CA-44: PPP: Calvert leads by double-digits

[Rowan]

CA-44 PPP

Calvert(R): 49%
Hedrick(D): 38%

http://www.democrats.com/files/field_file/ca44pollresults.pdf

[Meeker]

If this were a normal year we might be able to take Calvert out. Alas this is not a normal year.

[Sam Spade]

Internal poll (democrats.org?)  I wrote this CD off many moons ago.

[Rowan]

Internal poll (democrats.org?)  I wrote this CD off many moons ago.

I'm not sure, it may have just been done for the site, not for a candidate.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Calvert did poorly in 2008 because Obama did extremely well in California and he was caught unawares by it. Nothing's happening to him this time.

[Dgov]

Wow.  Calvert is only down by 4 with Hispanics in a district that covers Riverside?  That's not exactly encouraging for the Democrats's long-term prospects.

[DrScholl]

The district includes more Republican areas like Corona and San Clemente, it was gerrymandered to be safe for Calvert, so it really is quite Republican. I think come redistricting, the district will end up getting smaller and actually improve Democratic chances here.

[Dgov]

The district includes more Republican areas like Corona and San Clemente, it was gerrymandered to be safe for Calvert, so it really is quite Republican. I think come redistricting, the district will end up getting smaller and actually improve Democratic chances here.

Yeah, it covers swing territory in Riverside county and some Heavily Republican parts of Orange county.  But Riverside (from what I know) has a considerable Hispanic Democratic base, and if PPP's right here (which given that it's a individual CD poll with maybe 100 Hispanic respondents, might not be) it kind of throws a wrench in the whole "Hispanics are a forever Democratic voting bloc" meme.  Democrats should be getting at least 66% of the Hispanic vote here.

Granted that Boxer is doing much better with them than The Congressional candidate, but this suggests there signs of life for the Republican party

[Eraserhead]

Wow.  Calvert is only down by 4 with Hispanics in a district that covers Riverside?  That's not exactly encouraging for the Democrats's long-term prospects.

I really wouldn't read anything into the crosstabs of the poll.