WV: Public Policy Polling: Raese overtakes Mr. Popular

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Ugh. Rass still has him ahead by 7 though. This one will be a 51-49 type of election..

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

So basically, WV just really hates Obama.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Manchin has 59/32 approvals. Are WVans that hackish that they'd vote for Raese?

Sometimes a guy just gets drowned by a wave.

Lincoln Chaffee lost his senate seat in an anti-bush wave when he had (according to the exits polls) a 61% job approval rating.

I also have a suspicion that some of the PPP polls are getting juiced as a dailykos tool to try to wind up the Dem base and help narrow the enthusiasm gap.

PPP saying the Dem would be +6 if it were 2008 is consistent with Rasmussen's +7 (Rassy tends to model the last election pretty heavy in to the next election which explains the similarity)

This isn't a poll for Daily Kos though.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Those 59% approvals are much lower than we've seen for Manchin as of late. If they're truly accurate, well ... you know why Raese hopped into the lead in this poll.

PPP always shows lower approval ratings than almost anybody else for Senators and Governors.