Interesting, Fiornia is winning the district by 14 points, which is roughly the margin she needs in this district to win statewide.
Fool's Gold, of course. But still 
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The swing against Boxer will be biggest in the Central Valley I strongly suspect. It will be smallest in the Bay area, and the hippie/drug/counterculture belt (Mendacino, Humbolt and Santa Cruz Counties).
I'd guess the smallest swing (vs. 2004) would be in the southern San Joaquin Valley, since Bill Jones had personal popularity and some of his largest numbers there. I'm going to guess that there will be a larger swing in the Inland Empire and all along the coast. That being said, I am expecting a large swing compared to 2008 in the Central Valley.
