Can Blanche Lincoln win? Or is she roadkill?

[MilesC56]

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!

Yes, your prediction map giving Blanche >90% of the vote would make that pretty clear.


Tmth, I agree with you, it's quite unfortunate that these hacks from the prediction map part of Atlas managed to find the forum.

AR was at D>90% because it was Blanche's birthday!!!!

[N.i.K.]

This is somewhat depressing. You guys definitely won't be having fun on election night, when she is absolutely annihilated. You guys might want to take a look at this. And this.

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You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!

Yes, your prediction map giving Blanche >90% of the vote would make that pretty clear.


Tmth, I agree with you, it's quite unfortunate that these hacks from the prediction map part of Atlas managed to find the forum.

First, thank you for the warm welcome, Libertas.

Second, Blacnhe Lincoln's birthday was September 30th, so we decided to wish her a happy birthday.

We do the same for other politicians.

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Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

[MilesC56]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Yep. TalkBusiness is about as reliable as Rasmussen.

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Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Yep. TalkBusiness is about as reliable as Rasmussen.

The Talk Business poll was done over the course of one day, with NO callbacks.

This alone is enough to discredit it.

[N.i.K.]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

[Sibboleth]

I can't believe some of the posts in this thread.

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Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

[N.i.K.]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

And they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

[crypto-fascist superhero]

I BELIEVE!  I BELIEVE!  THEREFORE I KNOW IT TO BE TRUE!

[-]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

[N.i.K.]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

Well, I take most polls into account, unlike you, and even if they were incorrect, there is no trend in her favor, since one poll does not a trend make. The last Mason Dixon had the same numbers, and the last TalkBusiness actually increased. Even so, with the national environment being the way it is, Lincoln's chances of returning to the Senate are incredibly slim.

But more importantly, why would you even want Lincoln to return to the Senate?

[-]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

Well, I take most polls into account, unlike you, and even if they were incorrect, there is no trend in her favor, since one poll does not a trend make. The last Mason Dixon had the same numbers, and the last TalkBusiness actually increased. Even so, with the national environment being the way it is, Lincoln's chances of returning to the Senate are incredibly slim.

But more importantly, why would you even want Lincoln to return to the Senate?

Because she basically shares my same positions, with few exceptions.

And she's a very nice person and her heart is in the right place.

[MilesC56]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

Well, I take most polls into account, unlike you, and even if they were incorrect, there is no trend in her favor, since one poll does not a trend make. The last Mason Dixon had the same numbers, and the last TalkBusiness actually increased. Even so, with the national environment being the way it is, Lincoln's chances of returning to the Senate are incredibly slim.

But more importantly, why would you even want Lincoln to return to the Senate?

Because she has done very good work in the Senate. From derivative reform, to child nutrition,  to any number of other things.

I'm a progressive and even I'm impressed by Lincoln accomplishments.

[Senator Libertas]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

Not really, no.

[Jayhawker]

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!

Yes, your prediction map giving Blanche >90% of the vote would make that pretty clear.


Tmth, I agree with you, it's quite unfortunate that these hacks from the prediction map part of Atlas managed to find the forum.

First, thank you for the warm welcome, Libertas.

Second, Blacnhe Lincoln's birthday was September 30th, so we decided to wish her a happy birthday.

We do the same for other politicians.

How kind of you. Be expecting a call from the Lincoln campaign in the coming days thanking you for your generosity and kindness. I'm just worried that if anyone on her campaign saw your prediction, they'll actually start thinking there is hope, as there is still one person, well, two perhaps, that thinks she can win.

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Her derivatives bill was the best I've ever seen.

[Proud Lieberal from Northeast]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

Even if so, it is simply too late.

[-]

Psychic Octopus-

Those two data sets were contaminated with methodologically unsound polls.

Rasmussen is not "methodologically unsound," but in any case, take a look at the numbers. Lincoln is down big, has never once led, and the only way she could recover is if Boozman had a major scandal. And even then, I'd find it unlikely that she would win. If you don't like Rasmussen or TalkBusiness, take a look at PPP and the others.

Oh, and I prefer NiK.

We've had other reliable pollsters soince PPP looked at the race, like Ispos and MD.

and they both have Lincoln trailing by double digits...

but the trend is clearly in her favor...

Even if so, it is simply too late.

She's netting 10 points a month for the past two months.

It's possible she could win 49-48.

[Jayhawker]

You're probably about the only person who thinks she can win, and you only think that because you are a hack who completely ignores polling.

I think she can win!

Yes, your prediction map giving Blanche >90% of the vote would make that pretty clear.


Tmth, I agree with you, it's quite unfortunate that these hacks from the prediction map part of Atlas managed to find the forum.

First, thank you for the warm welcome, Libertas.

Second, Blacnhe Lincoln's birthday was September 30th, so we decided to wish her a happy birthday.

We do the same for other politicians.

You forgot Lee Fisher on August 7th.

[RainMan05]

Who let the trolls out?

[-]

Who let the trolls out?

Yeah, who did?

[Jayhawker]

Who let the trolls out?

Yeah, who did?

Your mom.
No, seriously, your mom. She's the one who let's you on here.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Who let the trolls out?

Yeah, who did?

Both of you have already made it onto my ignore list. I wouldn't be throwing any stones if I were either of you.