Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 26, 2017, 09:32:51 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 House Election Polls
| | | |-+  PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits  (Read 6169 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40687
Dominica


View Profile
« on: October 04, 2010, 03:42:15 pm »
Ignore

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/10/2/LA-2/9/veCYR

Cedric Richmond (D): 49%
Joseph Cao (R, Inc.): 38%
Logged

fuck nazis
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9010
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2010, 03:48:07 pm »
Ignore

Well, that didn't take a genius. Tongue
Logged

minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58547
India


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2010, 03:56:30 pm »
Ignore

Doing goodish but not nearly good enough, then?
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1088


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2010, 03:58:21 pm »
Ignore

He's doing surprisingly well. Still, easy Dem pickup.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42230
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2010, 03:59:06 pm »
Ignore

That's respectable. He'll lose with his head held high.
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
ajc0918
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1497
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2010, 04:03:10 pm »
Ignore

Is Cao the shortest member of congress?
He like barley reaches 5 feet.
Logged

minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58547
India


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2010, 04:06:56 pm »
Ignore

5'2'' according to numerous google hits (so not far off). No idea if that makes him the shortest member of Congress, maybe some woman has him beat? Pretty damn sure there were shorter members in the 18th and 19th century, though.
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58547
India


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2010, 04:11:08 pm »
Ignore

Barbara Boxer is 4'11'', apparently.

James Madison was the shortest president at 5'4''.
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6604
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2010, 04:27:41 pm »
Ignore

Barbara mikulski is supposed to be the shortest congressperson.

DEM pick up.
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 61291
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2010, 04:30:04 pm »
Ignore

He like barley reaches 5 feet.

Nonsense. There were a load of barley fields near where I grew up and the crop never grew anything like that tall.
Logged



Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1088


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2010, 04:42:58 pm »
Ignore

Dennis Kucinich? His shortness has probably been exaggerated though. Tongue
Logged
Compassion Fills the Void
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 79831
Ukraine


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2010, 05:25:29 pm »
Ignore

McCain got like 25% here right? So not bad all things considered for him. He still loses obviously.
Logged

JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6802


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2010, 05:32:56 pm »
Ignore

Finally, someone polled LA-02. The result is unsurprising, of course, but I'm glad someone finally confirmed it.

Now, I'd like a poll of AL-02, please.
Logged
Compassion Fills the Void
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 79831
Ukraine


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2010, 05:44:40 pm »
Ignore

Finally, someone polled LA-02. The result is unsurprising, of course, but I'm glad someone finally confirmed it.

Now, I'd like a poll of AL-02, please.

Didn't Bright's opponent have an internal showing her down?

Don't see why you'd like or care about such a poll though, a Republican wins either way.
Logged

JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6802


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2010, 05:58:56 pm »
Ignore

Finally, someone polled LA-02. The result is unsurprising, of course, but I'm glad someone finally confirmed it.

Now, I'd like a poll of AL-02, please.

Didn't Bright's opponent have an internal showing her down?

Don't see why you'd like or care about such a poll though, a Republican wins either way.

I meant a public poll, not an internal.

I care because I want to forecast the damn race correctly.
Logged
albaleman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2213
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.77, S: -4.52

View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2010, 09:37:56 pm »
Ignore

No surprise here. When you barely beat a guy who stores cash in his freezer, your chances of re-election are probably not real good.
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9052
Czech Republic


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2010, 09:41:53 pm »
Ignore

Only 11 points? Hm, not good enough. This is, after all, a Democrat in LA-02.

That said I still expect the Democrats to pick up the seat.
Logged

Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.

So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
Senator PiT, PPT
PiT (The Physicist)
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26247
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.97, S: -4.61

View Profile
« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2010, 01:00:22 am »
Ignore

     Good to see someone finally confirm the obvious: that Cao is finished. It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.
Logged

Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20149


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2010, 01:08:40 am »
Ignore

Should've voted for health insurance reform, poor bastard.
Logged



Emails&Benghazi were totally bs

We fought for feminism, and got Trumpism instead.

Brianna Wu 2018
Joe Republic
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33756
Kiribati


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2010, 01:44:00 am »
Ignore

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley
Logged
Senator PiT, PPT
PiT (The Physicist)
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26247
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.97, S: -4.61

View Profile
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2010, 01:47:43 am »
Ignore

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley

     Democrats tend to be more partisan, from what I can tell. Minnick is conservative enough to be able to easily hold his district, while Cao is sunk more or less by virtue of the fact that he has an R next to his name.
Logged

Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1868


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2010, 03:57:18 am »
Ignore

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley

     Democrats tend to be more partisan, from what I can tell. Minnick is conservative enough to be able to easily hold his district, while Cao is sunk more or less by virtue of the fact that he has an R next to his name.

I think racial voting has something to do with it as well. A liberal Republican probably has a reasonable shot of holding a white liberal Democratic district. (That said, Cao probably isn't liberal enough for his district anyway).
Logged

Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1559
United States


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2010, 05:56:24 am »
Ignore

Should've voted for health insurance reform, poor bastard.

Do you honestly think it would have mattered?  I'm willing to bet less than 1% more of voters would have voted for him if he had.
Logged

Political Matrix:  +7.1, -3.83

A world without sin:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-NVs68X_S4
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6802


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2010, 07:14:55 am »
Ignore

     Good to see someone finally confirm the obvious: that Cao is finished. It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

There's a guy on SSP that thinks he can still win. He's a Republican that lives in New Orleans, so I guess you have to keep hope alive.
Logged
Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1868


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2010, 08:43:54 am »
Ignore

fivethirtyeight still gives Cao about a 1/3 chance of winning (although without this poll I think). You can't just say that's due to Cao's internal where he was up big, because that poll is hardly weighted at all.
Logged

Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines