Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?
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  Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?
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Poll
Question: What is Blanche Lincoln's total going to be on election night?
#1
Win, 50-55%
#2
Win, 45-49%
#3
Lose, 42-49%
#4
Lose, 35-41%
#5
Lose, 29-34%
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Partisan results


Author Topic: Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?  (Read 8748 times)
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KS21
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« on: October 02, 2010, 01:50:36 PM »

Just curious to see what everyone thinks.
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Franzl
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2010, 01:51:54 PM »

Is this a serious question?
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KS21
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2010, 01:54:24 PM »

Yes, just for fun.

I want to know how dead everyone thinks she is.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2010, 01:55:19 PM »

Uhhhh, third option.  I expect it to be around 57-43 Boozman.
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2010, 01:55:27 PM »

Will lose by upper double digits.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2010, 01:58:48 PM »

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.
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KS21
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2010, 02:02:48 PM »

As of now, it's a safe bet to say she'll lose with between 35 and 43%.
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Franzl
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2010, 02:04:18 PM »

As of now, it's a safe bet to say she'll lose with between 35 and 43%.

43% is a lot more likely than 35% IMO....I don't think Democrats can go lower than 40 under any circumstances this year in a place like Arkansas.....but then again, Obama proved us wrong two years ago.....but that had "special" reasons Smiley

Of course....there's no chance whatsoever that Lincoln wins. None.
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KS21
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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2010, 02:06:40 PM »

As of now, it's a safe bet to say she'll lose with between 35 and 43%.

43% is a lot more likely than 35% IMO....I don't think Democrats can go lower than 40 under any circumstances this year in a place like Arkansas.....but then again, Obama proved us wrong two years ago.....but that had "special" reasons Smiley

Arkansas still is a very backwards state...
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2010, 02:11:56 PM »

She'll lose around 56-44.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2010, 02:16:25 PM »

Roadkill.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2010, 02:21:03 PM »

As of now, it's a safe bet to say she'll lose with between 35 and 43%.
Yet you continue to have her winning on your predictions...
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2010, 02:22:55 PM »

Roadkill unless there is an "October Surprise."
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KS21
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« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2010, 02:56:09 PM »

I find it interesting that Rasmussen did a monthly poll of AR around the 17th, except in September.

I think Lincoln's numbers have improved but they just don't want to admit it. 

I believe the Ispos poll indicates that Lincoln has risen from below 30 to just at 40.

The Talk Buisness poll was methodologically unsound. 

Of course, Arkansas is a very Democratic state, and being under 40 for any reason is a bad sign if you're a Democrat. 

Lincoln's 1998 opponent, John Boozman's brother, was a one-man gaffe machine.

The only way Lincoln can win is A. Boozman has a big gaffe and B. Dixiecrats come back to Lincoln. 

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feeblepizza
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« Reply #14 on: October 02, 2010, 03:00:20 PM »

She'll be lucky to break 35%
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #15 on: October 02, 2010, 03:18:27 PM »

I think there will be some kind of "swingback" or "core vote hardening" to her, and she'll end up with about 40% of the vote.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #16 on: October 02, 2010, 05:20:17 PM »

Ask Bob Menendez.
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RainMan05
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« Reply #17 on: October 02, 2010, 05:24:23 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.
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KS21
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« Reply #18 on: October 02, 2010, 05:31:12 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.

I can see why a Green, synonomous with "super-liberal" would be happy to get rid of Lincoln, but Menendez?
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RainMan05
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« Reply #19 on: October 02, 2010, 05:35:22 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.

I can see why a Green, synonomous with "super-liberal" would be happy to get rid of Lincoln, but Menendez?

My generally liberal positions do not necessarily predispose me to support candidates who disagree with me on most things. For example, I am undecided between Boxer and the Green candidate and am a safe Meg Whitman voter.
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KS21
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« Reply #20 on: October 02, 2010, 05:40:52 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.

I can see why a Green, synonomous with "super-liberal" would be happy to get rid of Lincoln, but Menendez?

My generally liberal positions do not necessarily predispose me to support candidates who disagree with me on most things. For example, I am undecided between Boxer and the Green candidate and am a safe Meg Whitman voter.

Okay, then what's the problem with Lincoln and Menendez?
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RainMan05
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« Reply #21 on: October 02, 2010, 05:44:52 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.

I can see why a Green, synonomous with "super-liberal" would be happy to get rid of Lincoln, but Menendez?

My generally liberal positions do not necessarily predispose me to support candidates who disagree with me on most things. For example, I am undecided between Boxer and the Green candidate and am a safe Meg Whitman voter.

Okay, then what's the problem with Lincoln and Menendez?

Blanche Lincoln is a pro-corporate tool who wavered on the public option yet supported the mandate that didn't contain cost controls whatsoever. What has Blanche Lincoln down to help bring troops home from Afghanistan or Iraq? Oh, right, she voted to send them there! When has she taken a stand on the environment and pushed to move us to a cleaner and more sustainable economy? Never!

Menendez is a union thug and partisan hack who has done much to help his cronies but little to help New Jersey and Americans. He has been happy to go along with the same old failed Bush-Obama policies.
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KS21
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« Reply #22 on: October 02, 2010, 05:54:38 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.

I can see why a Green, synonomous with "super-liberal" would be happy to get rid of Lincoln, but Menendez?

My generally liberal positions do not necessarily predispose me to support candidates who disagree with me on most things. For example, I am undecided between Boxer and the Green candidate and am a safe Meg Whitman voter.

Okay, then what's the problem with Lincoln and Menendez?

Blanche Lincoln is a pro-corporate tool who wavered on the public option yet supported the mandate that didn't contain cost controls whatsoever. What has Blanche Lincoln down to help bring troops home from Afghanistan or Iraq? Oh, right, she voted to send them there! When has she taken a stand on the environment and pushed to move us to a cleaner and more sustainable economy? Never!

Menendez is a union thug and partisan hack who has done much to help his cronies but little to help New Jersey and Americans. He has been happy to go along with the same old failed Bush-Obama policies.

You have very unusual positions.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #23 on: October 02, 2010, 06:04:26 PM »


Takes a lost cause to no one, eh?

I will be very happy to see the Senate rid of Menendez and Lincoln both, though I appreciated the free beer I got at the Menendez office.

I can see why a Green, synonomous with "super-liberal" would be happy to get rid of Lincoln, but Menendez?

My generally liberal positions do not necessarily predispose me to support candidates who disagree with me on most things. For example, I am undecided between Boxer and the Green candidate and am a safe Meg Whitman voter.
Whitman? Your joking right?
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KS21
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« Reply #24 on: October 02, 2010, 06:06:31 PM »


That's what I was thinking.
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