PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS (user search)
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  PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: Muhlenberg/MC: Sestak 40/Toomey 48 (10/24-10/27) DO NOT ENTER UNTIL 27 DROPS  (Read 102796 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: October 20, 2010, 12:46:13 AM »
Quote from: px75 on October 20, 2010, 12:43:35 AM
PPP is once again vindicated. And if anything this poll has a Republican-friendly sample.


You mean it's gone for the Democrats?

No, he means it could be gone for the Republicans, hilariously. He's basically the Anti-Beet. He's actually a good counterweight to have around.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2010, 08:53:02 PM »
What time does the next one come out?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2010, 09:01:22 PM »
Quote from: The Vorlon on October 21, 2010, 08:58:42 PM
Quote from: Ed Miliband for Prime Minister! on October 20, 2010, 03:44:25 AM
Hmmmm, there seems to have been an avalanche of 'interesting' polls in the past day or so.

Everybody and there dog will be releasing a poll in the next ten days.

Colleges, Universities, Newspapers, Zoltan The Magnificent, Pete's All Beef Double Cheeseburger poll, Zogby, The Psychic Hotline....

The list of crap will get very thick and deep....

I can almost smell it already!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2010, 01:40:40 AM »
It is Pennsylvania.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2010, 10:31:13 PM »
Darn. Come on, Joe!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2010, 11:25:13 PM »
Probably safe to say that Toomey is up by about 2-4%. Hopefully Sestak closes well, he has before.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2010, 12:12:28 AM »
Hmm, I hope he doesn't fall back even more in the next one.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2010, 09:50:09 PM »
Is today's out yet?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2010, 10:32:29 PM »
Well, the surge was fun while it lasted (assuming this poll is close to accurate).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2010, 10:56:24 PM »
Even if this is accurate, this much more of a race than CT is.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2010, 11:27:08 PM »
Quote from: Torie on October 25, 2010, 11:05:40 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 25, 2010, 10:56:24 PM
Even if this is accurate, this much more of a race than CT is.

That is what the polls suggest, with the ersatz/ephemeral bounce creating more buzz in PA on top. But I suspect CT will be tight on election night. You just wait. Sure if I had to bet, with even odds,  it would be against my girl.

What do you consider tight? I expect Blumenthal will win by 8% or more.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2010, 01:34:54 AM »

Okkkkkkkkkaaaaayyyyy. Uhh...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2010, 01:41:44 AM »
Quote from: Smash255 on October 26, 2010, 01:39:50 AM

The gap in party id in PA is generally less than the registration gap, but even if you take that consideration and look at this as party id as opposed to party registration, GOP + 5??  Thats absurd.

Yeah, if it looked like that on election day, I'd be pretty surprised to say the least.

Damn, I really wish SUSA would poll PA.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2010, 03:05:06 AM »
Quote from: East Coast Republican on October 26, 2010, 02:06:29 AM
You were all praising this pollster as being the most accurate in Pennsylvania and now many of you are tearing it apart because Toomey is up. 

I did no such thing. Besides, I'm not necessarily saying it's wrong. I'm just saying that I would personally be surprised if that kind of breakdown ends up happening. Tongue
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2010, 03:44:34 PM »
Well, the AP poll has them tied, so who the hell knows what's going on...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2010, 09:48:45 PM »
Anything for today yet? I refuse to have anything to do with Twitter.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2010, 09:59:27 PM »
Nice. Sestak +1, Toomey -2.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2010, 06:45:26 AM »
F+M has Toomey up by 7% but the amount of undecideds seems particularly ridiculous.

http://articles.lancasteronline.com/local/4/305240
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2010, 10:26:16 PM »
Anything yet?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2010, 10:40:39 PM »
Damn.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2010, 10:49:22 PM »
Indeed. I enjoy when the poll moves toward my chosen candidate. Tongue
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2010, 11:25:31 PM »
Sesurge! I know this race will probably be a heartbreaker but it's fun to hope otherwise.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2010, 10:35:23 PM »
Nice. I'll take them.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2010, 12:12:22 AM »
Okay, maybe I won't take them. Tongue

If Sestak is still behind with that sample... well... you know... it doesn't look too good.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2010, 09:00:55 PM »

Is +4 really that different from +2?

Toomey is a strong favorite but we already knew that.
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