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| | | |-+  PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS  (Read 13386 times)
Smash255
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« Reply #175 on: October 26, 2010, 11:53:44 pm »
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http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track6.pdf


48% Republican,  45% Democratic,  11% under 40
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tokar
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« Reply #176 on: October 27, 2010, 03:55:18 am »
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Quote from: Smash255 on October 26, 2010, 11:53:44 pm
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track6.pdf


48% Republican,  45% Democratic,  11% under 40

Still disconcerting...
But at least the leaners look a bit better, although the swings are just ridiculous:
R+2
D+8
D+9
D+2
D+6
R+11
R+13
Tie
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #177 on: October 27, 2010, 06:45:26 am »
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F+M has Toomey up by 7% but the amount of undecideds seems particularly ridiculous.

http://articles.lancasteronline.com/local/4/305240
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Quote from: BushKenya on June 04, 2013, 08:07:16 pm
I went to the drink fountain with the intention of getting a diet drink, but I accidentally hit the Dr Pepper lever.  I didn't realize it until the cup was full.
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #178 on: October 27, 2010, 08:40:39 am »
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Quote from: Eraserhead on October 27, 2010, 06:45:26 am
F+M has Toomey up by 7% but the amount of undecideds seems particularly ridiculous.

http://articles.lancasteronline.com/local/4/305240

That's typical for F&M. I think the margin is about right though. It's probably a four to six point Toomey lead.
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Umengus
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« Reply #179 on: October 27, 2010, 03:42:09 pm »
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and +4 for toomey in the last cnn-Time poll (with a 13 % lead amongst independents)
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #180 on: October 27, 2010, 10:26:16 pm »
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Anything yet?
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Quote from: BushKenya on June 04, 2013, 08:07:16 pm
I went to the drink fountain with the intention of getting a diet drink, but I accidentally hit the Dr Pepper lever.  I didn't realize it until the cup was full.
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #181 on: October 27, 2010, 10:27:11 pm »
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Quote from: Eraserhead on October 27, 2010, 10:26:16 pm
Anything yet?

Nope. I post once I get word.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #182 on: October 27, 2010, 10:38:43 pm »
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Toomey - 48%

Sestak - 40%


Then there were five...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #183 on: October 27, 2010, 10:40:39 pm »
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Damn.
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Quote from: BushKenya on June 04, 2013, 08:07:16 pm
I went to the drink fountain with the intention of getting a diet drink, but I accidentally hit the Dr Pepper lever.  I didn't realize it until the cup was full.
Smash255
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« Reply #184 on: October 28, 2010, 11:39:51 am »
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PDf file to last night's release

48% Republican, 43% Democratic.......

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/2010TrackingRelease9_October28.doc.pdf
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Rowan
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« Reply #185 on: October 28, 2010, 10:06:49 pm »
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Toomey: 47%
Sestak: 42%
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #186 on: October 28, 2010, 10:18:46 pm »
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Not bad. Not bad at all.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #187 on: October 28, 2010, 10:49:22 pm »
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Indeed. I enjoy when the poll moves toward my chosen candidate. Tongue
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Quote from: BushKenya on June 04, 2013, 08:07:16 pm
I went to the drink fountain with the intention of getting a diet drink, but I accidentally hit the Dr Pepper lever.  I didn't realize it until the cup was full.
Smash255
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« Reply #188 on: October 29, 2010, 01:37:59 pm »
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PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......
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Senator Sbane
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« Reply #189 on: October 29, 2010, 03:03:40 pm »
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Quote from: Smash255 on October 29, 2010, 01:37:59 pm
PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......

What was the partisan breakdown when Sestak was leading?
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Smash255
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« Reply #190 on: October 29, 2010, 04:01:10 pm »
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Quote from: sbane on October 29, 2010, 03:03:40 pm
Quote from: Smash255 on October 29, 2010, 01:37:59 pm
PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......

What was the partisan breakdown when Sestak was leading?

46, 46.  Registration is 51-37
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Senator Sbane
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« Reply #191 on: October 29, 2010, 06:03:37 pm »
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Quote from: Smash255 on October 29, 2010, 04:01:10 pm
Quote from: sbane on October 29, 2010, 03:03:40 pm
Quote from: Smash255 on October 29, 2010, 01:37:59 pm
PDF file from last night

47% Republican, 43% Democratic......

What was the partisan breakdown when Sestak was leading?

46, 46.  Registration is 51-37

Now that is interesting. I doubt the partisan affiliation advantage for democrats will be less than d+2. Doesnt necessarily mean this poll is wrong though. 
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #192 on: October 29, 2010, 10:42:06 pm »
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Toomey - 45%

Sestak - 43%


Weird. I'll take Marist over Muhlenberg tonight.  Wink

Then there were three...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #193 on: October 29, 2010, 11:25:31 pm »
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Sesurge! I know this race will probably be a heartbreaker but it's fun to hope otherwise.
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Quote from: BushKenya on June 04, 2013, 08:07:16 pm
I went to the drink fountain with the intention of getting a diet drink, but I accidentally hit the Dr Pepper lever.  I didn't realize it until the cup was full.
Smash255
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« Reply #194 on: October 30, 2010, 02:51:00 am »
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http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track29.pdf



Sample is Dem + 2  (47/45) which certainly makes a bit more sense than some of the other crap thrown around (my guess is it will be Dem with an advantage of 2-4 on Election Day)
« Last Edit: October 30, 2010, 02:53:46 am by Smash255 »Logged
Umengus
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« Reply #195 on: October 30, 2010, 06:44:17 am »
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Quote from: Smash255 on October 30, 2010, 02:51:00 am
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track29.pdf



Sample is Dem + 2  (47/45) which certainly makes a bit more sense than some of the other crap thrown around (my guess is it will be Dem with an advantage of 2-4 on Election Day)

it's just technical. And if Toomey leads again with dem +2, it's good for him.
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
tokar
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« Reply #196 on: October 30, 2010, 08:21:46 am »
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Quote from: Smash255 on October 30, 2010, 02:51:00 am
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/track29.pdf



Sample is Dem + 2  (47/45) which certainly makes a bit more sense than some of the other crap thrown around (my guess is it will be Dem with an advantage of 2-4 on Election Day)

Took a while for the number to get where it needs to be.  I don't think it'll be a GOP advantage in the exit polls come post-Nov2.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #197 on: October 30, 2010, 07:36:25 pm »
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The numbers are apparently the same tonight. No idea why they're releasing the numbers so early tonight.

Toomey - 45%

Sestak - 43%
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Secretary Polnut
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« Reply #198 on: October 30, 2010, 07:39:02 pm »
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What?

These are new numbers?
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Smash255
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« Reply #199 on: October 30, 2010, 09:07:27 pm »
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Quote from: Keystone Phil on October 30, 2010, 07:36:25 pm
The numbers are apparently the same tonight. No idea why they're releasing the numbers so early tonight.

Toomey - 45%

Sestak - 43%



Perhaps they conduct more interviews in the afternoon on the weekend than during the week?
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