Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?
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  Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?
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Poll
Question: What is Blanche Lincoln's total going to be on election night?
#1
Win, 50-55%
#2
Win, 45-49%
#3
Lose, 42-49%
#4
Lose, 35-41%
#5
Lose, 29-34%
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Partisan results


Author Topic: Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?  (Read 8737 times)
RainMan05
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« Reply #25 on: October 02, 2010, 06:10:39 PM »

What is wrong with Meg Whitman, might I ask?
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #26 on: October 02, 2010, 06:15:12 PM »

Nothing, other than her being a right-wing Republican..
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KS21
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« Reply #27 on: October 02, 2010, 06:17:20 PM »

What is wrong with Meg Whitman, might I ask?

HuhHuh?

Maybe because she's a mean heartless person, willing to do whatever it takes to win, who also had an illegal housekeeper!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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RainMan05
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« Reply #28 on: October 02, 2010, 06:19:18 PM »

I don't find her right-wing, she strikes me as a pragmatist, someone who can solve problems. She has created thousands of green jobs and can use this expertise to help California rebound from the poor economic situation. The budget needs fixed too. The legislature Dems need checked, they are too controlled by special interests, particularly the unions or race advocacy groups. Brown also has a pretty poor record as Governor, as Bill Clinton pointed out to us in 1992. I'm also hoping for Lois Capps' district to get eliminated in redistricting.
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jfern
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« Reply #29 on: October 02, 2010, 06:22:39 PM »

I don't find her right-wing, she strikes me as a pragmatist, someone who can solve problems. She has created thousands of green jobs and can use this expertise to help California rebound from the poor economic situation. The budget needs fixed too. The legislature Dems need checked, they are too controlled by special interests, particularly the unions or race advocacy groups. Brown also has a pretty poor record as Governor, as Bill Clinton pointed out to us in 1992. I'm also hoping for Lois Capps' district to get eliminated in redistricting.

During this recession, Meg Whitman called for 500,000 new H-1B visas a year. It's pretty clear that she hates American workers.
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KS21
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« Reply #30 on: October 02, 2010, 06:24:20 PM »

She is an egotist.
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RainMan05
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« Reply #31 on: October 02, 2010, 06:26:36 PM »

I don't find her right-wing, she strikes me as a pragmatist, someone who can solve problems. She has created thousands of green jobs and can use this expertise to help California rebound from the poor economic situation. The budget needs fixed too. The legislature Dems need checked, they are too controlled by special interests, particularly the unions or race advocacy groups. Brown also has a pretty poor record as Governor, as Bill Clinton pointed out to us in 1992. I'm also hoping for Lois Capps' district to get eliminated in redistricting.

During this recession, Meg Whitman called for 500,000 new H-1B visas a year. It's pretty clear that she hates American workers.

Something I disagree with, but certainly better than seeing those jobs outsourced too, right?

Whitman will not have much control over immigration policy. Even so, better 500,000 H-1Bs than 20 million farm workers.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #32 on: October 02, 2010, 06:31:11 PM »

Roadkill unless there is an "October Surprise."

This. Without an almost impossible miracle, she'd dead (badly).
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KS21
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« Reply #33 on: October 02, 2010, 06:33:07 PM »

Roadkill unless there is an "October Surprise."

This. Without an almost impossible miracle, she'd dead (badly).

She's now back to 40, still very pathetic for an Arkansas Demcorat, although maybe it isn't pathetic considering the South has turned against the Democrats...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #34 on: October 02, 2010, 06:38:56 PM »

She's roadkill half consumed by fresh roadkill. Unless something amazing happens, she's going to get utterly and absolutely slaughtered. If the most extreme polls are right (which I doubt, actually - however useless she is) it's just about possible that she'll loose every county in the state. That level of humiliation is far more likely than victory.
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KS21
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« Reply #35 on: October 02, 2010, 06:45:35 PM »

At bare minimum she will take Jefferson, Phillips, and Lee, most likley Desha, Crittenden, and Chicot, then probably Pulaski, Woodruff, Clark and Jackson.
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BillyW
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« Reply #36 on: October 02, 2010, 06:52:37 PM »

Poor Blanche. Timing is everything. Had her seat been up 2 years ago she might have won in a walk
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RainMan05
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« Reply #37 on: October 02, 2010, 06:54:34 PM »

Poor Blanche. Timing is everything. Had her seat been up 2 years ago she might have won in a walk

If Landrieu did, Lincoln certainly would have. In fact, many thought she'd be untouchable in early 2009.
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KS21
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« Reply #38 on: October 02, 2010, 06:55:56 PM »

Poor Blanche. Timing is everything. Had her seat been up 2 years ago she might have won in a walk

If Landrieu did, Lincoln certainly would have. In fact, many thought she'd be untouchable in early 2009.

