What will the Arizona map look like after 2010, exactly? They got a nonpartisan commission and VRA-protected seats and will gain several.
Probably wouldn't save this bloke unless he turns out surprisingly good (and no Zach, Sali's loss was not due to Sali being Sali alone. Minnick was a wellknown moderate candidate.)
This seat will be at least as Republican as it is now. Growth in Phoenix metro area has been in the far west and the southeast. Whichever area gets the new district--probably in the southeast--this district will likely have to shift a bit in the opposite direction. Which means picking up reliably Republican areas from AZ-2 or AZ-5.
