1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district)

[Fuzzybigfoot]

First, I'll start with:



Florida



The lightest shade of blue for florida equals GOP-50%

The only district Mondale won was the 17th, which he won with an 8% margin.  It contained some of Miami.


Note:  I can't find all the districts near Miami, which is why they've been left blank.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Washington



There were no 70%+ districts for Reagan, and no districts he won gave him less that 50%.

Mondale got 58% of the vote in the Seventh District (which includes most of Seattle and a few suburbs)

Note:  Some congressional districts span both sides of the Puget Sound, so they are connected by one or more lines.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Kentucky


Reagan barely won the third district (Louisville and some of it's suburbs) with a 52%-48% spread, while Mondale barely won Kentucky's seventh district (which is home to many union blue collar workers) with a 51%-48% spread.

Reagan won Kentucky's first district by 9%, which also has a more socially conservative/ fiscally liberal background.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Georgia




The only Mondale district was the 5th (Atlanta), he won it with over 60% of the vote.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Should I even bother to keep going?  I would have thought this would have been interesting to you guys, but maybe I was wrong...

[Antonio the Sixth]

I find it interesting, please continue.

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

I find it interesting, please continue.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Thanks, you guys.  

I was just afraid nobody really liked it.  I appreciate the feedback!

Here's a big one:

Ohio


Mondale won the 21st district with 78% of the vote, and carried the 20th district by a 3% margin (West Cleaveland and some suburbs).  Another big win for him was in the 17th district (Youngstown and Warren) where he recieved 57% of the vote to Reagan's 42%.  

However, Mondale was slaughtered almost everywhere else, with only the 9th (Toledo), 14th (Akron), and the 18th (Eastern Ohio, south of Youngstown) congressional districts giving Reagan narrow wins.





Note:  I had to guess some on the 19-21st districts, for they didn't show the exact boundries in the book.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Arkansas




There were no close disricts.  Mondale recieved more than 40% in the 1st and 4th Congressional districts, but still lost them by double digits.  

Arkansas's second congressional district (Little Rock) was won by Reagan with a 60%-39% spread.  And he hit 70% in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  

And now back to some more state data.

[Antonio the Sixth]

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read! 

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

[Fuzzybigfoot]

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

There are a bunch of used ones on Amazon and such, which is where I got mine.  You may be able to find some for 20-30 dollars.  Some are very expensive, up to 50 or 60 dollars.  


But mine were about $20.  They're pretty awesome. 

[Antonio the Sixth]

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read! 

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

There are a bunch of used ones on Amazon and such, which is where I got mine.  You may be able to find some for 20-30 dollars.  Some are very expensive, up to 50 or 60 dollars. 


But mine were about $20.  They're pretty awesome. 

Yeah, indeed. I guess I will try to buy one some day.

BTW, could you compile a list with districts where Reagan lost or won by less than 18.21 pts (ie his national margin), so that we'll have an idea of what a toss-up election would have been like.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read! 

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

There are a bunch of used ones on Amazon and such, which is where I got mine.  You may be able to find some for 20-30 dollars.  Some are very expensive, up to 50 or 60 dollars. 


But mine were about $20.  They're pretty awesome. 

Yeah, indeed. I guess I will try to buy one some day.

BTW, could you compile a list with districts where Reagan lost or won by less than 18.21 pts (ie his national margin), so that we'll have an idea of what a toss-up election would have been like.

I'd be glad to!  I'll get on it soon.     

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Texas

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=123708.0

I already entered this data on a different thread, so here's the link. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

California is on the way! 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Here it is:

California



Mondale carried 5 congressional districts in Los Angeles County alone, the other three from the Bay Area.

He came close to winning the 44th district, which covers downtown San Diego.  He lost it by about 5%.



Note:  I can't find congressional district boundries in parts of San Diego and Orange counties  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Should I keep going?

[Hash]

yes!

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Alabama



There were no close districts whatsoever.  

But there wern't any 70%+ Reagan districts either.

[tpfkaw]

Seems there was considerably less gerrymandering in 1984.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Colorado




Reagan won every congressional district with 60% of the vote or more, except for Colorado's First Congressional District (Denver), which Mondale won with about 53% of the vote.

Oddly enough, the First C.D. gave Mondale a better showing than the city of Denver as a whole (which Mondale won with a 50%-48% spread).  However, it is worthy to note that the city of Denver had slightly different boundaries in 1984 than in 1988 and so on. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Nevada




Reagan recieved over 60% in both districts.  Mondale didn't even hit 30% in Nevada's Second Congressional District (which is the larger of the two in land area), but he recieved 36% in the First.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Kansas




LOL Mondale fail.  Reagan got at least 60% in every district.  

[Landslide Lyndon]

yes!