PA-08/Monmouth: Rep. Murphy (D) losing

[Sam Spade]

What's still kind of interesting is that the DCCC is not on the air in Philly at all (PA-07, PA-08, NJ-03), yet.  NJ-03 I'm sure is because Adler has tons of money.  The others - well, I have some questions...

[Sam Spade]

True, but there will probably be at least one 'wtf? a hold?' result somewhere also. Not everything will break the way that you prefer

I re-examined 2006 and 2008 - here were my wtf? holds & losses (i.e. not tossup, though Lean incumbent party (R) is not a wtf? in my book)

2006 - wtf hold
Lean D
7. OH-15*

2006 - wtf loss - note that I had both IA-02 and NY-19 in Lean R (woot!)
Likely R
64. NH-01

In 2008, I didn't really have a wtf? list, so here's what I missed:
AK-AL (not wtf?)
CA-04* (not wtf?)
FL-25 (not wtf?)
IL-10 (not wtf?)
IN-03 (not wtf - was a little out on the limb here)
LA-06 (not wtf?)
MD-01 (not wtf?)
MN-06 (not wtf?)
NE-02 (not wtf?)
OH-01 (not wtf?)
PA-11 (not wtf?)
VA-02 (a little wtf? after 2006)