HI: Public Policy Polling: Aiona tied with Abercrombie

[tmthforu94]

New Poll: Hawaii Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-16

Summary: D: 48%, R: 48%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[tmthforu94]

Democrat   - 43%
Republican - 22%
Independent/Other - 35%

That doesn't seem too off to me, but then again, I can't remember what the `08 exit polls were...

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Wow.


But from what little of I've seen of Abercrombie, I wasn't impressed frankly.

[Eraserhead]

Huh?

I guess they could send Obama down there.

[DrScholl]

I believe these numbers are only for HI-1 and not statewide.

[Holmes]

If I had to choose between Rick Scott, Mary Fallin and Duke Aiona to be my governor, Aiona would be dead last.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I believe these numbers are only for HI-1 and not statewide.

They appear to be. Still not good for Abercrombie as he is well its former Rep.

[RI]

This poll should not have been entered, as it is only for one CD.

[Rowan]

*facepalm*

Is Quincy doing the poll entering again?

[tmthforu94]

This poll should not have been entered, as it is only for one CD.

My bad. I'll move the date back until it can be deleted, just so it won't mislead anyone.

[ottermax]

only 56% of those polled voted for Obama....

I mean yeah the voter turnout will probably go down, but that doesn't seem very accurate.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I believe these numbers are only for HI-1 and not statewide.

That's precisely Abercrombie's problem. He ought to be doing very well in HI-1, considering he has represented it for years. I can only imagine how's he doing in HI-2....

ottermax is right, however, 56% Obama doesn't seem very accurate, not that it's likely to matter because this is a local race, and not a federal one.

[ottermax]

Well actually HI-2 fits Abercrombie slightly better demographically, so he should be doing fine there.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Well actually HI-2 fits Abercrombie slightly better demographically, so he should be doing fine there.

That's interesting because I was expecting Abercrombie to do better in HI-1. HI-2 is normally more Democratic but seeing as Abercrombie was the first district's longtime representative, I would think he would be doing better there.

Whatever the case it's not a good thing when you only have a tie in your own district.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I believe these numbers are only for HI-1 and not statewide.

That's precisely Abercrombie's problem. He ought to be doing very well in HI-1, considering he has represented it for years. I can only imagine how's he doing in HI-2....

ottermax is right, however, 56% Obama doesn't seem very accurate, not that it's likely to matter because this is a local race, and not a federal one.

However, the fact that only 56% of those polled supported Obama suggests that the sample is way too Republican.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I believe these numbers are only for HI-1 and not statewide.

That's precisely Abercrombie's problem. He ought to be doing very well in HI-1, considering he has represented it for years. I can only imagine how's he doing in HI-2....

ottermax is right, however, 56% Obama doesn't seem very accurate, not that it's likely to matter because this is a local race, and not a federal one.

However, the fact that only 56% of those polled supported Obama suggests that the sample is way too Republican.

In 2008, exit polls showed party ID at 45% D, 20% R, 34% I.
In 2006, exit polls showed party ID at 40% D, 23% R, 37% I.
In 2004, exit polls showed party ID at 40% D, 24% R, 36% I.

This poll is 43% D, 22% R, and 35% I. It is not "too Republican."
This poll has 43% D, 22% R, 35% I -- meaning that this poll shows Democrats more likely to show at the polls than in both 2004 and 2006. That suggests this sample is too Democratic, not too Republican.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I believe these numbers are only for HI-1 and not statewide.

That's precisely Abercrombie's problem. He ought to be doing very well in HI-1, considering he has represented it for years. I can only imagine how's he doing in HI-2....

ottermax is right, however, 56% Obama doesn't seem very accurate, not that it's likely to matter because this is a local race, and not a federal one.

However, the fact that only 56% of those polled supported Obama suggests that the sample is way too Republican.

In 2008, exit polls showed party ID at 45% D, 20% R, 34% I.
In 2006, exit polls showed party ID at 40% D, 23% R, 37% I.
In 2004, exit polls showed party ID at 40% D, 24% R, 36% I.

This poll is 43% D, 22% R, and 35% I. It is not "too Republican."
This poll has 43% D, 22% R, 35% I -- meaning that this poll shows Democrats more likely to show at the polls than in both 2004 and 2006. That suggests this sample is too Democratic, not too Republican.

Obama got 70% in HI-1, not 56%.