CA: Rasmussen: Boxer ahead by 4

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: California Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-09-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, I: 4%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Ronnie]

This is right about where I would place this race right now.  It's not heavily leaning to Boxer, but she is definitely favored at this point.

[Beet]

Is it just me or has Rasmussen been more Dem leaning than PPP and SurveyUSA lately?

[Eraserhead]

Is it just me or has Rasmussen been more Dem leaning than PPP and SurveyUSA lately?

Probably overall... not in this race though. PPP had Boxer up by 8, not sure where SUSA's last one had it though.

[Ogre Mage]

While it doesn't show as large a lead as PPP, this seems to confirm there is definite movement in Boxer's favor.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

This is gold.

[You kip if you want to...]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

Sorry, but that's even funnier than PBrower's age wave theory.

[Meeker]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

Oh noes! Not a toilet paper wave!

[Eraserhead]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

Yes, California is clearly the epicenter of teabaggerism.

[Oakvale]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

lolololol

[Hash]

I think CA will show a huge TP wave on election day.  IMO, Boxer loses by 7-10 points.

I think the Tea Party will sweep Vermont!

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

then i guess i will have something to 'discuss' with my fellow posters once the election results are in

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

let me be clear on my theory:  i think there are a lot of conservatives/libertarians in the blue state of CA that have been feeling like their votes don't make a difference and have therefore have not "religiously" voted over the last 20 years.  Now, they are not only angry, but they also believe they have a chance to be heard and will show up this November.

if you're super mad, you're more likely to vote....and, if are an 'unlikely' voter who vote would normally end up on the losing end and now you believe you have a chance to make a difference, you're more likely to vote....add them together, and you have a wave that is not being picked up by the polling.

this is what happened in 1994, IMO.

just a theory

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

let me be clear on my theory:  i think there are a lot of conservatives/libertarians in the blue state of CA that have been feeling like their votes don't make a difference and have therefore have not "religiously" voted over the last 20 years.  Now, they are not only angry, but they also believe they have a chance to be heard and will show up this November.

if you're super mad, you're more likely to vote....and, if are an 'unlikely' voter who vote would normally end up on the losing end and now you believe you have a chance to make a difference, you're more likely to vote....add them together, and you have a wave that is not being picked up by the polling.

this is what happened in 1994, IMO.

just a theory

Which is why Dianne Feinstein lost in 1994, oh wait...

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Turnout in 1994 was slightly higher than in 1990, but still pretty close to an average midterm:

http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0781453.html

[sg0508]

Mike Huffington was a liberal republican and that made the '94 race competitive, albeit it was wasn't enough.

Boxer will start to pull away now, the same way she did back in '98.  Same old story, "too conservative for CA" and that's it.

[Sam Spade]

Today's poll: No change really - Boxer 49, Fiorina 45

[Lief 🗽]

SUSA's poll was probably just float in the MoE then.