Your biggest state surprise...
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Your biggest state surprise...
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Author Topic: Your biggest state surprise...  (Read 9637 times)
Beet
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« Reply #50 on: November 06, 2004, 11:42:48 PM »
« edited: November 06, 2004, 11:44:24 PM by Beet »

No single state, but... basically all rural counties. What a massive surge. If anything, this year should be known as the year of the rural vote. Its not about an individual state, not even Ohio.
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Hitchabrut
republicanjew18
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« Reply #51 on: November 07, 2004, 07:57:18 PM »

Big mistake on what I said about Vermont. I meant that Kerry would win by 10-15%.
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Alcon
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« Reply #52 on: November 07, 2004, 08:00:57 PM »

1. West Virginia going for Bush so much
2. Vermont going for Kerry so much
3. Florida going for Bush so much
4. Nevada being so close
5. Minnesota going for Kerry so much
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #53 on: November 08, 2004, 07:05:44 AM »

Big mistake on what I said about Vermont. I meant that Kerry would win by 10-15%.
Oh. I was already wondering.
As per NJ: Yes there were a handful of polls that showed it round about tied, but the poll average was Kerry by 6. It's still one of the strongest Rep trends around...
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kwab
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« Reply #54 on: November 08, 2004, 07:44:29 PM »

Michigan being closer than Minnesota...

Kerry's victory margin in PA being less than Bush's margin in OH..

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patrick1
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #55 on: November 08, 2004, 08:51:12 PM »

Both Michigan and Minnesota were pipe dreams for Bush IMO.   Minnesota was only so close last time due to Nader and it remains a fairly liberal state.  Michigan needs for more demographic changes for a Republican like Bush to win.  Detroit and other industrial cities provide the Democratic candidate with too much of a cushion and Repubs can never find enough votes in the rural areas.
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