Likely safe? Ho ho, not in this environment.
You actually think he would have been in trouble in IN-08?
A Democratic incumbent in the midwest? Yes, I do think he would have been in trouble. Not a guaranteed loser, but it'd be a highly competitive seat.
It will be interesting to see whether or not he wins his own district in his Senate race.
As a resident of IN-08, Ellsworth would have been safe. While Republicans have a decent candidate here, we would have needed a great candidate to run against him, and we don't have that. Granted, Buchson would have kept Ellsworth under 60%, maybe even down to around 55%. But this race wouldn't be that competitive. Ellsworth had the cash, name recognition, and overall likeability in his favor.
