Anderson 1980 correlation with Nader 2000

[homelycooking]

Does anyone have an idea what the % correlation is between these two candidates? I would estimate 40%. The correlation looks very strong in Colorado, California, New England and Kansas, but I'm not sure about the South.

[bgwah]

Anderson certainly did well in a lot of the same places as Nader.

What is more interesting to me is that, at least in the West, Anderson's strongest areas are those that might have been historically Republican but would end up swinging pretty hard to the Democrats by the 90s/00s.

[Hash]

To boast one of the best threads on the forum;



No Nader map, but I'm on-and-off working on one.

[homelycooking]

Anderson certainly did well in a lot of the same places as Nader.

What is more interesting to me is that, at least in the West, Anderson's strongest areas are those that might have been historically Republican but would end up swinging pretty hard to the Democrats by the 90s/00s.

To be fair, a lot of darker-orange counties in the West on that map are pretty traditionally Democratic. Teton, WY, Blaine, ID, Latah, ID, Pima, AZ, Coconino, AZ, etc. are good examples. But the trend you noticed is a major factor especially in Colorado.

[RI]

Both candidates did well in socially liberal areas, especially college towns, ski resort counties, and New England. The patterns match up quite well with a number of results for candidates in who in primaries run to the left of the social spectrum and to referenda results. It's not terribly difficult to see why this was the case, either.

[bgwah]

Anderson certainly did well in a lot of the same places as Nader.

What is more interesting to me is that, at least in the West, Anderson's strongest areas are those that might have been historically Republican but would end up swinging pretty hard to the Democrats by the 90s/00s.

To be fair, a lot of darker-orange counties in the West on that map are pretty traditionally Democratic. Teton, WY, Blaine, ID, Latah, ID, Pima, AZ, Coconino, AZ, etc. are good examples. But the trend you noticed is a major factor especially in Colorado.

Um, well, let us see:

Blaine: Voted Democrat in 1992 for the first time since 1964. Check.
Teton: Voted Democrat in 1992 for the first time since 1964. Check.
Coconino: Voted Democrat in 1992 for the first time since 1948. Check.
Pima: Voted Democrat in 1992 for the first time since 1964. Check.
Latah: Voted Democrat in 1988 for the first time since 1964. Check.

Yeah, those counties became Democratic in the 1990s. Like I said. Latah a couple years earlier.

[phk]

If one wants a correlation.

Just make an Excel spreadsheet with one column for the county, another for %Nader and another for %Anderson and forward it to me.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

the most obvious contrasts are Utah (high Perot, low Anderson) and DC (low Perot, high Anderson)

[Хahar 🤔]

the most obvious contrasts are Utah (high Perot, low Anderson) and DC (low Perot, high Anderson)

Nobody brought up Perot.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

the most obvious contrasts are Utah (high Perot, low Anderson) and DC (low Perot, high Anderson)

Nobody brought up Perot.

yeah, I was tired. but still, it's an interesting question, and there is some strong correlation in some areas between Anderson and Perot.

[nclib]

It is also interesting that Anderson 1980 is more strongly correlated with Obama 2008 than Carter 1980 is correlated with Obama 2008.

[SingingAnalyst]

I'm sure it's very strong right down to the community. Some of Nader's strongest communities (25% in Amherst, MA; 19% in Northampton, MA; 14% in Cambridge, MA) were also very strong for Anderson in 1980.