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| | |-+  2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
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Author Topic: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo  (Read 847 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 20, 2010, 07:19:55 am »
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New Poll: New York Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-09-16

Summary: D: 54%, R: 38%, I: 2%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2010, 08:10:08 am »
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Post-primary Rasmussen bounceTM
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Lief
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2010, 08:55:27 am »
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Wonder why they didn't include Lazio in the poll.
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2010, 09:16:00 am »
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Angry voters!!!!!1
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Hashemite
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2010, 10:17:20 am »
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haha, sure Scott.
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wormyguy
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2010, 10:33:28 am »
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Hmm . . . this might mean Gillibrand's in trouble.

Quick poll: Do people here think Ras will show Cuomo or Schumer with the larger lead?
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Jbrase
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2010, 10:40:55 am »
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Hmm . . . this might mean Gillibrand's in trouble.

Quick poll: Do people here think Ras will show Cuomo or Schumer with the larger lead?
Schumer.

I think if you take Paladino's numbers in this poll and give 1/3 to Cuomo and 1/3 to Lazio, then it would be accurate.
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wormyguy
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2010, 10:43:21 am »
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Nate Silver did point out that gubernatorial elections especially tend to regress towards the mean as the election gets nearer, so it could just be that.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2010, 12:00:18 pm »
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@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.
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« Reply #9 on: September 20, 2010, 12:27:52 pm »
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@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.

Roll Eyes

Please take a polling class if you are in school. By this logic all national polls should be thrown out.
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2010, 12:42:58 pm »
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@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.

Once you reach 500 respondents, it doesn't really matter that much if it's 10,000 or 20 million.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #11 on: September 20, 2010, 12:50:38 pm »
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@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.

Roll Eyes

Please take a polling class if you are in school. By this logic all national polls should be thrown out.

Unless it's of a smaller region? Yes, those are exactly my thoughts. I'd like to remind you of Rick Lazio, btw. Ahead in the polls consistently until the primary, at which point he lost by 30%. Oh, and I'd also like to name Joe Miller. I suppose the polls were accurate there, eh?

It's called logic. I know that concept it behind you, but at least try.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2010, 12:58:20 pm »
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Cuomo's in good shape here, Paladino gained a little ground, but certainly not anything significant.
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cinyc
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« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2010, 01:07:28 pm »
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Hmm . . . this might mean Gillibrand's in trouble.

Quick poll: Do people here think Ras will show Cuomo or Schumer with the larger lead?

Schumer.  Because Cuomo is technically in a 3-way race.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: September 20, 2010, 01:45:48 pm »
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This is probably the high water mark for Paladino... and it's not that high to begin with. Calm down, folks.

Also Obama is at 58% in NY according to this poll. Pretty damn high all things considered.


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Jbrase
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« Reply #15 on: September 20, 2010, 04:10:03 pm »
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Why was Lazio exluded from the poll?
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