PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS
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  PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS
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Author Topic: PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS  (Read 102536 times)
Smash255
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« Reply #175 on: October 26, 2010, 11:53:44 PM »

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track6.pdf


48% Republican,  45% Democratic,  11% under 40
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tokar
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« Reply #176 on: October 27, 2010, 03:55:18 AM »


Still disconcerting...
But at least the leaners look a bit better, although the swings are just ridiculous:
R+2
D+8
D+9
D+2
D+6
R+11
R+13
Tie
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #177 on: October 27, 2010, 06:45:26 AM »

F+M has Toomey up by 7% but the amount of undecideds seems particularly ridiculous.

http://articles.lancasteronline.com/local/4/305240
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #178 on: October 27, 2010, 08:40:39 AM »

F+M has Toomey up by 7% but the amount of undecideds seems particularly ridiculous.

http://articles.lancasteronline.com/local/4/305240

That's typical for F&M. I think the margin is about right though. It's probably a four to six point Toomey lead.
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Umengus
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« Reply #179 on: October 27, 2010, 03:42:09 PM »

and +4 for toomey in the last cnn-Time poll (with a 13 % lead amongst independents)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #180 on: October 27, 2010, 10:26:16 PM »

Anything yet?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #181 on: October 27, 2010, 10:27:11 PM »


Nope. I post once I get word.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #182 on: October 27, 2010, 10:38:43 PM »

Toomey - 48%

Sestak - 40%


Then there were five...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #183 on: October 27, 2010, 10:40:39 PM »

Damn.
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Smash255
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« Reply #184 on: October 28, 2010, 11:39:51 AM »

PDf file to last night's release

48% Republican, 43% Democratic.......

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/2010TrackingRelease9_October28.doc.pdf
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Rowan
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« Reply #185 on: October 28, 2010, 10:06:49 PM »

Toomey: 47%
Sestak: 42%

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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #186 on: October 28, 2010, 10:18:46 PM »

Not bad. Not bad at all.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #187 on: October 28, 2010, 10:49:22 PM »

Indeed. I enjoy when the poll moves toward my chosen candidate. Tongue
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Smash255
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« Reply #188 on: October 29, 2010, 01:37:59 PM »

PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......
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Sbane
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« Reply #189 on: October 29, 2010, 03:03:40 PM »

PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......

What was the partisan breakdown when Sestak was leading?
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Smash255
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« Reply #190 on: October 29, 2010, 04:01:10 PM »

PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......

What was the partisan breakdown when Sestak was leading?

46, 46.  Registration is 51-37
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Sbane
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« Reply #191 on: October 29, 2010, 06:03:37 PM »

PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......

What was the partisan breakdown when Sestak was leading?

46, 46.  Registration is 51-37

Now that is interesting. I doubt the partisan affiliation advantage for democrats will be less than d+2. Doesnt necessarily mean this poll is wrong though. 
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #192 on: October 29, 2010, 10:42:06 PM »

Toomey - 45%

Sestak - 43%


Weird. I'll take Marist over Muhlenberg tonight.  Wink

Then there were three...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #193 on: October 29, 2010, 11:25:31 PM »

Sesurge! I know this race will probably be a heartbreaker but it's fun to hope otherwise.
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Smash255
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« Reply #194 on: October 30, 2010, 02:51:00 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2010, 02:53:46 AM by Smash255 »

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track29.pdf



Sample is Dem + 2  (47/45) which certainly makes a bit more sense than some of the other crap thrown around (my guess is it will be Dem with an advantage of 2-4 on Election Day)
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Umengus
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« Reply #195 on: October 30, 2010, 06:44:17 AM »

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track29.pdf



Sample is Dem + 2  (47/45) which certainly makes a bit more sense than some of the other crap thrown around (my guess is it will be Dem with an advantage of 2-4 on Election Day)

it's just technical. And if Toomey leads again with dem +2, it's good for him.
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tokar
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« Reply #196 on: October 30, 2010, 08:21:46 AM »

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track29.pdf



Sample is Dem + 2  (47/45) which certainly makes a bit more sense than some of the other crap thrown around (my guess is it will be Dem with an advantage of 2-4 on Election Day)

Took a while for the number to get where it needs to be.  I don't think it'll be a GOP advantage in the exit polls come post-Nov2.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #197 on: October 30, 2010, 07:36:25 PM »

The numbers are apparently the same tonight. No idea why they're releasing the numbers so early tonight.

Toomey - 45%

Sestak - 43%

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #198 on: October 30, 2010, 07:39:02 PM »

What?

These are new numbers?
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Smash255
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« Reply #199 on: October 30, 2010, 09:07:27 PM »

The numbers are apparently the same tonight. No idea why they're releasing the numbers so early tonight.

Toomey - 45%

Sestak - 43%



Perhaps they conduct more interviews in the afternoon on the weekend than during the week?
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