-Oliverio.html?nav=5061

[Tender Branson]

Rep. Kissell (D-NC 08) is probably safe. Take a look:

The polling war in North Carolina's 8th district continued Wednesday with a new survey from Republican Harold Johnson's campaign showing the former sportscaster down just 5 points to freshman Rep. Larry Kissell (D).

Johnson's poll, which was in the field Aug. 29-30, showed Kissell with 39 percent to Johnson's 34 percent, with the remaining 27 percent either undecided or favoring Libertarian Thomas Hill. The survey had a 4.9 point margin of error.

The poll of 400 likely 8th district voters was conducted for Johnson by the GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies.

The results paint a very different picture of the race than a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee poll from Aug. 25-29 that showed Kissell ahead 48 percent to 36 percent for Johnson. And just two weeks ago, Kissell's campaign released an internal poll that showed the Congressman up 49 percent to 32 percent. That survey was in the field Aug. 19-24.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/nc-johnson-poll-shows-race-tig.html

[Tender Branson]

A poll for Betsy Markey (D-CO 04):

38% - Markey (D)
38% - Gardner (R)
  5% - Waszkiewicz (I)
  2% - Aden (C)
17% - Undecided

http://www.coloradoan.com/article/20100909/UPDATES01/100909005/1001/NEWS/Betsy+Markey+campaign+poll+shows+her+tied+with+Cory+Gardner

[Tender Branson]

Dan Benishek (R) seems to pick up a seat:

54% - Dan Benishek (R)
31% - Gary McDowell (D)

The poll, commissioned by Benishek's campaign and executed by Washington-based GOP polling firm TargetPoint Consulting (a favorite of the Bush II administration), has a 5.7 percent margin of error.

http://apps.detnews.com/apps/blogs/conventionblog/index.php?blogid=191

[Tender Branson]

Here are a few AZ GOP internals:

AZ-01: 43% Ann Kirkpatrick (D), 43% Paul Gosar (R)

AZ-05: 46% David Schweikert (R), 38% Harry Mitchell (D)

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000003729182

[Tender Branson]

Boren can also lean back and chill:

Rep. Dan Boren, who holds one of the best performing districts for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) still represented by a Democrat, led his Republican opponent by 34 points in a new poll funded by his campaign.

The poll showed Boren ahead of Republican Charles Thompson, a veterinarian and Iraq War veteran, 65 percent to 31 percent. Myers Research and Strategic Services conducted the poll from Sept. 7-8, interviewing 400 likely voters over the phone. The poll had a margin of error of 4.9 points.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/boren-easily-leads-thompson-in.html

[Tender Branson]

NC-07 (POS for the Republican guy):

Public Opinion Strategies conducted the live interview poll on August 31 and September 2, with 400 interviews and a margin of error of 4.9 percent. In summary, Public Opinion Strategies stated, “A combination of a worsening political environment for Democrats and Mike McIntyre’s bad voting record has transformed this usually safe re-election coronation into the fight of McIntyre’s political life.”

Among “most likely voters,” challenger Ilario Pantano holds a 7 point advantage of 48 percent to 41 percent and among “very likely voters,” Congressman McIntyre is clinging to a single digit lead of 45 percent to 39 percent on the ballot test.

http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20100914006774/en

[Tender Branson]

Earl Pomeroy internal:

Pomeroy’s campaign has released results of their third round of private polling this campaign cycle – indicating Pomeroy leads Berg, 46 percent to 44 percent, with 10 percent of voters undecided.

The Washington, D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group surveyed 501 likely North Dakota voters Sept. 10-12. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percent.

Similar polls conducted in May and July by the research group also tilted in favor of Pomeroy by two or three percentage points, according to the campaign news release.

http://www.inforum.com/event/article/id/291827/group/News/

[Tender Branson]

Heck, he`s gaining !

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.rollcall.com/issues/56_27/atr/50053-1.html

...

So, the 9-point SUSA lead isn´t so far off and they also have it getting closer.

[Tender Branson]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Tender Branson]

A new one for AZ-05:

There's new evidence to support Democrats' claims that Rep. Harry Mitchell (D-Ariz.) is running a strong reelection campaign.

A new poll shows the two-term incumbent leading former Maricopa County Treasurer David Schweikert (R) — albeit by a single point.

Mitchell had 45 percent support to 44 percent for Schweikert, with 6 percent for Libertarian Nick Coons and 5 percent undecided, in an internal poll obtained by the Ballot Box.

Harstad Strategic Research, a Colorado-based firm, conducted the survey of 509 likely voters Sept. 13-16. The firm's polling memo does not state the poll's margin of error.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/119961-poll-arizona-grudge-match-tied-

And 2 older ones for TN-04:

DesJarlais released an internal campaign poll conducted by the GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies on Aug. 10 and 12 that showed him trailing the Congressman 45 percent to 41 percent. That survey of 300 likely voters with a 5.7-point margin of error was dismissed by Davis’ camp.