I agree with both of you.

I thought she was untouchable as well.
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Miles
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« Reply #39 on: October 02, 2010, 07:06:44 PM »

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!
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Miles
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« Reply #40 on: October 02, 2010, 07:09:48 PM »

Poor Blanche. Timing is everything. Had her seat been up 2 years ago she might have won in a walk

If Landrieu did, Lincoln certainly would have. In fact, many thought she'd be untouchable in early 2009.

I agree with both of you.

I thought she was untouchable as well.

If Landrieu was up for election this year, she'd be just as dead as Lincoln.  Landreiu lucked out and got a Class II seat that was up in 2008. If Lincoln were up in 2008, she would have cruised to victory.
I wish Lincoln and Pryor could switch seats. Lincoln would have won in 2008 and Pryor could have made it through 2010.
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KS21
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« Reply #41 on: October 02, 2010, 07:10:24 PM »

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!

I agree, Miles.

She has a steep hill to get up, but Blanche is risillient, and can win.

however, it would be much easier for her if this was 2008 or 2006.
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KS21
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« Reply #42 on: October 02, 2010, 07:12:13 PM »

Poor Blanche. Timing is everything. Had her seat been up 2 years ago she might have won in a walk

If Landrieu did, Lincoln certainly would have. In fact, many thought she'd be untouchable in early 2009.

I agree with both of you.

I thought she was untouchable as well.

If Landrieu was up for election this year, she'd be just as dead as Lincoln.  Landreiu lucked out and got a Class II seat that was up in 2008. If Lincoln were up in 2008, she would have cruised to victory.
I wish Lincoln and Pryor could switch seats. Lincoln would have won in 2008 and Pryor could have made it through 2010.

Dynastic names are always helpful.
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Miles
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« Reply #43 on: October 02, 2010, 07:12:25 PM »


Blanche just 'broke' 39% in the last Ipsos poll.

She must have been really lucky!!
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Miles
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« Reply #44 on: October 02, 2010, 07:14:01 PM »

Mark Pryor would have won this year.

David Pryor was very popular.

Lincoln probably would have gone unopposed in 2008!!!!!!
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KS21
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« Reply #45 on: October 02, 2010, 07:15:21 PM »

Mark Pryor would have won this year.

David Pryor was very popular.

Lincoln probably would have gone unopposed in 2008!!!!!!

Probably. Maybe some rancher would have run, but it's doubtful.

It's amazing what can change in 2 years.
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RainMan05
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« Reply #46 on: October 02, 2010, 07:16:47 PM »


Blanche just 'broke' 39% in the last Ipsos poll.

She must have been really lucky!!

She was indeed.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #47 on: October 02, 2010, 07:18:11 PM »

guys, she's going to lose: the best she can hope for is 42%. I can't understand why she even wanted to run for reelection.
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KS21
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« Reply #48 on: October 02, 2010, 07:20:32 PM »


Blanche just 'broke' 39% in the last Ipsos poll.

She must have been really lucky!!

She was indeed.

She's already where Obama was in 2008 and tehre are still some undecideds to bring in, not to mention Boozman's numbers are consistently sliding, he's just now at 53%

He was up in the 60's a couple of moths ago.

The momentum is clearly wit Lincoln, but it remains to be seen whether a last-minute push will be good enough.
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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
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« Reply #49 on: October 02, 2010, 07:22:04 PM »

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!

Yes, your prediction map giving Blanche >90% of the vote would make that pretty clear.


Tmth, I agree with you, it's quite unfortunate that these hacks from the prediction map part of Atlas managed to find the forum. Sad
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