WI: We The People/WI State Journal: Johnson 49% Feingold 41%

[mypalfish]

Johnson 49%
Feingold 41%

http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_7fd40386-d26e-11df-93af-001cc4c002e0.html

[SvenssonRS]

Well, put a fork in Feingold.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Well, put a fork in Feingold.

     You make this proclamation in reaction to a little-known pollster whose name sounds like it's some sort of Republican firm showing a lead comparable to what a half-dozen other pollsters have already shown?

[SvenssonRS]

Well, put a fork in Feingold.

     You make this proclamation in reaction to a little-known pollster whose name sounds like it's some sort of Republican firm showing a lead comparable to what a half-dozen other pollsters have already shown?

Just saying. Feingold hasn't been in the lead since August.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Well, put a fork in Feingold.

     You make this proclamation in reaction to a little-known pollster whose name sounds like it's some sort of Republican firm showing a lead comparable to what a half-dozen other pollsters have already shown?

Just saying. Feingold hasn't been in the lead since August.

     I'm not disagreeing with the idea that Feingold will most likely lose. I'm just saying this a rather arbitrary time to make that declaration.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I'm not saying Feingold will win (though if he doesn't Wisconsin will become the biggest FAIL state), but don't count him out.  I know 1998 was a much more Democratic year, but it is significant that he was trailing by as much as 20% in some polls (regardless of the amount, everyone considered him a goner), but ended up winning by about 2%.  Beyond which, Democrats always underpoll in Wisconsin (the reason I also think Tom Barrett shouldn't be counted out). 

[mypalfish]

I'm not saying Feingold will win (though if he doesn't Wisconsin will become the biggest FAIL state), but don't count him out.  I know 1998 was a much more Democratic year, but it is significant that he was trailing by as much as 20% in some polls (regardless of the amount, everyone considered him a goner), but ended up winning by about 2%.  Beyond which, Democrats always underpoll in Wisconsin (the reason I also think Tom Barrett shouldn't be counted out). 

The environment for Dems in WI is truly toxic this cycle.  Control in the State Assembly and State Senate is likely to switch to the GOP as well as both Feingold and Barrett being in trouble.  Also, back in 98, Feingold was seen as a much more likable "maverick" than he is now.  His votes for the stimulus and Obamacare are a noose around his neck.  People know he's a reliable vote for the Dems when they really need it and that's not what they're looking for this year.  Could he come back to win?  Sure, if Johnson botches the debate tonight or makes some huge gaffe.  But, so far, he's run close to a perfect campaign.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I'm not saying Feingold will win (though if he doesn't Wisconsin will become the biggest FAIL state), but don't count him out.  I know 1998 was a much more Democratic year, but it is significant that he was trailing by as much as 20% in some polls (regardless of the amount, everyone considered him a goner), but ended up winning by about 2%.  Beyond which, Democrats always underpoll in Wisconsin (the reason I also think Tom Barrett shouldn't be counted out). 

The environment for Dems in WI is truly toxic this cycle.  Control in the State Assembly and State Senate is likely to switch to the GOP as well as both Feingold and Barrett being in trouble.  Also, back in 98, Feingold was seen as a much more likable "maverick" than he is now.  His votes for the stimulus and Obamacare are a noose around his neck.  People know he's a reliable vote for the Dems when they really need it and that's not what they're looking for this year.  Could he come back to win?  Sure, if Johnson botches the debate tonight or makes some huge gaffe.  But, so far, he's run close to a perfect campaign.

I'm not saying Feingold and Barrett will win, I'm just saying those races aren't over. 

[Tender Branson]

Should this be added to the database ?

[cinyc]

Should this be added to the database ?

Why shouldn't it?  The Wisconsin State Journal, which commissioned the poll, is Madison's newspaper.  The pollster may be little-known, but it's not an internal.

[Joe Republic]

Here's something to give the Democrats hope (albeit probably false):

https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=55

[tpfkaw]

Here's something to give the Democrats hope (albeit probably false):

https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=55

LOL @ poll giving Nader 10%.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

I'm not saying Feingold will win (though if he doesn't Wisconsin will become the biggest FAIL state), but don't count him out.  I know 1998 was a much more Democratic year, but it is significant that he was trailing by as much as 20% in some polls (regardless of the amount, everyone considered him a goner), but ended up winning by about 2%.  Beyond which, Democrats always underpoll in Wisconsin (the reason I also think Tom Barrett shouldn't be counted out). 

[The Vorlon]