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Author Topic: AK: CNN/Time: Murkowski and Miller tied!  (Read 1191 times)
tmthforu94
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« on: October 20, 2010, 04:37:59 pm »
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New Poll: Alaska Senator by CNN/Time on 2010-10-19

Summary: D: 23%, R: 37%, I: 37%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Registered Voters:

Murkowski - 38%
Miller - 36%
McAdams - 22%
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2010, 05:11:38 pm »
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Damn, McAdams at 22%?HuhHuhHuhHuhHuhHuhHuhHuh?
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
IDS Attorney General PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2010, 05:16:29 pm »
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     McAdams hasn't broken 28% since Murkowski declared. Him hitting 23% now isn't terribly surprising, nor did he have a shot anyway.
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Dgov
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2010, 05:41:06 pm »
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Interestingly, McAdams is the only candidate to out-poll his registered voter numbers.
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Rowan
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2010, 05:48:21 pm »
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Junk poll. They asked a ridiculously bad question:

"If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Scott McAdams, the Democrat
and Joe Miller, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for or would you write in the
name of Lisa Murkowski, who is also running? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more
toward? (RANDOM ORDER)"
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2010, 06:26:17 pm »
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Lame. I want Humpty Dumpty to win.
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albaleman
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2010, 06:42:50 pm »
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Junk poll. They asked a ridiculously bad question:

"If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Scott McAdams, the Democrat
and Joe Miller, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for or would you write in the
name of Lisa Murkowski, who is also running? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more
toward? (RANDOM ORDER)"

Still, it's pretty close to the other polling we've been seeing out of this race. So I don't think it's a junk poll.
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2010, 08:29:54 pm »
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If Miller gets his act together in the last 12 days, he can win this with his strong GOTV which arguably put him over the top in the primary.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2010, 11:31:03 pm »
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38%/36%/22% to 37%/37%/23%

So almost no change in this race according to CNN, even with Murkowski's name being mentioned.
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Social score: -7.74
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ArchangelZero
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2010, 11:41:18 pm »
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Alaska polling is horrible, so I won't believe anything out of that state until election day.Tongue
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2010, 11:48:08 pm »
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I doubt that Murkowski will do 16 points better than McAdams. She's not on the ballot.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2010, 03:40:30 am »
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Everybody knows that Murkowski is running, this is the most high-profile race in the state, so I don't see how her not being printed out could make more than a point of difference at the extreme maximum. For polls, the margin would be slightly more than that, but still solidly in MoE territory - at least within the increased MoE I assume for Alaska polling anyways.
« Last Edit: October 21, 2010, 03:46:26 am by Only the names have been changed to protect the innocent »Logged

I may conceivably reconsider.

Knowing me it's more likely than not.
The Kingfish
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2010, 03:41:34 am »
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The returns for this race will certainly be interesting....
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2010, 03:47:04 am »
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The returns for this race will certainly be interesting....

I wonder how long it'll take to count the votes.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2010, 03:49:25 am »
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The returns for this race will certainly be interesting....

I wonder how long it'll take to count the votes.

Several weeks.
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I may conceivably reconsider.

Knowing me it's more likely than not.
ajc0918
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2010, 09:05:30 pm »
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MUR-KOW-SKI FOR SENATE!
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Abdul the Damned
Kalwejt
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2010, 12:35:58 pm »
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Only one Senator in history even won a write-in campaign, and that was Thurmond in 1954. Would be interesting to see this repeated.
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olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2010, 12:37:59 pm »
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But Murkowski is an incumbant senator running for reelection that is different.
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