Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 30, 2015, 07:12:21 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 House Election Polls
| | | |-+  PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits  (Read 5265 times)
Trump 2016
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 37509
Dominica


View Profile
« on: October 04, 2010, 03:42:15 pm »
Ignore

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/10/2/LA-2/9/veCYR

Cedric Richmond (D): 49%
Joseph Cao (R, Inc.): 38%
Logged

THE FRONTRUNNER

You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9015
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2010, 03:48:07 pm »
Ignore

Well, that didn't take a genius. Tongue
Logged

minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58773
India


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2010, 03:56:30 pm »
Ignore

Doing goodish but not nearly good enough, then?
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1089


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2010, 03:58:21 pm »
Ignore

He's doing surprisingly well. Still, easy Dem pickup.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40094
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2010, 03:59:06 pm »
Ignore

That's respectable. He'll lose with his head held high.
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
ajc0918
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1379
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2010, 04:03:10 pm »
Ignore

Is Cao the shortest member of congress?
He like barley reaches 5 feet.
Logged

minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58773
India


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2010, 04:06:56 pm »
Ignore

5'2'' according to numerous google hits (so not far off). No idea if that makes him the shortest member of Congress, maybe some woman has him beat? Pretty damn sure there were shorter members in the 18th and 19th century, though.
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58773
India


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2010, 04:11:08 pm »
Ignore

Barbara Boxer is 4'11'', apparently.

James Madison was the shortest president at 5'4''.
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6626
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2010, 04:27:41 pm »
Ignore

Barbara mikulski is supposed to be the shortest congressperson.

DEM pick up.
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58855
United Kingdom


View Profile WWW
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2010, 04:30:04 pm »
Ignore

He like barley reaches 5 feet.

Nonsense. There were a load of barley fields near where I grew up and the crop never grew anything like that tall.
Logged

"Whatsoever Aristotle may have thought of this, I do not care"

William of Occam
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1089


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2010, 04:42:58 pm »
Ignore

Dennis Kucinich? His shortness has probably been exaggerated though. Tongue
Logged
The Year Summer Ended In July
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 74569
France


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2010, 05:25:29 pm »
Ignore

McCain got like 25% here right? So not bad all things considered for him. He still loses obviously.
Logged

JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6848


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2010, 05:32:56 pm »
Ignore

Finally, someone polled LA-02. The result is unsurprising, of course, but I'm glad someone finally confirmed it.

Now, I'd like a poll of AL-02, please.
Logged
The Year Summer Ended In July
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 74569
France


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2010, 05:44:40 pm »
Ignore

Finally, someone polled LA-02. The result is unsurprising, of course, but I'm glad someone finally confirmed it.

Now, I'd like a poll of AL-02, please.

Didn't Bright's opponent have an internal showing her down?

Don't see why you'd like or care about such a poll though, a Republican wins either way.
Logged

JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6848


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2010, 05:58:56 pm »
Ignore

Finally, someone polled LA-02. The result is unsurprising, of course, but I'm glad someone finally confirmed it.

Now, I'd like a poll of AL-02, please.

Didn't Bright's opponent have an internal showing her down?

Don't see why you'd like or care about such a poll though, a Republican wins either way.

I meant a public poll, not an internal.

I care because I want to forecast the damn race correctly.
Logged
albaleman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2215
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.77, S: -4.52

View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2010, 09:37:56 pm »
Ignore

No surprise here. When you barely beat a guy who stores cash in his freezer, your chances of re-election are probably not real good.
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9416
Czech Republic


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2010, 09:41:53 pm »
Ignore

Only 11 points? Hm, not good enough. This is, after all, a Democrat in LA-02.

That said I still expect the Democrats to pick up the seat.
Logged

Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.

So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
Senator PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23443
United States


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2010, 01:00:22 am »
Ignore

     Good to see someone finally confirm the obvious: that Cao is finished. It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.
Logged

Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17517


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2010, 01:08:40 am »
Ignore

Should've voted for health insurance reform, poor bastard.
Logged

A New Chapter

"I feel like Paulette Revere the recession is coming, the recession is coming! - Hillary Clinton, April 3, 2008
Joe Republic
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31840
Kiribati


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2010, 01:44:00 am »
Ignore

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley
Logged



Real Americans (and Big Sky Bob) demand to know.


[Y]ou are not going to change my mind or even cause me to think.
Senator PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23443
United States


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2010, 01:47:43 am »
Ignore

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley

     Democrats tend to be more partisan, from what I can tell. Minnick is conservative enough to be able to easily hold his district, while Cao is sunk more or less by virtue of the fact that he has an R next to his name.
Logged

Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1725


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2010, 03:57:18 am »
Ignore

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley

     Democrats tend to be more partisan, from what I can tell. Minnick is conservative enough to be able to easily hold his district, while Cao is sunk more or less by virtue of the fact that he has an R next to his name.

I think racial voting has something to do with it as well. A liberal Republican probably has a reasonable shot of holding a white liberal Democratic district. (That said, Cao probably isn't liberal enough for his district anyway).
Logged

Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1572
United States


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2010, 05:56:24 am »
Ignore

Should've voted for health insurance reform, poor bastard.

Do you honestly think it would have mattered?  I'm willing to bet less than 1% more of voters would have voted for him if he had.
Logged

Political Matrix:  +7.1, -3.83

A world without sin:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-NVs68X_S4
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6848


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2010, 07:14:55 am »
Ignore

     Good to see someone finally confirm the obvious: that Cao is finished. It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

There's a guy on SSP that thinks he can still win. He's a Republican that lives in New Orleans, so I guess you have to keep hope alive.
Logged
Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1725


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2010, 08:43:54 am »
Ignore

fivethirtyeight still gives Cao about a 1/3 chance of winning (although without this poll I think). You can't just say that's due to Cao's internal where he was up big, because that poll is hardly weighted at all.
Logged

Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines