AK: CNN/Time: Murkowski and Miller tied!

[tmthforu94]

New Poll: Alaska Senator by CNN/Time on 2010-10-19

Summary: D: 23%, R: 37%, I: 37%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Registered Voters:

Murkowski - 38%
Miller - 36%
McAdams - 22%

[Niemeyerite]

Damn, McAdams at 22%??

[Associate Justice PiT]

     McAdams hasn't broken 28% since Murkowski declared. Him hitting 23% now isn't terribly surprising, nor did he have a shot anyway.

[Dgov]

Interestingly, McAdams is the only candidate to out-poll his registered voter numbers.

[Rowan]

Junk poll. They asked a ridiculously bad question:

"If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Scott McAdams, the Democrat
and Joe Miller, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for or would you write in the
name of Lisa Murkowski, who is also running? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more
toward? (RANDOM ORDER)"

[Eraserhead]

Lame. I want Humpty Dumpty to win.

[albaleman]

Junk poll. They asked a ridiculously bad question:

"If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Scott McAdams, the Democrat
and Joe Miller, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for or would you write in the
name of Lisa Murkowski, who is also running? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more
toward? (RANDOM ORDER)"

Still, it's pretty close to the other polling we've been seeing out of this race. So I don't think it's a junk poll.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If Miller gets his act together in the last 12 days, he can win this with his strong GOTV which arguably put him over the top in the primary.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

38%/36%/22% to 37%/37%/23%

So almost no change in this race according to CNN, even with Murkowski's name being mentioned.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Alaska polling is horrible, so I won't believe anything out of that state until election day.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I doubt that Murkowski will do 16 points better than McAdams. She's not on the ballot.

[minionofmidas]

Everybody knows that Murkowski is running, this is the most high-profile race in the state, so I don't see how her not being printed out could make more than a point of difference at the extreme maximum. For polls, the margin would be slightly more than that, but still solidly in MoE territory - at least within the increased MoE I assume for Alaska polling anyways.

[Phony Moderate]

The returns for this race will certainly be interesting....

[Mr. Morden]

The returns for this race will certainly be interesting....

I wonder how long it'll take to count the votes.

[minionofmidas]

The returns for this race will certainly be interesting....

I wonder how long it'll take to count the votes.

Several weeks.

[ajc0918]

MUR-KOW-SKI FOR SENATE!

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Only one Senator in history even won a write-in campaign, and that was Thurmond in 1954. Would be interesting to see this repeated.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But Murkowski is an incumbant senator running for reelection that is different.