The Congressman [Lincoln Davis (D)] released his own survey of 400 likely voters conducted Aug. 24-26, which showed him ahead 51 percent to 40 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 points.

[Tender Branson]

Periello still down in own poll:

September 21, 2010--Ivy, VA--With mounting concern over Robert Hurt's skipping debates and failing to explain his record on raising taxes, raising electricity bills, and opposing funding for education, voters of the 5th district are showing the contest in the 5th district remains extremely competitive. In a new poll, Congressman Tom Perriello gains 44% of voters and state Senator Robert Hurt gains 46%, tied within the poll's margin of error. Independent conservative candidate Jeff Clark gets 4% of voters, and 5% of voters remain undecided.

The poll was conducted by Benenson Strategy Group for the Perriello campaign. It surveyed 400 likely voters from September 14-16, 2010. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Click here for a memo prepared by Benenson Strategy Group outlining key findings of the poll.

http://perrielloforcongress.com/node/366

[Tender Branson]

MS-02:

35% Bennie Thompson (D-Inc.)
34% Bill Marcy (R)
31% Undecided

http://www.meridianteaparty.com/bombshell-thompson-marcy-race-a-toss-up/

[Tender Branson]

MA-04 internal for the GOPer:

48% Barney Frank (D-Inc.)
38% Sean Bielat (R)

The survey, conducted for Bielat's campaign by the firm OnMessage, polled 400 likely voters in Massachusetts' Fourth Congressional District after the September 14 primary election. The margin of error is +/-4.9%.

http://www.seanbielat.org/news/2010-09-22/poll-support-barney-frank-drops-below-50-bielat-within-10

[Tender Branson]

And here`s the next one for Rep. Ron Klein (D/FL-22):

48% Ron Klein
40% Allen West

The poll, by Anzalone Liszt Research was conducted from September 14 - 16 and relied upon 500 phone interviews with likely voters.

http://blogs.browardpalmbeach.com/juice/2010/09/poll_ron_klein_allen_west_22nd_congressional_district.php

[Tender Branson]

Ben Chandler (D-KY06) is in good shape. Poll for his GOP challenger:

49% Ben Chandler (D)
42% Andy Barr (R)

Barr's poll of 407 likely voters was conducted by the GOP firm the Tarrance Group and had a 4.9 point margin of error.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/new-kentucky-poll.html

[Tender Branson]

Benishek (R) still favored to pick up a seat in MI:

The race to replace retiring Rep. Bart Stupak is essentially tied, according to a poll taken earlier this week for Democratic state Rep. Gary McDowell's campaign. The poll showed surgeon Dan Benishek  (R) ahead of McDowell 41 percent to 38 percent. Third party candidate Glenn Wilson got 12 percent, and nine percent were undecided.

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner surveyed 505 likely voters Sept. 21-22, controlling for the district's large geographical spread over 31 counties. The poll had a margin of error of 4.4 points.

"I think that this race is clearly starting to take shape right now, and as more people get introduced to Gary McDowell they're seeing that Gary McDowell is the best Representative for this district," said McDowell campaign manager Daniel Krupnick.

The district has been a battleground for both parties since Benishek narrowly defeated state Sen. Jason Allen in the July 27 Republican primary. A number of outside groups have been involved in the race. Both House campaign committees, the American Future Fund and Americans for Prosperity have all run ads in the district already.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/mcdowell-poll-shows-a-tied-rac.html

[Tender Branson]

Del Bene (D) internal:

Democrat Suzan DelBene trails Rep. Dave Reichert 48 percent to 44 percent, a new internal poll done for the challenger shows.

The sampling by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz and Associates showed 8 percent of respondents undecided. The survey of 400 voters in the 8th Congressional District was taken Oct. 4-5 and had a margin of error of 4.9 percent. The same poll taken in August had Reichert, a Republican seeking his fourth term, up by nine points.

A SurveyUSA/KING5 poll released earlier this month had Reichert at 52 percent and DelBene at 45 percent. That showing was an improvement for the Democrat.

The Democratic and Republican national political committees will be closely watching all polling in the coming days as they make their final decisions where to allocate resources in the run up to next month's election.

http://blog.seattlepi.com/seattlepolitics/archives/223891.asp

[Tender Branson]

The latest polling data from The Tarrance Group shows that Alan Nunnelee has opened up a 51-40 lead over Travis Childers. This is the first time any candidate has been at or over the 50 percent mark in the race. The previous poll put Nunnelee up 48-41.

Other data:

- Nunnelee holds a 15 point lead among “extremely likely” voters (54-39)

- Nunnelee leads 56-38 among voters who have impressions of both he and Childers

- Of the 75 percent of voters who have seen, read or heard something about the Childers campaign, 43 percent are less likely to vote him based on that information

- 32 percent say Childers deserves re-election

- Republicans maintain a 53-39 edge on the generic Congressional ballot

The poll of 300 likely voters was done October 4-5 and has a 5.8 percent margin of error.

http://majorityinms.com/2010/10/07/nunnelee-expands-lead-in-latest-poll/